Although Russia’s offensive operations continue, it is clear they have lost momentum. Activity continues but there are no significant gains, even at Bakhmut the point of ‘main effort’ Russian advances can only be measured in metres. Large numbers of Wagner Group and Russian airborne soldiers, Russia’s best soldiers continue to be killed trying to take the town. Along the remainder of the frontline, small Russian attacks and artillery bombardments continue.
North of Bakhmut on the Kremina-Svatove Line, blows are exchanged with little or no change in frontline positions. Fifty kilometres south of Bakhmut, at Avdiivdka Russia is attacking but again only in small groups and with limited success. However, this area is developing into an area of interest for Russian forces probably probing for an opportunity to break the Ukrainian line in the east. If Russia was to make gains in Avdiivdka then it might be able to put pressure on Bakhmut from the south.
Russian tactics are evolving and recent changes include; the development of ‘storm groups,’ small teams consisting of a couple of dozen soldiers and half a dozen vehicles, normally a couple of tanks and three or four armoured personal carriers. The manpower of a storm group normally consists of about half new conscripts or ex-prisoners and about half experienced professional soldiers. The inexperienced soldiers or prisoners being used to advance on an enemy position, drawing fire and allowing the tanks and professional soldiers to identify Ukrainian targets. The fact that the Russian Army would use tactics like this demonstrates the callous attitude of its leadership and in turn why most Russian soldiers are unmotivated.
And; there are clear signs that Russia is reaching a point of exhaustion not only because on the battlefield the size and scale of their attacks is diminishing but also because their logistics support is collapsing. The International Institute of Strategic Studies recently estimated that 40% of Russia’s total tank force is destroyed, including 50% of their modern fleet. Forcing Russia to use its vast reserves of obsolescent tanks and fighting vehicles because Russian industry cannot produce new tanks quickly enough. Meaning that Russia is now refurbishing and bringing tanks like the T54/55 into the frontline, a model that entered service in 1948! Likewise, antiquated trucks are being pulled out of reserve stocks and brought forwards. At this stage the question is whether Russian industry will be able to catch up and start providing new equipment to the army in Ukraine? It seems unlikely, and that without Chinese support and with pressure from sanctions Russia will struggle to mobilise the industrial capacity to change this situation. Last week John Kirby, United States Security Spokesman stated that Russia is negotiating with North Korea offering food for weapons and ammunition. Asking pariah state North Korea for help clearly indicates that China is not supporting Russia and demonstrates the material difficulties Russia is facing.
Further, at a human level Russian casualties are enormous. The United Kingdom’s Secretary of Defence last week estimating that Russia has suffered 220,000 casualties. This figure was consistent with United States Chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff, General Miley’s estimate of approximately 200,000, the general commenting to Congress that “Their offensive aspirations have come essentially to a halt. Their capabilities have been, their ground forces have been absolutely impaled on this Ukrainian bayonet, so to speak.” 200-220,000 casualties in little over a year is huge, the United States suffered roughly the same number across 19 years of fighting in Vietnam. Likewise, in the 10 years that they fought in Afghanistan, the Soviet Union suffered about 70,000 casualties.
Meanwhile, 14,000 Ukrainian soldiers trained in the United Kingdom recently arrived back in Ukraine. This is on top of about 20,000 trained in Poland, Germany, the United States and other NATO countries in 2022. Ukraine’s current tank fleet is larger than when the war started because of the numbers of Russian tanks Ukraine has captured. The current balance being about 900 Ukrainian tanks to about 1800 Russian tanks, not including later model NATO tanks that are now starting to arrive in country. This disparity in numbers is significant, however as NATO tanks start to arrive this will reduce and most analysts expect about 250 Challengers, Leopards and Abrams tanks to trickle into Ukraine in the first half of this year. Already, 30-40 are in country and their impact when combined with excellent training and motivated crews will be significant.
Although you may hear commentators state that Russia has the initiative, this is not correct. Russian activity should not be confused with the ability to rapidly transform the battle, or ‘holding the initiative’ in military terminology. At this stage the next ‘play’ will happen at a time and place of Ukraine’s choosing. Russia has tried hard to initiate a change in the status quo and failed. Now Russia, with its forces spread thin on a wide front from the Dnipro River, east to Vuhledar then north through Bakhmut to the border is weak. Ukraine holds ‘interior lines’ and is currently defensively postured, meaning it can pull tanks back from the front and centralise them. And; with 900 tanks at its disposal Ukraine can already create a reserve ready for offensive operations. The arrival of more NATO tanks will only improve their position.
