The market isn’t pricing in true risk of Iranian blunder because it believes Trump is rational
Markets are acting like the Iran crisis will blow over. If Hormuz closes, that fantasy could end in inflation, fuel shortages and recession.

Markets are acting like the Iran crisis will blow over. If Hormuz closes, that fantasy could end in inflation, fuel shortages and recession.

NZ is so laid back we may sleepwalk through a fuel crisis, an LNG gamble, and an economic shock — all while being told not to panic.

Trump’s blunder into Iran may be the worst geopolitical mistake since Vietnam — and Kiwi drivers will pay for it this weekend.

He says the Strait is open. Iran says no. The world watches a superpower stumble into chaos — and we all pay the price.
Forget the Strait of Hormuz. Iran’s most devastating move could be precision drone strikes on global fuel infrastructure — and the world isn’t ready.
If Iran closing Hormuz is extortion, what is America doing? Trump’s plan doesn’t just target Iran — it turns the entire global economy into collateral damage.

Iran threatens to close it. Trump says he’ll close it first. Oil spikes. Markets panic. And somehow this is meant to be strategy?

You’re paying more at the pump. So who’s actually responsible?
Trump swaggered into conflict pretending to be a strongman and stumbled out handing Iran leverage, chaos in the Gulf and a shudder through the global economy.

Seymour and Winston want New Zealanders to stay calm. Trouble is, the IEA and JP Morgan are waving around numbers that look a lot more like an energy crisis than a minor blip.