The Housing speculation crisis can continue, our nothingness on the climate crisis can continue, inequality and child poverty can continue and beneficiaries still getting nothing can continue.
For the vast chunk of New Zealand who voted Labour in 2020, those problems can all continue AS LONG AS Jacinda protects us from Covid.
This latest outbreak is dangerous for our public health and dangerous for Labour’s popularity.
The Northland outbreak is already exposing the dreadful underfunding of Northland Health to have the capacity to deal with what is happening and it highlights that within the MIQ facilities themselves, these new mutations will turn them into infection vectors rather than preventions.
This has real political dimensions as well as public health and economic ones.
The math doesn’t lie.
The new UK strain is so many times more contagious, that their current level 4 lockdown procedures which would see a 30% reduction of transmission for the older Covid version would in fact see a 30% increase of transmission for the new mutation.
Mathematically for every 1000 Covid patients through our quarantine, 1 is going to get through.
We aren’t publicly doing enough in the Track and Trace front to give us enough warning when someone comes into a hospital sick and the far quicker transfer of the new strain means it will be well away in the Community before we are even aware of it.
Labour’s political success has been built from Jacinda’s handling of the pandemic, but it will evaporate if the virus gets lose inside NZ and the blame is pinned on incompetence.
Waiting until the end of March for frontline vaccinations when the math tells us there is likely to be an outbreak well before then is a huge gamble.
People will demand to know why the vaccine wasn’t available earlier.
Chippy should be moving heaven and earth to get those bloody early vaccines in as soon as possible and tighten those MIQ facilities for the new reality of these mutations.
Labour voters will allow Jacinda to betray all her progressive promises as long as she protects them from Covid, this dynamic will simply get more shrill as the virus continues to burn around the planet and dominate headlines.
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