So, Russia is stuck waiting and hoping that when the weather turns and the ground dries out, they can hold their line. Defence Minister, Sergei Shoigu’s plans for enlarging the Russian army are worthless if Russia is ejected from Ukraine; or even if just the land corridor to Crimea can be captured. If Ukraine can isolate land access to Crimea, it is only a matter of time before the Kerch Bridge is destroyed; and Crimea becomes untenable and losing Crimea would be a significant blow to Putin.
And; this is why we are seeing a range of dangerous Russian activity this week. Putin’s nuclear sabre rattling continues and China was quick to respond rebuking Russia; demonstrating that it has no tolerance for nuclear threats. However, Nobel Prize winning Russian journalist Dmitri Muratov expressed his concerns about Russian propaganda that he feels is preparing the Russian people for the use of nuclear weapons. A dangerous trend highlighted by an expert, reminding the world that we cannot entirely ignore Putin’s rhetoric and that policy makers and the wider community needs to be prepared to face more threats of this nature from Putin.
Another example of dangerous Russian activity is the increase in Russian naval activity in the North Sea. Russian submarines were reported around the Norwegian oil fields this week. Probably, gathering information and reconnoitring oil infra-structure; or more likely the myriad of submarine communications cables that provide Europe’s internet connections. It seems unlikely that Russia would directly attack a NATO country’s oil or communications infrastructure because that would immediately require a NATO response. NATO has about 340,000 well-trained professional soldiers ready across Europe backed by hundreds of modern tanks, fighter aircraft and the best intelligence and surveillance capabilities in the world so provoking NATO would create a significant threat to Russia.
At sea we know that after the Nord Stream pipeline sabotage in 2022, NATO immediately doubled its presence in the Baltic deploying 30 ships into the area. Likewise, surveillance of the North Sea and the famous ‘GIUK;’ or Greenland, Iceland, United Kingdom gap increased. Hence, this week we saw film of Russian submarine periscopes and other evidence of Russian activity in the North Sea. Video footage being released publicly is probably to deter Russian activity because ‘if you can be filmed you can be attacked;’ and it is a very good demonstration of NATO’s surveillance capability.
Russia is also active in the Pacific, desperately trying to demonstrate its relevance as a world power by testing missiles in the Sea of Japan. Although far from Europe, this provocative action contributes to the developing picture of Russia running out of options in Ukraine and looking for ways to scare NATO away from supporting Ukraine.
In summary, the next few weeks are likely to be similar; the latest weather information from Ukraine indicates that the ground there will probably remain muddy and essentially impassable for armoured formations until April. Therefore, it seems unlikely that we will see large-scale Ukrainian activity in the next few weeks but look out for more information operations by Ukraine; either to turn attention away from a targeted area or to create uncertainty by claiming that Ukraine needs more support before it can launch its offensive. It is also likely that we will see an information vacuum appear in the area that will be targeted, there will be no news stories or information about the area in the media as Ukraine diverts attentions elsewhere.
It is likely, that we will see more Ukrainian attacks in depth like the recent attacks on sites in Crimea. Combined with ongoing but seldom reported partisan activity, these attacks will contribute information to Ukraine and reduce Russian morale and logistics capacity.
And; as Ukraine prepares for its offensive, we will see Russia working hard to threaten NATO and its allies. While using its rotation as Chair of the United Nations Security Council to try and plead its case to the disenfranchised nations of the world, aiming to retain its relevance by casting itself as a great power damaged and oppressed by the West.
At this time, I am mindful of New Zealand Prime Minister, Peter Fraser who was a rare representative of a small country during the establishment of the United Nations and argued unsuccessfully against the Security Council’s structure that guaranteed seats to contemporary ‘great powers;’ the United States, the Soviet Union, the United Kingdom, China and France and enshrined a power of veto for each of them. Unfortunately, short-sighted pragmatism prevailed and 80 years later we have the farcical situation of pariah state Russia, led by a President charged with war crimes, Chairing the world’s premiere security forum.
Ben Morgan is a bored Gen Xer and TDBs military blogger
Still Russia’s to lose, but that won’t stop Featherston II for the New Axis shills 🙂
Boring Ben…where were you while Ukraine was blowing up the Donbass over the last 8 years? No where!
