National Crashes In New Polls Ahead Of Election 2026
National collapsing to 25% should terrify Luxon. The polls suggest younger voters are abandoning the Right while Winston cannibalises National’s base.

National collapsing to 25% should terrify Luxon. The polls suggest younger voters are abandoning the Right while Winston cannibalises National’s base.

National in the 20s. Labour ahead. TOP rising. This isn’t just a bad poll — it’s a warning the election could break wide open.
Four years ago, this blogger pointed out that then-existing polling methodologies – relying solely on landline respondents – was flawed. The 2013 Census had revealed a significant ‘chunk’ of the population had surrendered access to landlines, in favour of cellphone/smartphone usage.
It’s taken faster than I thought possible, but the first post-election poll – from Roy Morgan – has the Labour-led coalition rising whilst National’s support is falling;
New PM Jacinda Ardern drives surge in New Zealand Government Confidence In November support for the newly elected Labour/NZ First/Greens…
New Zealanders’ concerns highlighted in run to election: Poverty and the gap between the rich and poor is the single…
A person job-searching using the internet was “not actively seeking work“. Predictably, at the stroke of a pen, unemployment “fell” over-night from 5.7% to 5.2%.
Secret Internal Poll – National slumps to 42%