Shortly after The Daily Blog published the PM and the Waitress story, The Standard was suggesting it wasn’t true. Hours later the PMs Office confirmed it was true.
Last week The Daily Blog gave exclusive internal Polling results that suggested the impact of the media being forced to report the Labour-Green block as a whole alongside the Memorandum of Understanding had created a surge of support for Greens and Labour The Standard suggested this wasn’t true. The Roy Morgan Poll proved it last night.
It’s not just the Standard that need better sources, the mainstream media are focused on so many different fires now burning National’s credibility that they aren’t reading the signs that there is panic inside National at the sudden rate of decline from these internal polls.
The National Party factions are moving because they sense blood in the water. Watch where and who Maggie Barry is talking to, watch how vicious the battle between Crone/Boag and Palino/Lusk-Slater gets and watch for Judith positioning against Paula. You’ll know they are in real trouble based on how shrill Matthew Hooton and David Farrar get and expect Slater to rise from the grave like a zombie to be used as Judith’s vampire attack dog when push comes to shove.
We report political polls like we report sports results in this country. The MoU forces the media to report on them as a block, this goes in the voters mind from Labour 28-National 49 to Labour-Green 42.5 to National 43. See the impact that makes?
It creates momentum. Labour-Green could hit parity in the mainstream polls with National before December. As we enter winter, this summer could be a bloody one around National Party BBQs this year.
Now if you could only add the Maori Party, who must by now be getting mighty sick and tired of being used as cannon fodder by the National government, and Mana you would have an opposition block that would scare the s..t out of the Natzskis.
I want to see the tory Maori Party out next year, I cannot understand why Hone wants to team up with them, besides John key won’t have that.
Hone wants to join up to take the Maori party out of the deal with the current criminals.
The more harm they cause the more pressure Marama Fox will be under to act and Hone will be reminding Maori that Key and his cohorts are doing massive damage to the Maori and pakeha underclass and that any scraps from Keys table will no longer be enough.
This warring between Mana and the Maori Party is painful to a lot of Maori. We don’t have to like each other, but can we please not do our blood letting in public? We need each other and we have bigger fish to fry than taking pot shots at one another.
100% BopBop,
I love Māori protocol after immersing my older self in it as a 72 yr old renewed spiritually connected pakeha.
We care for Māori values when we understand what it means, so with you all the way. (Government would rather divide & rule us all.
The problem here is that NZ First would hold the balance of power. I hold grave reservations about them, and suspect they will prop up a fourth term Key government.
Theodore
Don’t fear Winston will not have anything to do with the toxic NatZ party we have meet him at three public meetings and he assured us all that he wont touch them as he wants NZ back for kiwis and National are going to sell everything off as well as our Rail, ACC, and all government agencies as they are setting them up for takeovers like our jails and schools so he hates them like hell for this selloff of our country.
I totally agree with you Theodore..I don’t trust Winston to make the correct choice and get rid of this Government.. I believe that Winston desperately wants to be the first Maori PM and would sell his soul to become that.. and Key would happily give him this before the end of a historic 4th term.. I hope that I am wrong but i have this nagging thought in the back of my mind.. REMEMBER 1996!!
NZ First is more on the same page as Lab/Greens, than National. Besides Winston will never support National with John key in it.
In 1996 Winston had a coalition deal with Jim Bolger who gave him a lot of concessions then was replaced by Shipley.
Key will do the same until Judith Collins repeats history and drives Winston out.
Keep in mind that said deal was really bad for New Zealand First, and the concessions involved didn’t really do much for them. They thrived a lot better under Clark’s Labour governments.
I imagine Winston and his pals will continue the game of not saying before the election who they work for, (which will drive away some people who do want to change the government, and attract some people who don’t, and some who hate both National and Labour) which is why nobody who opposes the government should vote for them.
Spot on Martyn !!!
Breath-taking you are Martyn!
