National – 36
Labour – 30
Greens – 14
ACT – 7
NZ First – 4
Māori Party – 4
National – 34
Labour – 33
Greens – 12
ACT – 7
NZF – 6
Māori Party – 4
I argued that last years election was a grudge fuck against Labour by a bitter post Covid electorate angry that Jacinda had the temerity to save 20 000 lives and voters elected this hard right racist climate denying beneficiary bashing Government without appreciating the extremist agenda and after 100 days of romper stomper culture war revenge fantasies masquerading as social policy we will see the middle voter collapse and flee the right – and lo and behold this poll spells all that out!
Most National voters voted National in the hope their house price would go up 10%, they didn’t sign up to ACTs Treaty race war and they sure as christ didn’t want Winston’s weird anti vax conspiracy swamp kingdom nuttiness.
The danger for this hard right racist climate denying beneficiary bashing Government is that they haven’t even implemented their own agenda yet and it is FAR worse than anything that has been announced in their first 100 days – if voters are angry now, wait till they see the law National want to pass.
Despite the most extreme agenda since Ruth Richardson, Chris Luxon is still ahead of Chippy as the preferred Prime Minister, which begs the question, ‘how bad does that make Chippy and Labours cowardly spineless gutless ball-less incremental
The danger of a result like this is that Labour will coast to a victory without promising to do anything meaningful and we won’t see a sugar tax, a financial transaction tax, a ghost house tax, a methane tax, a capital gains tax or a wealth tax to take the tax yoke off workers and place it on the richest amongst us?
Won’t Chippy just break our hearts again?
The danger of Winston seducing the anti vaxx crowd is that they are only sated by a Nuremberg trial where Jacinda and the front bench of the Labour Party are hanged outside Parliament – will Winston have to step up his “the-media-are-all-bribed’ big lie or will it be some conspiracy about Māoris secretly making another covid virus that only infects Pakeha?
Week in and week out, Winston and Seymour are disrespecting the Prime Minister and contradicting him in public – he has no control over them whatsoever. The quick yellow hyena and the old silver fox are leaping all over the lazy blue log.
Luxon was a middle manager CEO who ran a deodorant company and then ran the cushy State owned Air NZ. His CEO skill set has given him no experience in. The truth is Luxon is a virgin at an orgy.
Now Christopher’s leadership is wobbling, should Nicola Willis Bolger Luxon, Shipley style?
This hard right racist climate denying beneficiary bashing Government has gone far beyond the comfort zone of most Kiwis and the Chickens aren’t just coming home to roost, they are in an uber and have already booked the air b’n’b online.
Watching the Right Wing Trolls scream at the Poll while stammering their spit flecked reckons to explain it away is hilarious.
Cry harder, your tears are delicious and you all sound worried that Kiwis are not as toxic and spiteful as you are.
Suck it up right wing buttercups, you detest us as much as we detest you, but there are more of us.
You should be freaking out that Kiwis are turning against this rich prick Government. When you are taking out of the mouths of hungry children to give rich landlords a tax break, you’ve already lost the argument!
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A year ago National supporters on this site wear claiming that Luxon could contain Peters and Seymour.
NZF supporters claimed that Peters would act as a handbrake to Luxon and Seymour.
Seymours supporters were screaming “Burn it all to the ground!”
How long before is a snap election called? Luxon must be starting to see that everything that Peters and Seymour do and say, tars him with the same brush. His minders will be alarmed that Luxons brand is becoming as saleable as a used piece of toilet paper. That knighthood is starting to look unattainable.
His minder John Key turned up in Parliament to hold his hand yesterday, things must be desperate.
Yeah, gotta’ say having Key sitting there was a stunning public admission that things are not well on the Govt benches!
His Godfatherly presence merely confirmed Luxon’s weakness – a bad tactical mistep by a now panicking National Party.
Forced ‘Trussonomics’ didn’t end well for Liz Truss…….Luxon appears oblivious.
Fabulous to see Sir John.
Great to see him go. All women with ponytails are now safe.
I bet you’d make a good tugger Bob.
Rolling Key out shows Luxon has failed, pretty obvious even for the simple minded like Bob tf.
Clearly he doesn’t have anything better to do other than babysit Luxon.
Nobody else wants his “services” other than the talentless panicking Nats.
Wisdom has been chasing you Bob but you have always been faster.
NSC not at all old chap I hold a number of tertiary qualifications,I’m a man of letters,wisdom is my second name.
Yes your right Nats R Squeaky clean and John said, ‘If you want to look better in the eyes of the public say you will donate your wage increase to charity’.
Snap election?? Why?
To free himself of the twin albatrosses that are tied around his neck, that are dragging him into mediocrity.
The likely fracture of the CoC Govt. will be when Winston has to relinquish the Deputy Prime Ministership to Atlas Dave.
Mr Peters largely runs on the fumes of his own ego and will not like that scenario one little bit.
Some people have had their symbolic “take that Jacinda” moment-thanks arseholes-and now have to face the reality of what they have done…
A better New Zealand for everyone Mister Tiger Mountain.
Here is another on of Bob’s shallow comments.
A smart Finance minister would change the tax thresholds at t May budget. ie. People earning under 70 k will now pay way less tax and people over 150 k paying more. & Then the polls will deviate again.