Ben Morgan provided an analysis not an opinion.
Why the anger?
Johan Thiart – This is CIA analysis – this is not honest, accurate analysis…Ben has been publishing CIA talking points for a while…it is dishonest, and boring
We can agree on that. Intelligence services could easily be renamed as counter and insurgency management authorities.
They probably create more shit than they prevent. Granted, that what they prevent is difficult to determine if not impossible.
Boring Ben…where were you while Ukraine was blowing up the Donbass over the last 8 years? No where!
And that makes that what Putin is doing right?
Johan Thiart – And, Ukraine Actions..?
And what did Ukraine do to draw this response from Russia?
Johan Thiart – Bombing Donbass region with Ukraine, which has Russian, and Ukraine citizens for 8 years, despite being told to knock it off….
Objective reading of the Minsk 2 agreement and commentary by Chatham House may be useful. Action and reaction. This was never one way traffic.
Objective and Chatham House in the same sentence.
I smell a fresh polsci degree.
You got a lot of growing up to do.
Crisisgroup.org
Draw your own conclusions.
Spare us the agitprop Nathan. Perhaps you are receiving money from Vulkan to write this bs!
GadFly -Huh??
yes
Yes, yes it does
Targeting women and children. Many of whom are ethnic Russians. Many of whom lived inside the Soviet Union.
Exactly Johan. Somehow this will be the fault of the US and NATO. When I am saying that I mean who Russia decides to target. All this shit about liberating people, give me a break. I don’t think anyone is suggesting collateral damage.
NATO, America and the rest of the world are not blameless though.
For one thing we have known since the inception of the UN that it fails to deal with high risk geopolitical issues.
Russia gets pushed back to its borders, Ukraine joins NATO and the EU , and the whole Russian agression stops dead.
Anything else results in and endless war
Thanks Ben, keep them coming!
Thanks.
The intensification in Russian rhetoric suggests to me that they are looking for a way out of this mess.
I think the Russians are keen to avoid the fire storm that will be unleashed on their forces once the Ukrainian air defence systems and newly trained forces with equipment reach the battle field.
How to reach a settlement that safeguards Ukrainian border integrity and Russian (Putins ambitions) ambitions feels like a chicken and egg dilemma.
Middle class NZers, especially those on fixed incomes, are going to pay a hefty price in terms of the devaluation of their accumulated wealth as a result of this mess.
Russia still losing? Any day now? No news from the western front, all is the good and as it should be? Z still traveling the world begging for money none of the country that he goes to have? The grift still working?
Yeah, this isn’t going to age well, is it?
Western arms suppies are going to cross the Russian redline (they already have)
And Russia will act as they have warned with a major strike, which will outrage the west, but will force them to give up Ukraine shaking their fists and making Russia seem as bad as possible.
It is crucial to the Nato war effort that asset like Ben ply the “Russia is losing” lie over and over so they can act outraged and try and get Western vassals and client states to break all ties with Russia (and China) when Russia’s Big Dick move on the West comes. It’s al about making Russia seem as evil as possible, stopping countries joining Russia against the flaccid corrupt West now, its the only victory left to them.
Retake Mariupol, then Berdyansk and Melitopol.
Putin says what he gonna do. Remember everyone Putin isn’t the main aggressor in this conflict it NATO it always has been.
The stenographer isn’t at fault here either, he’s just an employee of ASPI, soon he’ll be ratcheting up the props on China our largest and most important trading partner.
Cut the NATO agressor Kremlin narrative BS.
Putin has had this planned for over ten years. He has had a big boner for Ukraine ever since he cemented his power base.
And like every sociopathic strongman, he just can’t resist playing the conquering dictator. Because like druggies need another hit, and the neighborhood dog loves to shit on your front lawn, dictators need countries to invade and plunder.
Wow, and that’s why he let Nato play patsy with the Minsk accords for 8 years while Ukraine dug in. Genius.
Crisisgroup.org shows a graph that tells a different story.
Minsk2 with all its flaws seems to have done the trick and then …… Putin escalated.
Putin can stop this carnage without more bloodshed.
Ukraine unable to stop this war even at the cost of massive further loss of life that will surely result from the counter attack.
But counter attack it will be.
What are you talking about?
Merkel admitted exactly this: they armed Ukraine while it delayed implementing Minsk
It was only after 2012 when Putin faced huge protests over his re-election that he began to criticise NATO. The anti-NATO stance is a ploy by Putin to stay in power indefinitely.
