Labour is back on top in the latest Taxpayer’s Union Poll
Labour – 35.5%
National – 34.8%
ACT – 9.3%
Greens – 5.7%
NZF – 4.2%
Māori Party – 1.4%
For the first time in a year, Labour has taken the lead on 35.5% up 1.1 points on last month while National is on 34.8% up 0.4 points on last month.
ACT is down 2.4 points to 9.3% while the Greens have dropped 2.1 points to 5.7%. This is perilously close to the 5% threshold for getting seats in Parliament (unless Chlöe Swarbrick can hold onto her Auckland Central electorate).
New Zealand First, on the other hand, sees a boost of 1.3 points to 4.2% – within striking distance of re-entering Parliament. The Māori Party is on 1.4 per cent – down 0.7 points – and will again have to rely on holding at least one electorate to get any list seats.
Other smaller parties were the New Conservatives on 2.5% (+1.7 points), TOP on 1.7% (-0.3 points), Vision NZ on 0.8% (+0.6 points) and Democracy NZ on 0.5% (-0.4 points).
Chippy’s move from ideology to delivery, from social justice to economic justice and his competence with the storms are all giving Labour strength, but as TDB has been warning, the Greens are in trouble and their alienating identity politics is coming home to roost.
ACT will be disappointed to lose their double digit shine while NZFirst are hovering at the threshold.
Look at these favourability numbers for Chippy…
…even National voters like him!
I’ve previously argued that Chippy was connecting with Kiwis on a deep level…
Chippy’s leadership has been helped immensely by Wayne Brown’s train wreck interview during the Auckland Anniversary Flooding and the enormity of the challenge in front of us post Gabrielle demands a practicality that Chippy exudes.
…I’ve also argued the Greens are in trouble politically…
The lack of policy traction, the total capitulation to alienating woke dogma and identity politics activists talking over all the internal mechanisms of candidate election and policy control sees the Greens stall and they might actually get less than the polled in 2020.
…after the Greens changed their leadership rules to push males out, why would any self respecting left wing man vote Green? Woke activists are always identifiably Green, so when they cancel they make enemies, not recruits.
It is going to be a crazy and wild election.
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