NZF are toast. To be polling so low 6 months out from an election where they are facing SFO investigations and have been ruled out by National is the kiss of death.
You can see the panic has set in by Winston frantically attacking the Greens by pulling out of the Electric Car policy, blocking resolution at Ihumatao and playing for bloke votes by holding up the second stage of the new gun laws.
It’s all pretty worthless political theatre from a Party who have sung their last tune.
The mechanics of the election look like NZF falling beneath 5%, ACT hitting 3%+, National polling the highest, the Greens just holding on above the 5% threshold, Labour polling far higher than their 2017 election vote and the Māori Party winning back a seat and coat tailing in extra MPs off the Party list.
If there is a second term of this Labour led Government it will be Labour+Greens+Māori Party.
If that’s the case, progressives should be hitting them up now for real reforms:
- Raise minimum wage to $25
- Rent Freeze
- First $10 000 Tax free
- Lower voting age to 16
- Universal fully funded benefits for all tertiary students, job trainers & beneficiaries
- Feed the kids programs in all schools
- Free Public transport
- Real muscle for Unions
- Free dental services
- Mass state housing rebuild
NZF has always been the hand break for real reforms. If they are no longer in Parliament, there are no more excuses.