Thanks to the joy of MMP, there are 4 combinations of Government that could generate the best and worst case scenario for progressives.
As we have seen early on, a National + ACT Government would throw open the borders and repeal gun laws, but what would Government combinations on the Left generate?
MOST PROGRESSIVE – Labour + Green + Maori Party Government
Labour win the most votes on the night but still require a 5% Greens plus a couple more to get to 51%. Those couple more votes could come from the Māori Party who have a chance to win 2 electorates plus a Party list MP. A Labour, Green & Māori Party Government would be the most progressive Government NZ has seen in its entire existence as a country.
VERY PROGRESSIVE – Labour + Green Government
Labour + Greens would be free of the NZ First handbrake and could generate actual change.
PROGRESSIVE – Labour majority Government
To avoid cautious Labour using NZ First as a handbrake, you would need to snooker them into a majority position so Jacinda couldn’t blame Winston any longer.
LEAST PROGRESSIVE – Labour + NZ First + Green Government
The current status quo where Winston doesn’t allow anything that might spook his banjo twanging anti-vaxx supporters.
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