It’s over for NZ First.
The dream of a nationalistic economic sovereignty that runs counter to free market neoliberalism dies at the Ballot Box this September.
Winston has lost his huff and puff, there is no immigration to spook the rednecks and the glacial movement of the State has made upgrades of the provinces slow and best.
They won’t cross 5% and the only way back in is if Shane Jones wins Northland.
Unfortunately that looks impossible with the most recent Northland Poll showing Matt King far ahead…
King is on 46 percent. Prime is on 31 percent and Jones is well behind both on 15 percent.
…the problem for Jones is that this is Northland, redneck banjo twanging fear of 5G and eclipses Northland where a boiled vanilla ham like Matt Fucking King can have a majority. For this electorate, Jones’ eloquence is too sophisticated. Northland voters have all the cosmopolitan charm of a hand job in a carpark.
In short, the fact Jones can read probably counts against him.
Northland is a National Party stronghold and without vast and identifiable infrastructure bordering on open bribery, it can’t sway National voters away from blue.
Let’s bow our head in prayer, it’s over for NZ First.
Though we never knew you at all
While those around you crawled
They crawled out of the media
And they whispered into your brain
They set you on the treadmill
And they made you change your game
Like a whisky in the wind
Never knowing which dog whistle to cling to
When the sinking polls set in
And I would have liked to have known you
But I was just a kid
Your whisky drained out long before
Your legend ever did
Increasingly having independent opinion in a mainstream media environment which mostly echo one another has become more important than ever, so if you value having an independent voice going into this pandemic and 2020 election – please donate here.
If you can’t contribute but want to help, please always feel free to share our blogs on social media.
Lol Jones’ eloquence too sophisticated?
The man is a buffoon who uses big words to sound impressive even when they don’t mean what he thinks they do.
Goodbye NZ First, didn’t someone say something about fooling some of the people some of the time yada yada?
They ran out of people.
Just too many lies, pretty much everything was a lie.
A shame because centering on our own sovereign nation to stimulate recovery, controlling immigration but otherwise supporting industry to that end : self sufficiency is what we have to do and should always have done.
It’s just they didn’t really stand for that.
I can see the headline now: Wristey Jones is wrecked
“Northland is a National Party stronghold”? The polls says Labour leads in the party vote for the electorate
Vicissitudes of politics.
Surely Peter Talley could find job for Mr. Jones: possibly tending surveillance cameras when they are reinstalled on fishing vessels – now that NZ First is gone.
And Winston?
Sir Winnie will surely emulate Jim Bolger and Mike Moore and take up residence in Washington D.C. as ambassador (where he may be able to catch up with Condoleezza Rice – for old times sake).
In blunt campaign terms Martyn is correct, but what can be done to prevent ex copper boofhead, King, getting in as well? I would like to see Labour go hard here, take a punt and bury Jones–“Win with Willow”–but they likely won’t. Willow Jean Prime is very popular in her local patches, but I sometimes wonder how many of her supporters are actually on the General rather than the Māori roll!
NZ First has long been a haven for voters that are off National, but cannot quite bring themselves to ever vote Labour, let alone Green. So no great loss to finally see them off, I said months ago here that while the PGF money has been hoovered up with all sorts of worthy projects, many of the recipients would still vote Nashnull.
Northland with its extensive post colonial fall out legacy is the last electorate that should be returning National MPs. All the reactionary old farmers and small business people, and East Coast retirees, in denial about the stolen land they are all sitting on. The Māori seat of Te Tai Tokerau actually works against Northland Māori sometimes, if they were all in the general roll, Northland would likely have ditched National years ago.
NZ1st took the wrong tack.
They should’ve focused on Tracey Martin winning Ohariu, and then making Tracey the leader.
God knows she’s the only competent one out of that bunch.
But after they’re out this year (and full disclosure: I used to PV NZ1 but not this year after they blocked cameras on Talley’s fishing boats) then they can spend time with Tracey Martin as leader. Maybe.
The same deal goes for the Greens who really need to spend a term in the wilderness. Their latest effort of mimicking NZ1st attack ad is right up there with Morris Dancing. Will appeal to their woke snowflakes, but won’t appeal to sensible middle class people who will look at the greens sitting on a unicorn throwing money and going WTF.
Ohariu voters used to vote for Peter Dunne without ever voting for NZ Future. Such vote splitting this this time round may well favour Tracey Martin.However, Jessica Hammond from the Opportunities Party is also a strong contender.
OMG this is so exciting!
Martyn, really…you should be cheering on Matt King instead of calling him a boiled ham. He’s making our dream come true.
Be nice now just for once!
On those poll numbers, Nats =46%, Lab + NZFirst = 46%. That would suggest at least half of Northland voters prefer more than a hand job in a car park. But unfortunately you are most likely correct Martyn that King because of the split vote will beat Prime and Jones, sadly another three years of nothing for Northland. The blue banjo twangs to a discordant tune while my guitar gently weeps.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=6SFNW5F8K9Y
Now that is an interesting poll !
A LOT of people in Kerikeri are voting for King JUST to stop Jones getting in, thinking that Willow-Jean couldn’t get in.
With these Figueres, watch Kings vote fall as people decide they can safely vote Labour and not let NZF in accidentally.
Someone gets it! Willow-Jean has “taken one for the team” two elections now, in this particular situation it is time to go hard.
Shane Jones was never a ‘shoe in’ in the provinces, as even in the Gisborne/HB provinces they both are very angry at NZ First and Labour not getting their broken railway back in service as both NZF and Labour had promised us all they would restore it to operation “when next in Government”
RAIL LINE WILL RETURN UNDER LABOUR
Thursday, April 03, 2014 • Wynsley Wrigley
Gisborne Herald.
