New Poll shows why the Kākāriki Alliance is the most important for Left wing voters this Election
The new Taxpayers’s Fake Union Poll is out:
Labour – 32.2%
National – 30.1%
Greens – 11.5%
NZF – 11.4%
ACT – 7.8%
TPM – 3.1%
TOP – 3.2
Last weeks internal Talbot Poll had:
Labour – 38%
National – 30%
ACT – 6%
The Taxpayers’s Fake Union Poll highlights how essential the Kākāriki Alliance is this election.
Look at that wasted TPM Party vote, if it was recycled to the Greens, that would see the Greens on 14.4% WHILE creating a huge TPM MMP Overhang!
The moment to gain real wins for progressives isn’t at the election, it’s at the negotiating table AFTER the election.
There is one move left for Te Pati Māori to make in the Election Chess that would be a checkmate for the Left and would set up a Labour/Green/TPM Government that would make the real policy gains that Labour is too incremental to make.
Imagine if TPM actually adopted an MMP strategy for this election?
Labour refuse point blank to consider it and cut their noses off to spite their faces which is ridiculous because if this Hard Right Government with their anti-Māori, anti-Treaty, anti-beneficiary, anti-worker, anti-renter and anti-environment agenda really is as bad as we all claim they are, Labour SHOULD be considering every possible means to beat them, including using MMP.
TPM continue to call out Labour for refusing to do this, so imagine the media attention and left wing voter joy if Te Pati Māori actually walked the talk?
What if Te Pati Māori call a press conference to argue that the need to ensure this is a one term Government is so real that they have done what Labour has refused to do, take the election seriously with an MMP strategy designed to ensure Winston is not Prime Minister for 12 months and this Government becomes a 1 termer.
Imagine if Te Pati Māori were bold enough to push the following:
In the Māori Electorates, Candidate vote Te Pati Māori, Party vote Green!
Right now the Party vote means little to TPM because they will gain more electorates than Party vote, it’s effectively wasted, but if that Māori Party vote was instead recycled to the Greens, it would not only generate an MMP overhang that makes it impossible for the right to get to 51%, it would also pump the Greens up by 2-3%!
So you could get TPM with 4 electorate seats and the Greens with 15%+ Party vote which would be enough to beat the Right.
No Political Party has ever asked for the Party vote to go to another political party as a specific tactic so the media attention at such a unique use of MMP would excite the electorate while demanding mainstream media attention.
The Kākāriki Alliance would see Te Pati Māori and the Greens uniting after the election for a unified negotiating with Labour so that the Greens can’t get played by Labour cutting any deal with NZF and TPM can’t be dumped because they generate an MMP overhang.
It is in the negotiation AFTER the election with Labour using a unified negotiating team of Green and TPM to force the real tax changes and environmental policy we need.
Māori in the Māori Electorates are the most strategic voters in MMP, give them the tools to enact a strategy that could actually beat this terrible right wing Government and they will jump at it.
Candidate vote TPM and Party Vote Green alongside a unified negotiating team post election would be the way to enact the policy our communities are begging for.
The Kākāriki Alliance is the most important for Left wing voters this Election.
While this Coalition have done things that do not sit well with me and my values it seems many were so upset by how Labour ran this country when they had complete power there needs to be a complete change of personal before they can be given another chance.
Te Pati Maori need to keep telling our people if a Maori candidate in Labour is high on their party list give you electoral vote to them so you get two Maori in parliament. Some already know this but there always some who don’t.
BTW. Chloe Swarbrick must become our PM. ( Once Hell freezers over of course. )
A bit nippy. Might turn on the heater.
” This election is shaping up to be a contest between two parties auditioning to be the next manager of the neoliberal economy, each promising to administer the same framework with marginally different emphases ”
” The party that could have disrupted this charade is the Green Party. It has not committed itself to an Eco socialist program in the way the UK Greens have – with resounding success -but its policies are consistently to the left of Labour’s ”
I think any alliance would mean the Greens showing TMP in soliciting their party votes would mean a more hardened position in any negotiations with Labour. The old Green party would never have capitulated with Donald and Bradford in the room !
It feels like Swarbrick and co have given up the fight. They are just in parliament to heckle at question time rather than take these pricks on and the system they say is destroying many in our communities.
” The tragedy is that the political terrain is fertile for something bolder. Poll after poll shows that New Zealanders believe the country is on the wrong track. People are exhausted by rising costs, stagnant wages, and a political class that seems incapable of imagining anything beyond the market. There is a deep hunger for structural change, not incrementalism. Yet the parties that claim to represent progressive politics are offering little more than technocratic tinkering ”
This is where the Alliance can fill the void providing real union strength with no prospect of being ignored by the managerial neoliberal third way Blairites.
Ideally a three party accommodation that comes to the table with progressive democratic socialism , environmental progression and a real Māori Tikanga approach done right could be formidable with the all important share of the vote.
I think if this government is reelected and there is still a very good chance then a left wing realignment will be more vital than ever.