All the Putinists on this site have been sucked in by hostile propaganda.
You’ll laugh at this.
Convert all AO/NZ dairy factories into (MDMA) Methylenedioxymethamphetamine manufacturing plants immediately then export to the world generally and to Russia/Ukraine specifically then crop dust as required.
Alcohol and Drug Foundation: Australia
https://adf.org.au/drug-facts/mdma/
“MDMA is an empathogen, which increases an individual’s feeling of empathy and kindness, and increases feelings of being socially accepted by and connected to others1.”
Need I write more?
I probably do;
What’s better? A slaughter fest orcastrated to make vast money for the Global weapons manufacturing industry psychopaths? ( We know that’s the case, so forget any arguments to the contrary. )
OR Peace. Ground level peace. No body bags containing the bits of people once loved and nurtured. No dye cast on the battle ground to remind those who fought that they now must hate until history turns current events into dusty relics in a museum. Peace and love. Proper love. Good ol love.
Anyone who’s taken E, proper E at say a music venue, as I have, will know that deliberately hurting someone is all but impossible. Instead, one harmonises with the people around you. Harmonising with strangers. You can’t sell guns, bullets, rockets and bombs to people who’re harmonising with one another. In AO/NZ it’s impossible now to buy good and proper E. At least that’s what I find. But we can buy alcohol, get drunk then beat someone to a pulp, go to jail and in the process ruin not only one’s own life but the lives of others. And that drug, alcohol, is available at supper markets. ( Except Southland.)
AO/NZ should become the world leader in MDMA exporting and let the poor fucking cows out. Or eat them. Peel off their skins to make car seats then eat their flesh. Now take an E and try that on? Best have a box of tissues on stand-by.
The Christmas truce (German: Weihnachtsfrieden; French: Trêve de Noël; Dutch: Kerstbestand) was a series of widespread unofficial ceasefires along the Western Front of the First World War around Christmas 1914.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Christmas_truce
https://www.worldwar1centennial.org/index.php/communicate/press-media/wwi-centennial-news/3884-why-the-christmas-truce-endures-in-historical-memory.html
In the last few days the east of Ukraine has had the biggest snowfall for a decade; a bit late in the season, so by the time it has melted the ground will be impassable mud for a couple of weeks, so don’t expect any major advances from either side.
given that Russia is intending to secure the Donbass for the indigenous ethnic Russian inhabitants they will not be wanting to smash up every inch of it as they advance. It makes perfect sense while Ukraine (Zelensky anyway) seems to want to fight the whole war in Bakhmut well that would seem like a good idea to me.
Many commentators talk about the failure of Russia to cut off and completely surround Bakhmut but what they are doing makes perfect sense to me.They have complete artillery cover of the two main roads into the town from the north and the south as well as the swamp track in the middle. If they were any closer the northern forces would be endangering the southern, and vice versa . Evidently the Ukrainians gave some underground access into the town though not wide enough for machinery so the entrance is top priority now for the Wagners .Some reports say that the centre is now in Russian hands so this has probably sorted out the tunnels .
Mr Zelensky would be delighted to read your report Ben. Last i heard he was much less optimistic , doubting if there will be a Ukrainian spring offensive and regretting that if Bakhmut falls (which it may have effectively done) he will have to negotiate a peace settlement with Russia.
D J S
‘Indigenous ethnic inhabitants’ DJS what a pile of tripe! The indigenous people of the Donbas are not Russians that’s for sure! The indigenous people of the region were Khazars. The closest descendants today would be the Crimean Tatars – much persecuted by Russia. Get your facts right DJS!
Putin’s Puskis couldn’t win a jelly wrestling match
Russian shills think it’s cool to kill kids, if they’re Ukrainian. Two wrongs… a right? LMAO
It seemed for a while, at least, that if you had swallowed the Kremlin’s propaganda that the Russian Federation invasion of Ukraine was just, you also had to swallow the Kremlin’s propaganda that Russia was winning.
Lately the pro-Putin lobby are not as confident of repeating Kremlin propaganda that Russia is winning this war.
(Possibly because the Kremlin itself has somewhat toned down this triumphalist bullshit, for a more sober assessment)
Russia is going to lose this war. I knew it from day one, (and said so). And I didn’t have to be a military expert to know it. No imperialist power in history has ever managed to defeat an insurgent people that is totally united and opposed to it. It might take a long time, but eventually the imperialists have to accept defeat and leave.
