If anyone could win an electorate seat for the Greens, it’s Chloe.
I am a huge fan of her’s and believe she is a future leader who has more capacity to lift the Greens in terms of political support and gaining a 20% aspiration than any other green politician.
Chloe’s electorate attempt in Central Auckland is the only antidote to the grim reality that the Green brand has become too alienating and they will get swamped under the 5% threshold by Jacinda’s stella leadership.
So could Chloe win it?
The current electorate math is stacked against her and Labour’s low ranking of Helen White makes the 2 for 1 argument weaker to win over Labour voters, but Chloe is an extraordinary candidate whose third placed Mayoralty run tapped into an organic electorate who hadn’t previously voted.
Nikki Kaye’s extra exposure as Deputy has unfortunately highlighted her weaknesses, not her strengths so a Chloe vs Nikki Kaye electorate debate could be the amazing catalyst for a spectacular upset.
In any normal election, I’d say there was no way even a stella candidate like Chloe could wrestle Auckland Central away from Nikki Kaye, but this election, after the madness of the pandemic and lockdown?
In this election, the urge for vision is driving voters.
Chloe has that.
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Don’t dismiss Helen White. She has all the attributes of a good member for Auckland Central: she grew up there, she’s a lawyer and a mother, left wing, personable and attractive/photogenic. I knew her as a young volunteer for Corso (left leaning NZ aid agency that folded) showing her dedication to the under privileged and left wing causes. Definitely a brilliant candidate
Unless Labour drops out (they never will stop fighting Auckland central) a strong campaign from the greens makes Nikki Kaye winning the seat inevitable.
Just like the greens and Labour running against each other in Nelson means Nick Smith will win there. It really is too bad that Jacinda comes from the right of Labour (she does she really really does, caucus picked her unanimously and the membership would never have picked her in a leadership contest) and looks down on election pacts even though nearly every European country with proportional voting has a red green left alliance at nearly every election and will do seat deals, Labour is as bad as National about understanding MMP but atleast national is smart enough to do electorate deals.
I wish the greens luck, it’d be an incredible win
Good points Corey. As in the right of Labour Jacinda’s allies were Robertson and Twyford, they are still her close allies and neo-liberals at heart.
Do you think the tactical arrangement you suggest would mean Chloe rather than Helen? Probably the better known candidate would attract a bigger vote??
I met Chloe Swabrick in her gallery once.
She appeared to me to be intelligent, genuine, clear and direct and I would confidently say she has a good heart.
I would wish her well which is more than I can say about the rest of the fuckers.
Come on Martyn, even your idol Jacinda lost Auckland Central how many times? They had to parachute her into the save as houses Mt Albert electorate or get another spanking.
Btw is there actually a Green Party in the coalition? I see that the Campbell Island marine reserve is not being increased and the Green Party do what? Nothing, because they’ve falling in love with the ministerial BMWs to care too hoots about the environment. So that’s now the Kermedecs, cameras on fishing boats and Campbell Island now. It seems that if you actually care about the environment you’d vote National…
Bg
” It seems that if you actually care about the environment you’d vote National…”
How does that make sense?
We would have had cameras on fishing vessels, the Kermedec Sanctuary, Campbell Island sanctuary probably increased. Obviously some money has changed hands to make none of those possible. Btw it was National and the Greens that brought in the home insulation scheme. The Greens are in govt now, and what have they achieved, apart from being walked over by NZ First and Labour.
The insulation scheme was agreed to by the Clark Labour government who were voted out in 2008. The deal had already been done and it was a very convenient green wash for that idle muck raker John Key. Look at how much I care. etc etc etc. Yeah nah BG.
The Greens did all the hard yards on the insulation policy. National as usual did fuck all except take thte credit.
But pass it…
yawn!
Well, somewhere in the country, Labour needs to assist the Greens to take an electorate seat–if they ever want to get policy such as Fair Pay Agreements and Light Rail and Welfare Reform happening. But maybe the caucus does not really want to go there…
Jacinda has done well in the disaster stakes for sure, but Corey Humm is dead right about Jacinda’s political space. I remember the TV news shot of her and Grant Robertson in a corridor when David Cunliffe’s narrow leadership win was announced, she looked shocked and highly pissed off.
That’s right Tiger Mountain. Which is why Robertson and Ardern went thru the new Labour Leadership rules with a fine lens. And the loophole to change leadership 4weeks out from an election without the membership voting was found. Voila! I will never vote for the people who knifed Cunliffe. His expertise is so sorely needed right now. No one in the present parliament comes within a whisper of his experience in economic and finance. Seat warmers and visionless salary collectors. Sadly.
I saw another Parliamentary clip when Cunliffe’s victory was announced – one of Jacinda and Phil Twyford close together looking thoroughly pissed off. Twyford recovered his political nonce sufficiently to fly up to Auckland and attend the celebratory meeting in Cunliffe’s electorate office. A survivor; other rent seekers take note.
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