Simon Bridges kicked things off yesterday by making the first strategic blunder of the 2020 election by going waaaaaaay too early in ruling NZ First out.
His announcement would have been far more powerful at the height of the election campaign, but going so early robs it of impact and it allows Labour to reset its strategy and look to cut electorate deals to ensure NZ First and the Greens remain above the 5% threshold and allows the 3 parties to campaign as a Government.
However.
Jacinda bewilderingly ruled that utterly out on Breakfast TVNZ saying that there would be no electorate deals.
She either knows the donations murkiness will swallow NZ First and she wants to put distance between Labour and Winston or she hasn’t fully thought out the new dynamics of the political landscape in the wake of Simon’s announcement.
By ruling out using MMP strategically however in such clear language, Jacinda has made the second strategic blunder of Election 2020.
The Prime Minister seems to be under the belief that her Government is remarkably popular and doesn’t need to use every tool possible to stop an ACT-National Government from winning in September.
Yes, Jacinda needs good “experts” in political strategy to guide her as she is making a mistake there seriously alraight.
Simple Simon give her a trop card to play when he mistakenly ruled out “working with NZ First” as half the members are actually right wingers anyway, so she has dropped the ball in a serios mistake there.
Commendable comment Prime Minister.
You demonstrate that you are above putting the fate of Labour, being a party built on principles and mass participation, in the hands of a party built on One Person and populist pandering to passing problems.
However, Bomber has a point. Whereas National will ensure they have a running mate via gifting Epsom to ACT; as a strategy Labour might anoint the Greens (a party not build on the persona of one person) with a gifted electorate seat.
In 2016 and 2017 The Daily Blog lead by Bomber was correct and The-Woke-Standard was incorrect. In 2018 the-woke-standard was a little correct and TDB incorrect. In 2019 they where both incorrect. Bomber predicted The Rebublicans would gain a 12 seat majority and the-woke-standard predicted the democrats would win a 14 seat senate majority. The Republicans ended up gaining one seat. Bomber was wrong by 11 seats and the-woke-standard was wrong by 15 seats. Based on this track record Jacinda would be foolish to ignore Bomber.
Look to the right. Vernon Tava and his Blue Gween machine is starting to pick up some momentum with flakey Labour, National voters and disenfranchised, delusional Gweenies who believe in Gween Wash’n Capitalism works and will allow them to continue their consuming habits. Sustainable NZ party!
Tava is just Nick Smith in disguise.
I think this coalition might have autism, an inability to understand visual cues, behavioural norms and environmental constructs. Sure we need to impulsively splurge on neglected infrastructure and high quality motorways to shuttle tourists and immigrants around, but communities need bloody attention and funding now. Sure this coalition isn’t buying into the adolescent prophets of climate doom just yet, because Aucklanders have to drive their cars on something, to get to their low wage economy Ponzi scheme job somehow. And obviously politicians have a god given right to get to their holiday home out east 5 minutes earlier via a freeway, but ignoring professional advice on improving the lives of the most vulnerable in favour of buying tarseal, concrete, metal and wood is negligent. Or maybe the coalition is going to release it’s social and environmental policies, including improving the lot of those not upper class, before the election. You know, so we love the coalition because they love us. Or maybe they have a social illness and lack the capacity to understand people.
Right on Rosco.
You should get a job with Jacinda.
Good strategy Bro.
All the political parties deal in skulduggery. Question for the voter is, which devil do you want to know? Check out The Snoopman for it’s latest expose on the theft of taxpayer money: The Snoopman reveals
Quote Fletcher Building Ltd was granted waivers that lay bare the institutional racism of the Crown, the Council and the Courts. Not only were ministerial waivers required for a crucial breach of the Overseas Investment Act to get the Ihumātao land deal approved before the conditional sale agreement time-window ended.
With official documents – some heavily redacted – a picture of collusion is shown to have taken place between the Auckland Council, the Overseas Investment Office, the Key Ministry Cabinet, the Environment Court and the Ardern Coalition Government. Unquote
So which devil will it be for you??
Yes Fletchers have had their dirty little fingers in many pies and they wont be the only ones.
Labour has made little effort in Northland/Whangarei or Far North end of Te Tai Tokerau for years, apart from sabotaging Hone Harawira’s Internet Mana parliamentary bid, and it shows. Willow Jean Prime list MP has done some good work though, is always out and about among the people, and regularly has tory FNDC Mayor John Carter at her side at openings and functions. She can work both sides of the isle, Carter obviously loathes Labour but he loves the funding stream that he can associate himself with.
PGF money has been poured into various Māori owned micro projects from Taro to vineyards, and the recent infrastructure announcement. Rates arrears on Māori owned freehold land are to be written off which has got a lot of support, it will free up land for economic development at last.
But the question is will this increase the Labour or NZ First vote? It will certainly neutralise some of the Nat whinging and attack lines such as a four lane highway Marsden Pt to Whangarei city, and other expenditure they never made or were likely to. But voting National is a very entrenched bad habit in the North and will take more than cash to overcome in the short term. Jacinda has missed a perfect opportunity to do some creative thinking and get say Willow Jean in Northland, and one of the NZ First people in Whangarei as electorate MPs.
Is it really a blunder or a ploy by Jacinda she ain’t as stupid as some make her out to be. Give credit where credit is due. Maybe she believes her Labour Party can get more party votes and therefore hold more power and then truly be able to be transformative. Trade- offs are imminent in MMP and they can cost you votes we saw this with the Maori Party.
The operative word here is “woke.”
Jacinda knows exactly what she is doing, she wants the softer urban Nat and swing voters to vote for her and for Labour’s Jacinda Brand ticket. So she does not need leftist or even green voters to win. It’s the middle class ‘centre’, stupid.
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