The Ukrainian people were and are prepared to fight for as long it takes. And have already made tremendous sacrifices and taken colossal losses without any lack of resolve to keep on fighting to the end to rid their country of the invader.
Ukraine is in an enviable position, unlike many insurgent peoples fighting an imperialist coloniser, the Ukrainian people are getting massive material support from Russia’s imperialist rivals.
Ukraine was always going to win. The material support will act to hasten their victory and shorten the war. Russia’s invasion of Ukraine looks likely to be totally defeated within the period of the next year and a half. This defeat will be blow to imperialism generally.
How will the Russian elite take the pending defeat of their imperialist project?
“…Nobel Prize winning Russian journalist Dmitri Muratov expressed his concerns about Russian propaganda that he feels is preparing the Russian people for the use of nuclear weapons.”
There would barely be anyone on the planet today who doesn’t understand the true nature of nuclear weapons. Nuclear weapons are misnamed, nuclear weapons are not Weapons of Mass Destruction, nuclear weapons are weapons of genocide. The propaganda being directed at the Russian people to try and get the Russian people to accept the use of nuclear weapons in Ukraine will fail.
The use of nuclear weapons by the Kremlin will repulse the whole world, not least the Russian people. No amount of propaganda can overcome that revulsion.
“So why were no arseholes torn after Hiroshima, Nagasaki?
And whats changed?” Francesca
This question occurred to me also.
The total secrecy around the Manhattan Project plus war time censorship of the bombings itself, probably had something to do with it.
Initially not many people were aware of the true nature of nuclear weapons, imagining them to be an enormously big conventional bomb, not dissimilar to the bombs that had been falling on European cities for the previous five years, except in magnitude.
The Americans secrecy and tight censorship of any reporting of the full horror and devastation in Hiroshima and Nagasaki, prevented full knowledge of what had occurred in Hiroshima and Nagasaki from being known. The reality of nuclear weapons was first revealed to the world after the American journalist John Hersey managed to get past the US occupation military cordon and into Hiroshima that he was able to bear witness and report back. It was only belatedly that through the work of journalists like Hersey and others investigation and reporting, often in defiance of the authorities, that the true nature of nuclear weapons was revealed to the world..
Today there can hardly be anyone on the planet who isn’t aware of the full horror and nature of nuclear weapons.
The nuclear bomb is a weapon of genocide.
The Legacy of John Hersey’s “Hiroshima”
Seventy-five years ago, journalist John Hersey’s article “Hiroshima” forever changed how Americans viewed the atomic attack on Japan.
August 20, 2021
https://www.nationalww2museum.org/war/articles/john-herseys-hiroshima-1946
The Black Reporter Who Exposed a Lie About the Atom Bomb
Charles H. Loeb defied the American military’s denials and propaganda to show how deadly radiation from the strike on Hiroshima sickened and killed.
https://www.nytimes.com/2021/08/09/science/charles-loeb-atomic-bomb.html#:~:text=Beverly%20Deepe%20Keever%2C%20a%20professor,1945%2C%20a%20month%20after%20Mr.
The use of nuclear weapons is a crime against humanity.
No power on Earth could stop the Russian people dragging Putin out of the Kremlin and hanging him from the nearest lamp pole, if he used a nuclear weapon.
Nuclear war by accident can happen anytime now. There is no moral high ground in this war.
Finland joining NATO means that Nukes can be deployed right next to Russia’s second city, St Petersburg. That’s provocation in a no winners game.
A bit like nukes in Belarus eh Nick J?
Hi PhuD, I’d underestimated how stupid you really are. Any escalation by either side with Nukes is to be discouraged. Carry on warmongering.
I’m not the one who is war mongering NickJ aka Putin’s Parrot. If Putin withdraws all his troops from Ukraine, peace will prevail. You are the one supporting the invader.
And I haven’t seen any evidence that you have been reading the copious literature that is available on this conflict. You never produce evidence for your Donbas allegations as Pat has also commented.
You top the stakes in hubris NickJ Has Bakhmut fallen yet? Has Putin captured Odesa yet? Are you still reading the maps? You are seriously out of your depth. I’d stick to Germany if I were you.
You are a deluded light weight PhuD, they must be selling degrees cheap today. Do you get higher marks for sycophancy to American neocon imperialism, Ukrainian neoNazis and denial of facts in general?