Yes, but we haven’t got a smart Finance minister.
No, Willis is most definitely not a smart finance minister given she is responsible for this…
https://www.nzherald.co.nz/business/how-hard-have-job-cuts-hit-new-unemployment-figures-out-today/S3VMBRMXVFCNHKCNKD7HTMANKY/
Then there will be a mass collapse of hospitals as our health system is starved of much needed funds.
“The danger of a result like this is that Labour will coast to a victory without promising to do anything meaningful…”
You know it.
Bullshite te chairman we are in danger now more than ever under the CoC.
Don’t be stupid, covid is pa.
Labour coasting to victory without promising anything meaningful isn’t going to be of much help..
Who said they would coast to victory based on the current economic climate and the many social ills both here and globally many developed nations are very divided so I can’t see any one political party cruising or coasting to victory.
Chippy won’t make the cut albeit I would prefer he does.
I also predict Chloe won’t go the distance.
A recovery in the economy will see a swing to the right.
When you right your predictions in crayon they dont count Bob.
My prediction Chloe would win Auckland Central was correct on both occasions.
I’m out crayons old chap can you spare me some of yours,my favorite colour is blue.
Just go unto Im rights bedroom and bum some (literally speaking) from him.
It’s that turd bobbing up again
Bob the first – TVNZ coverage of the poll generated 50 formal complaints to the BSA…
50 out of a population of over 5 Million I’d say it’s a win to TVNZ.
NSC a very stupid use of figures.
I know you struggle with math.
Yes Nathan and the media wonder why they are not trusted.
Yes that horrible Hosking can’t be trusted. I agree.
Polls dammed polls and statistics! However if we believe this poll would reflect present day voting then the main ‘shock’ is that so many are still willing to vote for a coalition that has openly declared war on the environment, gleefully cut public sector jobs, shamelessly said they will make cuts to free school lunches, demanded massive cuts in health services and happily repealed anti smoking legislation to name but a few! What does a Government have to do for us all to walk out on them?
Apparently people aren’t even thinking about the promised tax cuts anymore everyone except Nicola has forgotten about them!
covid is pa. Did we have a smart finance minister in the previous Govt ? Robo did not change the tax thresholds either. So are u saying they are both not smart ?
Marco t Battler Robo got a AAt rating from Fitch and an Aaa from Moody Credit rating agencies so he must have done something right.
He listened to Cullen – the only competent finance minister NZ has had in my lifetime.
Who said they would coast to victory based on the current economic climate and the many social ills both here and globally many developed nations are very divided so I can’t see any one political party cruising or coasting to victory.
After the next election there will be massive changes to welfare and tax… Or there will be a minority labour government.
Those ratings are rubbish Covid is pa and u know it. It’s some tech geek sitting in an office in Europe massaging figures, no where near real time data.
Yes under Robo the min wage and wages for public servant s went up. That’s great, but still not keeping up with inflation.
Why do you Pakeha always run down your own systems, credit ratings agencies today what will it be tommorrow. If anyone is bereft of talent we only have to look at the CoC.
Labour are bereft of talent so it would be a fucken nightmare if we have an early election, however I’m willing to sacrifice for the greater good of getting rid of this current hard right racist climate denying beneficiary bashing Government
stephen I share your nightmare worries but don’t fret the Coalition will make things better for all New Zealanders.
Proportionately more people voted to legalize cannabis in the 2020 referendum than for this government coalition.
Their run is a while, yet.
Last 2 days in the house, shallow Maggie, as her leader, Lip bitter, shallow, in his lost, as his one delegate one Deputy look, Prime Minister, as his other look, Deputy look, Prime Minister.
Their fall, shall be like their, Minister, of pot holes, Symion, in the house, look what we have done, the BRYNDERWINS OPEN, NOT today pot hole boy, why.
83% of voters on the biggest radio channel said TV1 pill coverage was over the top and biased.
Guess the next trust figures will reflect that
Predictive! POLL
Let’s extrapolate from this result, shall we? This time, there is no convenient economic recovery and as a consequence, Labour and the National Party cross trajectories upward and downward. The Greens develop more stringent parliamentary sanctions for truculent members and by 2026, their earlier problems are a memory. By 2025, the National Party has returned to polling in the late twenties and is starting to panic. ACT and New Zealand First’s populist antics keep overshadowing National’s neoliberalism. The Fast Track Act is obstructed in the courts and the defeat of the Treaty Principles Bill on its first reading damage the government’s reputation for effective policy and by 2026, the three legged stool coalition arrangement has become highly dysfunctional.
Consequently, in 2026, a Labour-Green-Te Pati Maori coalition takes power. New Zealand First is out of Parliament for the third and final time and shortly afterward, Winston Peters suffers an incapacitating heart attack. Shane Jones proves unable to keep NZF together afterwards. ACT is decimated, reduced to two parliamentary seats- David Seymour and Brooke van der Velden are once more within a microparty. At just twenty percent of the vote, National records one of its worst showings and this time, it will take it almost fifteen years to recover. Labour, the Greens and Te Pati Maori will govern for five terms and transform Aotearoa/New Zealand.