Awesome work you do for all of us.
You are the man to watch for sure :”get it here first” you can proudly nail to The daily blog post.
You have an excellent insight, and very good intelligence network so take care because our enemies are everywhere.
We must re double our telling of the truth so the rest of our nation can hear the truth first hand not some Government spin doctoring method they use to distort the truth.
great work.
The reality…Labour are trading support with the Greens, based on this poll. National remain at a level of popularity that will have NZF support a Nat led government. You’re continued claims that Nationsl is bleeding support is not born out by ANY poll to date. You’re just making s$&t up.
“MANINTHEMIDDLE of the toxic NatZ”
No, maninthemiddle, Martyn’s “not making s$&t up”.
The arithmetic is pretty simple. What part of “Labour-Green 42.5 to National 43” do you have difficulty understanding?
No. Now try to explain from that how National is ‘bleeding support’.
Maninthe middle, do you have numeracy issues? The Roy Morgan stats seem clear to everyone but you.
Loving it!!!
Between Labour and the Greens, one of them will throw a tantrum over something minor and it will all fall to bits. A shame really as I would probably be better off under Labour.
Dave… this one is for you; http://i2.kym-cdn.com/photos/images/facebook/000/762/095/77c.jpg
Because, honestly, in this instance, words fail me with your stupidity. (And it’s a rarity that I’m ever short of words to express myself.)
Martyn Labour were at 29.5% last RM poll, they are at 28% now.
The Labgreen alliance has a net 1.5% gain on the last RM poll.
That is all.
LOOK the trolls are freaking out as the last THREE ARE HERE. MANINTHE MIDDLE, DAVE, THE PIGMAN, HA HA.
LOVING IT!@!!
Oh dear, another right-winger who has difficulty with numbers…
Pigman, do you understand the significance of “Labour-Green 42.5 to National 43”?
If not, would you like clarification?
There is very little significance. The two parties have nothing more than a marriage of convenience. Their sole objective is to remove the National government, not to actually present a positive alternative. The proof for that is that their ‘agreement’ ends the day after the election. The RM polling is as volatile as left wing predictions, hence the handwringing over the previous one when Labour appeared to ‘surge’ at the Greens expense.
I’ve been around long enough to read the trend in NZ politics. The era of the far left is over.
not very astute are you, Pigman? It’s not just “28%”. Coupled with the Greens, they are now level-pegging with the Nats. Do you have difficulty with this?
If this trend continues, Key will be history and your Tighty Righties can go cry in your beer.
Excellent Martyn, you’re quite right. Been waiting for it – didn’t rate your foreshadowing of it last week due to no source given then.
So we’re looking at a 2% shift already, and they lose Ak Central & Ohariu, taking them down to 57. Even if Maori Party retains both theirs & Seymour gets back in, only gives them 60. Key can’t form a government.
The obvious danger for the left once everyone figures this out is the legendary kiwi complacency infection. They must keep building momentum, forge a solid basis for a new government so voters can be confident of making the switch to something better.
Okay, so much for perception. Reality is Peters gets to choose whether to put Key back in for a 4th term, serving him as cabinet minister, or join a new government of the left. Since he will view both options with considerable distaste, he will have to perform political alchemy to reframe the entire situation in everyone’s minds. Best option for him: a center-left government with him holding the center. Best frame: the national interest.
2000% DENNIS
THIS IS HOPING WHAT WINSTON IS AIMING FOR.
TAKING THE MIIDDLE GROUND AS IT FITS PERFECTLY WITH NZ FIRST.
AND WINSTON IS THE MOST SENIOR WISEST POLITICIAN WE HAVE IN PARLIAMENT TODAY.
AND WE WILL NEED HIM TO HELP UNDO ALL THE DAMAGES NATIONAL’S DONE IN THE LAST EIGHT YEARS.
Frank – bet you 5$ to a charity of your choice that National polls higher than 43% before the years end.
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