Why an early election is a possibility you can’t rule out
Externally it’s all smiles and glad handing.
Internally it’s a fully fledged panic.
The loathing between ACT and NZFirst makes the TERF vs Trans debate look mild.
NZ First is like retirement village political chlamydia, but more delusional. ACT have values that would embarrass your average Drug Cartel and shame flesh hungry piranha while Luxon looks like a frightened virgin at an orgy.
National built their entire economic model on the fake premise they’ll make billions in revenue from a tax on foreign buyers speculating in the domestic market.
Problem is NZ First had the foreign buyers ban in their manifesto and helped Labour put in place in the first term of the Labour led Government.
The Real Estate Pimps have pumped millions of dollars in donations to National and want the foreign buyers ban lifted on top of re-opening tax loopholes, on top of dumping healthy home requirements, on top of the right to evict.
The solution is no lifting of the foreign buyers ban, dump the tax cuts and make the savings in the slashing of public services, or go to a second election.
This is why there is still so much of a chance that we may well go to a second election because National can’t budge Winston and ACT hate Winston.
The right have the money for a second election, the Left don’t and if Winston can be painted out as the problem, they could burn him politically.
National, ACT and NZ First expects the electorate to behave like Pavlov’s Dog.
In one breath we are told the negotiations can be immediate and quick, while in the next breath Winston and David re-state how they can walk away altogether.
The diametric policy differences will produce a buffet of dead rats that will led to the same incrementalism that doomed Labour.
That lack of traction on the social problems we face alongside the cost of living crisis demand responses National/ACT/NZF won’t have in their political DNA.
The full bite of the new mortgage rates many first time home buyers are rolling onto is denting hospitality, advertising slumps is destroying media and inflation keeps a new rate rise before Christmas a possibility.
600 000 require Food Banks each month, 300 000 face energy and housing poverty, 24 717 languish on the social housing wait list and the planet is melting.
The idea this grudge fuck of a Government can last 3 years without imploding is a gamble.
National/ACT/NZF represents Old Zealand and right now, Old Zealand is bound by a shared hate of beneficiaries, gangs and prisoners, but beyond this common malice towards the poorest and disenfranchised, the Alliance of Arseholes has nothing to offer but right wing vengeance.
How long will the NZ electorate find that bitter cocktail politically palatable?
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Buffet of dead rats is what MMP is.
Right through the year, the wider electorate saw Cluxon as smug, untrustworthy and aloof. Yet they voted for him.
He made no secret of the fact he wanted to sell our country from under us, helped by Seymour. That’s what the right does, they have donors to placate.
Every wee while J. Key popped his head up and offered unsolicited advice. At least it’s supposed to be unsolicited. But has Cluxon has been asking him for advice and Key now thinks this will be The Key Govt. version 2.
No thanks.
Have that pair cooked up a neat little scheme? They’d both get knighthoods and Key would get to be prime minister again through his puppet.
Ok, apparently Aucklanders are really angry with Labour. At least parts of Auckland still belong to us. We see the depredations of the real estate
non-industry all around, every day. Don’t landlords and foreigners have enough.
People were told they were angry and so the gullible ones got angry. How pathetic. They should be getting damned angry now, about the threat posed by this new govt.
All good points Joy….
It’s pretty obvious that Luxon is well out of his depth and is hoping that a bullshit and bravado approach will do the job.
Unfortunately for Luxon, politics doesn’t work like that…he’s in for a hiding..
Bullish can baffle brains …for about 5 minutes..
He has already made the biggest of mistakes…
Over promising, and as will prove to be inevitable, undelivering.
It’s all over for him…and rightly so..he won’t go the distance.
He’s just another Liz Truss…Goodbye!
Every forty years, or fewer, accumulated social tensions have combined with a feeling that Ao/NZ’s rulers somehow lack credibility, to cause a ‘big blue’, e.g. 1912/13 shortly after the election of W F Massey, 1951 shortly after the election of the first National Party government, and of course, 1981 with the Springbok Tour. I wonder whether a second election right now–with the consequent perception in some circles that a state now seen in many circles to consist of little more than a committee of landlords can’t even get its act together internally, let alone tackle any of our real problems–might trigger another ‘big blue’: which on a chronology of one-every-forty-years, is due in any case.
Interesting theory Chris. It’s ironic that William Massey is remembered by having a very working class suburb of Auckland named after him. Would he have approved, possibly not.
I agree that it’s very unlikely the self-serving rabble heading to Parliament now, will be able to govern anything, let alone tackle the problems we now face. They are all compromised, have baggage which proves they have few wits, only egos, and probably no intention of making life better for ordinary people.
Their impractical suggestions beggar belief. e.g. foundation to cover tattoos. I’d be too embarrassed to advance such silly ideas in public.
It’s all divide and rule. Get people worked up about diversions so they can slip their nasty little schemes past while no-one is looking.
What’s Key on about now, pandas? The world is burning, humans are adding to the conflagration everywhere and Key is talking about renting pandas. Is he serious and would his puppet listen to such nonsense? Does Auckland need the problem of having someone else’s pandas in their zoo?
These idiot ideas will keep dropping, taking attention away from what matters, and unless we have an early election and people come to their senses, this rubbish will still be grabbing headlines and nothing substantial will have changed in 3 years’ time.
It’s a lot more complicated than running a very small airline, which actually ran itself in spite of the CEO. Let’s hope our country can do the same.
Helen Clarke said don’t count out the possibility of Winston turning left. If he feels there can’t be a stable right of centre government he would make a deal on the left rather than be blamed for a second election. If there was a second election who knows how he and Act would fare. If he did get back in he would have to go left.
I agree Joseph except that Labour appear to have given up and look forward to being in opposition and TPM may well hate Winstone as much as Act do.
What’s wrong with Labour? Like seriously – why can’t they see this possibility, or if they can see it why don’t they act on it? It’s like they’ve got Chris Hipkins’ family locked up in a cellar somewhere.
If there were a second election who knows how ANY of the parties would fare. Just a guess, but it would be very different to the Nov result. NZF might not even reach 5%, penalized for failing to ‘deliver’ first time round. But a second election won’t happen. The three clowns will find a way to compromise for a while before the cracks start to show. What’s important is that those compromises are made transparent. Hoping too much?
And if he looks left he will expect to be PM
While a second election could happen, it would essentially be over differences among capitalist supporters and advocates with a side of culture war. So it would come down to a mock FPP Election. Left or Right? and NZ Labour will not go left at this juncture it seems, but thankfully Act is not feeling the love either!
I like this: “National/ACT/NZF represents Old Zealand and right now, Old Zealand is bound by a shared hate of beneficiaries, gangs and prisoners, but beyond this common malice towards the poorest and disenfranchised, the Alliance of Arseholes has nothing to offer but right wing vengeance.”
Except it requires a few changes to: National/ACT/NZF represents Old Zealand and right now, Old Zealand is bound by a shared hatred of everyone who isn’t like themselves, including (especially) each other, but beyond this common malice towards the poorest and disenfranchised, the Alliance of Arseholes has nothing to offer but right wing vengeance.
The Greens and TPM need to be urgently talking about how to force away from neoliberal rogernomics thinking. Even if a 3 way right wing coalition is cobbled together there is no guantee of a 3 year stable relationship.
Sorry should read ‘…… force Labour away from neolubdral rogernomics…..’. Unless Labour can be made to return to traditional values quickly another election would provide much the same result, except NZF would gain more votes.