Jacinda’s ‘go hard or go to Australia’ strategy will work with this outbreak.
The numbers are reflecting infections inside bubbles of those with Covid, it isn’t showing an exponential explosion of sickness.
Lockdown has worked and I think we will be out of this within 3 weeks.
But what happens next?
Our slow vaccination rate has been mostly dictated to by supply constraints. The incompetence of DHB bureaucracy to ensure GPs could vaccinate and the criminal laxness over saliva testing demands for heads to roll but that’s never going to happen.
Labour have relied on an underfunded Health system riven by corporate interests.
We don’t have extra ICU beds nor do we have fully vaccinated frontline staff.
Grant has almost spent all the money he put aside for a rainy day and it’s still raining.
The vaccine is increasingly seen as less an outright protection and more a basic means to prevent mass hospitalizations and death with research showing this will have to be an annual vaccination event.
The debate is so polarized that even bringing these glaring criticisms to light will have you cancelled by the roving woke online.
Here’s the truth.
The grim modeling tells us that even at 90% vaccination rates and with no lockdowns implemented, we will see 11400 hospitalizations and 1030 dead.
No politician, not even David Seymour could survive images of parked Ambulances jammed together outside hospitals because there are not enough beds.
NZ will politically freak out at seeing mass graves.
The naked truth is that we don’t have the hospital, morgue or cemetery capacity to deal with that kind of event.
We have no choice but to use regional lockdowns and national lockdowns when regional ones fail alongside a fucking arsehole of an MIQ system that is far more limited in its intake than it is now, alongside all frontline staff being vaccinated alongside a mass building of hospital, morgue and cemetery capacity on top of an insistent vaccination campaign.
It is only when we have 90% vaccination alongside the hospital and morgue capacity increase that we can start being less restrictive on MIQ.
Expect Kiwis dumb enough to travel who can’t get back in and migrant workers furious they can’t bring their family in to fill the pages of Stuff with their anger and pain, but the Government will face a backlash ten times that if they allow Delta to slip back in.
The danger of Labour’s plan was us getting hit before we were vaccinated – well that moment is here.
Eradication is the only plan because there is no Plan B.
- Viciously tight MIQ
- Regional lockdowns that becomes National if they fail.
- Saliva tests
- More vaccination programs including better community outreach
- Infrastructure for annual vaccinations
- Mass build up of hospital and morgue capacity.
Delta will become endemic, Labour either move heaven and earth to implement the 6 points or they will be judged by their current failures and not their previous successes.
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