PS What do you think about Ukraine’s attack on and banning of Russian Orthodox churches? Also check out Bahkmut latest news, plus the cover up on the 200+ high ranked NATO staff in a deep bunker near Lvov by hypersonic missile last week. Going well is it?
In point of fact Nick J, I used to argue with my Ukrainian supervisor about the status of the Russian language in Ukraine and argued for federalisation to give the Donbas autonomous status. That was before Putin invaded. I have to concede that my supervisor was right all along. You can’t make concessions to thugs.
You are losing it PhuD. And you are on the losing side.
Also PhuD, here’s a call for genocide from the people you support.
https://slavyangrad.org/2014/08/01/ukrainian-journalist-openly-calls-for-genocide-on-hromadske-tv-financed-by-us-and-netherlands/
Desperation Nick.J. Anyway there are no winners in this conflict. Putin’s days are numbered.
News overnight OPEC has cut back production in response to US selling down their strategic reserve. Oil will go to US$100, $40 above current. Japan has dropped the price cap, the rest will follow . Prepare for economic pain.
Report from Belgian source (Doctorow):
“At the conclusion of my time on air, I brought up another major event of the past month which also was blacked out by our broadcasters, namely the destruction of an underground bunker near the Western Ukraine city of Liviv by a Russian hypersonic missile Kinzhal, which cost the lives of more than 200 NATO generals and other high military officers, including about 20 Americans. That event, which first was announced very discreetly on Russian news tickers immediately following its execution, was again quietly and briefly mentioned on the Yandex ticker yesterday with respect to the “shipment in crates” of the recovered remains of those officers killed to their home countries in the West.”
Also PhuD, here’s a call for genocide from the people you support.
https://slavyangrad.org/2014/08/01/ukrainian-journalist-openly-calls-for-genocide-on-hromadske-tv-financed-by-us-and-netherlands/
Clutching at straws Nick J.
“Diplomatic sources confirm that Chinese intelligence, via its own investigations, is now fully assured of Putin’s vast popularity across Russia, and even within the country’s political elites. That means conspiracies of the regime-change variety are out of the question. This was fundamental for Xi and the Zhongnanhai’s (China’s central HQ for party and state officials) decision to “bet” on Putin as a trusted partner in the coming years, considering he may run and win the next presidential elections. China is always about continuity.” https://mronline.org/2023/03/24/in-moscow-xi-and-putin-bury-pax-americana/
Perhaps and Ironically ,,,, the Chinese have less slanted information than the Brits and other wound (rhyming with sound) eyed neo-con sources 😉 ??
They also know about being the target of hostile western propaganda too, ,,,,, ICC’s Putin arrest warrant based on State Dept-funded report that debunked itself https://youtu.be/NDS1OSEIoz8 ,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,
https://thegrayzone.com/2023/03/31/iccs-putin-arrest-state-dept-report/
You’d think purposefully starving children and others to death would be a war crime ,,,,,,,,,, https://caitlinjohnstone.com/2023/04/03/marco-rubio-accidentally-makes-a-great-argument-against-us-dollar-hegemony/ “Economic sanctions are somehow the only form of warfare where it’s considered acceptable to deliberately target civilian populations with deadly force, and the US empire makes liberal use of them. Starvation sanctions always hurt the weakest and most vulnerable members of a population by depriving them of access to medicine and adequate nutrition, and future generations (if there are future generations) will judge harshly those who used them.” ,,,,,,,,,, AoNz has been dragged into this western siege warfare shit ,,, thanks Air NZ, for going after some club money.
But the real question for us ,,,, because it relates to our politicians and Govt ,,,, is how dangerous and reckless are defeated neo-cons & neo-libs? ….
“US dollar hegemony and diplomatic dominance are rapidly eroding while the US and its allies accelerate aggressions and provocations against Russia and China simultaneously in a desperate bid to quash the emergence of a multipolar world. I’m a bit less excited about the mounting threats posed to US hegemony than other anti-imperialists, only because a desperate unipolarist empire is a dangerous unipolarist empire. The deadliest time for a battered wife is right when she leaves.
A cornered animal is dangerous, especially when it has sharp teeth. A cornered empire is dangerous, especially when it has nuclear weapons. “If I can’t have you no one can” is a line that can be said to a partner or to a planet.”
,,, They are not on the side of workers or ordinary people anywhere.,,,,, https://youtu.be/_Uu9jXJugTE