For all the climate deniers & big polluter pimps this Super El Nino will be a nightmare

A looming Super El Niño could push New Zealand’s climate crisis into overdrive, intensifying extreme weather, driving up insurance costs, and exposing just how unprepared the country is for what’s coming.

‘Formidable’ El Niño predicted to arrive this winter, in ‘rapid flip’ from La Niña

A “formidable” El Niño is expected to arrive from winter onwards, influencing weather patterns across the country, and potentially bringing reduced rainfall in some areas.

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Global climate models now show a clear consensus for an El Niño event to arrive this winter, Earth Sciences New Zealand said in a statement on Wednesday.

The weather event has been developing in the tropical Pacific Ocean for the past six months, and has a greater than 60% probability that it will be classified as “strong” by spring, with the potential to intensify further later in the year, Earth Sciences said.

“La Niña has only just ended, but there are indications that we’ll see a rapid flip to El Niño,” Earth Sciences New Zealand and MetService meteorologist Jon Tunster said.

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What a Super El Niño means for New Zealand

This could be devastating.

Firstly, La Niña is the cooling system, so look at all the heat records that were broken during the cool part of the climate, now imagine how much worse those records will get as we enter the heating phase, and what a heating phase.

A couple of times a century you get a super El Niño — the last one was in 1877 and kicked off a drought that killed 3% of the world’s population, we haven’t had one of those since then, so the possibility of facing one now should  force everyone to sit up and notice.

It’s not about the science for National, ACT and NZ First voters, it’s a culture war.

They hate having to admit that climate change isn’t. socialist hoax and they refuse to admit that the Left have been right about this all along.

Climate Change is here, we are utterly unprepared for the reality of it.

This Government has attacked the environment over and over and over again for their big pollution donors and as the consequences of that crony capitalism start becoming more and more apparent with extreme weather event after extreme weather event, the Right are desperately scrambling.

Climate denial has become politically calcified

The Political Right in New Zealand will be screaming climate change is a socialist hoax as the country spasms from the latest extreme weather events.

The Political Right are so desperate to convince you that human pollution is not super heating the planet to push us beyond tipping points that once breached represent an existential threat to us as a species that their favourite Hate Trolls were attempting to convince you that the tragic Mt Maunganui slips were caused by co-governance, not climate change…

…the denial by the Right has become politically calcified…

…Whatever the environmental problem is, the Right’s response is ‘More Cows! More Mining! No Co-Governance’.

How polluters fund climate denial in New Zealand

The Dark Ag money washes through the Taxpayers’ Union stable of clients to fund Groundswell and other astro turf organisations to manipulate your prejudices and anger and ignorance so you end up blaming the environmentalists NOT the polluters!!!

We are so easily manipulated by the Polluters in this country.

Insurance companies are already pricing in climate collapse

You might think climate change is a socialist hoax, but your insurance company sure as f**k doesn’t…

According to reporting by RNZ, AA Insurance has temporarily halted new home insurance policies in Westport due to flood risk.

Insurer temporarily halts new policies in Westport due to flood risk

A major insurance company has temporarily stopped offering new home insurance policies in Westport because of the town’s flood risk.

A climate change policy expert says AA Insurance’s decision will be the first of many, and is urging insurers to be transparent when they withdraw from an area.

RNZ

…this is the age of consequences and your denial means nothing.

this Hard Right Government has waged war on all environmental protections, have pushed fast track powers for polluters and produced a methane level that was a joke.

Let’s be clear, there are solutions to this but when so many ACT, NZ First and National voters point blank refuse to accept or acknowledge that pollution is dangerously warming the planet from points of no return, then nothing can be achieved.

The Real Cost Of Extreme Weather

Climate change: Fronting up to managed retreat – Simon Wilson

Floods, cyclones, and the real cost of “business as usual”

• The cost to insurers of 2023’s Auckland Anniversary floods and Cyclone Gabrielle was initially estimated at more than $3.5 billion.
• More than 115,000 claims were lodged after the two natural disasters.
• Premiums for house, content and car insurance have soared over the past year – the cost of insuring a house increased six times faster than incomes for the year to March 2024.

…despite the claims by the Political Right that climate change is a socialist hoax and despite this Government amputating climate change budgets, and despite the polluter industry getting legislation re-written for them, despite all that, catastrophic climate change continues escalating, the planet continues to melt and insurance goes through the roof.

Helen Clark Foundation Warning On Insurance Collapse

The Helen Clark Foundation has been raising the alarm over insurance affordability in the face of climate change and her solution is a publicly funded insurance policy for flooding and far more mitigation and managed retreat…

New report warns of insurance crisis due to climate change; urges immediate action

A new report by the Helen Clark Foundation and engineering consultants WSP highlights a looming crisis for residential insurance in Aotearoa New Zealand. As climate-related extreme weather events escalate in frequency and intensity, ‘insurance retreat’ could leave thousands of properties unprotected.

An estimated 10,000 coastal properties in Auckland, Wellington, Christchurch, and Dunedin could become uninsurable by 2050 due to coastal erosion and inundation. Properties located in flood prone areas inland are similarly at risk.

The report – titled Premiums Under Pressure – How climate change will reshape residential property insurance, and what to do about it – finds that, without intervention, residential insurance premiums for flood prone properties will continue to rise steeply and become unaffordable for many, with insurers eventually expected to withdraw flood coverage altogether for the most at-risk properties.

Low-income households and communities will be disproportionately affected, with unaffordable premiums likely to leave many without coverage just when they need it most. This poses a serious social equity issue for the nation.

As insurers adopt ‘risk-based pricing’ due to climate change impacts, WSP Fellow and report author Kali Mercier says the thorny challenge facing policymakers is how to keep premiums accessible and affordable.

Election 2026 And The Climate Divide

…we are in denial about what climate change means and we are in denial over the speed with which the climate is fundamentally changing in ways that will make failing states implode.

We are not ready politically, socially or economically for the adaptation in front of us, especially with this climate denying Government.

But those insurance rates don’t lie no matter how much we want to pretend free market consumerism as usual is still possible on a burning planet.

This isn’t a science issue any longer because the f**king science is stalled, this is a culture war where resentful National, ACT and NZ First supporters will not concede that the Left is right about climate change.

These climate deniers would rather go under than admit the Left was right — and they are dragging the rest of the country down with them.

Climate Change is no longer about science, it’s a culture war staging ground.