Trump’s DonRoe Doctrine will embolden Xi to seize Taiwan
I have been arguing that Trump’s hyper-regional isolationist America First position undermines the rules based order since he started his second term. He has magically termed that Foreign Policy platform by calling it the ‘DonRoe Doctrine’, a play on the ‘Monroe Doctrine’.
The power of the American President via the Executive branch was always within the check and balance of the Judiciary and the Legislative, but the real power of the President was more convention and tradition because the people in that role were tempered human beings with intelligence and emotional depth who always wielded the power with a tempered hand BECAUSE they all knew the threat an unhinged President could become.
Donald Trump doesn’t give a shit about tradition or convention.
We are watching in real time a fascist meltdown as Trump’s newly found belief in God saving him is giving him room to make decisions no sane leader would because he thinks he’s bullet proof.
The Libertarian Billionaire glee club that surround Trump have a very warped view of the world and don’t see why America should fund the global infrastructure for a global stability they have no interest in keeping stable.
Trump also sees all this Aid and the funding of global institutions as a waste of money as well in his America First vision.
To understand why the fuck this madness is all occurring, you have to understand what the Libertarian Billionaire Glee Club and Trump believe, and that is best summed up by Russian philosopher Alexander Dugin.
Alexander Dugin and Trump’s New Christofascist Regional Super Power Old Word Order:
Alexander Dugin is one of the most influential Russian philosophers when it comes to influencing Putin AND Trump. He argues Russia needs to own the Ukraine to protect Russia and his multipolar arguments that Marco Rubio himself repeated in his Munich speech last year tell us everything we need to know about how Trump is reverting back to the Old World Order.
Trump sees the cost of being a Global Super power is wasteful and sees the funding of global institutions as a waste of American money. He wants to make America a Regional Super Power, adopting Dugin’s philosophy of multipolar interests.
That’s being a Regional Super Power.
He is inviting Putin to have his own Regional Super Power status by gifting him 20% of the Ukraine which in turn hands Taiwan over to Xi.
It wouldn’t surprise me at all if this doesn’t embolden China to move against Taiwan, it will certainly make Putin feel like his military adventure will pay off in the Ukraine.
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Xi is smarter and more patient than Trump so I don’t see any sudden moves on Taiwan happening.
Agreed Steve
I am in China at present(we are visiting relatives). Ask a Chinese person – should China invade Taiwan? The answer is usually .” Why? Taiwan is forming close economic ties with us. Eventually they will join us of their own accord’.
As you say Steve – they are in no hurry( incidentially Ningxia at present is colder than a Polar Bear’s whatsit).
Yes, people are unaware that China is by far Taiwan’s number 1 trading partner. Taiwan has long invested heavily in industry in mainland China. There is significant cross straits tourism and travel and inter-marriage between mainland Chinese and Taiwanese. Culturally the differences are the same as the difference between Australians and New Zealanders. So the relationship is more nuanced than the media would have you believe, and a lot of the noise is mere posturing.
Also the Chinese will pretend to be more threatening than they are – to encourage the West to waste their time and resources on an arms race that they can ill-afford. Sounds cliched – but read Sun Tzu.
good, lets hope it all happens like that.