LABOUR believes in rail and will bring back the Gisborne-to-Napier line, the party’s tourism and transport spokeswoman Darien Fenton said in Gisborne yesterday.
Ms Fenton and East Coast local list MP Moana Mackey visited Eastland Port where they discussed coastal shipping, met with Tourism Eastland and spoke to Gisborne District Council and members of the Chamber of Commerce.
The two MPs also travelled with John McLean, of the Rail Action Group, along the rail line and looked at former rail clients and potential new customers.
Ms Fenton said Labour believed in regional development where rail would play a key role.
Regional roads also played a vital role in regional development and a Labour government would not concentrate on the “golden roads” of Auckland as the current Government had, she said.
Forestry and wood products was a key Labour policy as recently announced by Labour leader David Cunliffle.
There was a misunderstanding that Labour intended to throw unskilled and unemployed people into highly skilled forestry work, said Ms Fenton. But there were opportunities for those people in planting.
There was strong iwi support for Labour’s forestry and wood policy.
Ms Fenton said she was new to her portfolios of transport and tourism, and her Gisborne trip was also a learning one.
There were great tourism opportunities in the district and she was keen to do “the coastal experience”.
Mr McLean showed the MPs former rail customers or potential customers such as Ovation, Ravensdown, Juken New Zealand, Weatherell Transport and potential mill sites in Dunstan Road.
Many of those locations are not connected to the rail line.
They also visited the Eastland Port’s inland port in Dunstan Road.
“I’ve never seen an inland port without a rail connection,” said Ms Fenton.
Mr McLean told the MPs he favoured a rail marshalling yard at Matawhero where customers could take their containers and reduce the number of trucks driving into the city.
NZ First’s gone because it’s no longer needed.
No matter the conventional politics, no matter the ideals and values disingenuously spouted out, no matter the slanging matches…
The cold hard basic fact is that we AO/NZ’ers are still lost at sea in a leaky neoliberal boat. Nothing, about that, has changed.
It’s my observation that ‘neoliberalism’ is a kit set politic. It can be built in such a way as to do a certain job depending on what’s tasked with. IN AO/NZ’s case, it enabled a very few to make off with a very efficient and very profitable system of state owned enterprises.
I.e. We owned it. We are the State. All of us.’The State’ is us. It would pay to remember that. Because one of the tactics built into AO/NZ’s own particular iteration of neoliberalism was to convince us that the ‘State’ was the problem and business would be much better without the State’s silly little limitations.
AKA making sure, we were, and it was, perpetually protecting itself and us in it’s day to day running’s. And it was easy to convince we AO/NZ’ers of that because all Big Business had to do was manipulate the bureaucracies of OUR State Owned systems to fail us in its duties.
State owned enterprises will always be clunky. There will always be hangers-on and self serving bureaucrats dragging their heels to retirement with a kick back and a pension. But like a big old American V8 car with it’s crude carburettor and basic automatic gear box and suspension trundling along, it’ll get you there. And if it breaks down, it’s easy to fix.
But now? Since our ‘State Owned’ infrastructure’s been car jacked and is now a rusting hulk under a hedge, our cash is in the pockets of others and we’re a fractured and derailed people, many of whom are living in terminal poverty and so are powerless and helpless there’s no need for the political machinations of a Machiavellian confederate party who showed that they were always ready to take on the Big Guys when in reality, they were one of the Big Guys.
The only thing left for them to sell is our country to a foreign power. And if you don’t believe me then you’re not paying attention to what’s left of our msm.
When you drive through our farming lands and you see, by a significant majority, national party hoardings in farmers paddocks? You should be very, very concerned for your future and your country’s on-going sovereignty.
Aye, just seen Woods on the Hui talking about what one of her other Doc!s, one about construction. Anyway so as the Minister of Housing she is proposing a longterm refit of Social Housing with solar panels great yet it being long term why not after the election and it is looking like a landslide victory with possible Greens with hands out,( let us help)? What she should do and fast is go back to the good old days of State Ownership of all power generation and profer affordable power to the people, and not allow the multi-grid-controllers, and multi-power providers to gouge the populace like a charging bull.
I’ve been looking at the election billboards going up. Most have the party leaders’ faces on them, along also with that of the party’s local candidate.
However, as far as NZF is concerned, only Winston Peters’ face appears on the party’s billboards! If there is no local candidate standing for a seat, then I would have thought having an image of NZF’s MPs appearing together as a team more appropriate, other than that of only Peters.
Then I guess, there is no team in NZF … only Winston Peters, which says it all really! No wonder the party is sinking at a great rate of knots, which will unfortunately take a very good MP such as Tracey Martin with it!
If the latest poll indicates that the Greens may not get the 5% needed to get a few Green MPs into parliament the outcome is that their votes will be lost , not only for the Greens but for Labour (As a support for them). so there is no good reason for Labour not to strategically support Vote Party Green in some of their weaker electorates. So why not do it?
This assumes that Labour wants the Greens as a support. Certainly if the Greens fail to get any MP’s in at this election that is the end for them. However I dont belief that Labour wants the Greens in Parliament. They secretly want a two Party system and always have.
Adopting the MMP system was a mistake. Using STV doesn’t waste votes and virtually ensures that there is a place for Parliament for the Greens.
Bradford’s salty eloquence matches or exceeds well that of Mr Jones.
Perhaps this will be his song after the election.
Me and Mrs Jones https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=xPQZEeXHxNI
Of course Winston has made a career based on those who have written him off as ‘this time’ he is certainly dead and buried. He is zombie politician that eats jellied media brains at election time.
OK Martyn so National are going to win Northland because that electorate is so full of “deplorables”? Now where have I heard this before?
Another possibility is that the government handed Northland to National by allowing iwi to set up their own Covid-19 checkpoints.
Comments are closed.