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  1. Very interesting and thought-provoking, Chris, because we stand at the biggest inflexion point in human history, and taking the wrong path now (which is more or less certain, unfortunately) will have disastrous consequences within a year or two, and diabolically bad consequences within 5 years. This inflexion point is unprecedented*, and whereas in the past it was possible for governments to implement lousy policies and get away with them, that will not be the case now. Lousy policies -which the Adern-Robertson government are fully committed to- are going to bite them in the bum very soon.

    What is referred to as capitalism actually got morphed into a planet-consuming monster in the 80s and 90s, and in the 2000s it got morphed into a phony capitalism, in which there is no capital, just ever increasing debt that is kept alive by ‘perpetual’ lowering of interest rates. I say perpetual but of course that is no longer possible because interest rates have hit rock bottom (and no one is prepared to experiment with negative interest rates because the system just won’t function at all with negative rates. The mega-trillion derivatives market is hanging by a thread, with just the slightest faltering in money-creation by central banks likely to cause the biggest implosion in history.

    Against that background, the lifeblood of the industrial system, oil, is in terminal decline: the warnings given since 1956, and the alarm bells rung in the early 2000s by organisations such as ASPO were ignored, and zero preparation for the inevitable crash was made (indeed, counter-productive policies focused on using MORE OIL were implemented).

    And against a background of phony finance beginning to fall to pieces and declining energy availability, we are at the point at which Planetary Meltdown is beginning to impact very negatively on most human activities: just look at the unprecedented damage to Napier that came ‘out of the blue’ -only it didn’t because, as with the oil supply predicament, there have been a plethora of detailed warnings going back decades. And, as with the oil predicament, nothing was done by those in power to address the underlying problem of rapidly rising atmospheric CO2, and nothing done to prepare for the consequences of extremely elevated atmospheric CO2: indeed, a campaign to prevent widespread knowledge of the dire effects of elevated CO2 was condoned by, if not supported by, central government, and financial scams were implemented by governments to pretend the predicament could be addressed using fraud! (Carbon credits and carbon trading as financial instruments but zero attempt to reduce emissions). Thanks for nothing, Helen Clark.

    Daily CO2
    Nov. 11, 2020: 413.82 ppm
    Nov. 11, 2019: 409.68 ppm

    So now we are at the point of the ‘triple tsunami’ -energy, environment and finance- ‘thundering up the beach and demolishing the sandcastles’ constructed by arrogant, wittingly stupid humans ‘playing on the beach’ and ignoring the sirens.

    ‘On Thursday morning, Tropical Storm Eta made landfall over North Florida and has become the 12th named storm to make landfall out of a record-breaking year of 29 named storms.

    An unprecedented amount of tropical systems have swirled around the Atlantic Basin this year, breaking the 2005 record of 28. The above-average tropical activity has decimated the oil and gas industry with offshore operations in the Gulf of Mexico.

    According to Bloomberg, some 41 million barrels were pulled offline because offshore oil and gas rigs were shuttered due to tropical activity. ‘

    https://www.zerohedge.com/commodities/largest-production-decline-offshore-oil-decade-amid-record-breaking-hurricane-season

    We can now be certain that Jacinda will play the game of pretend for as long as she can, pretending the government has matters under control, pretending there is still time to address all the matters that have been ignored for decades, and pretending there is a better future for everyone if we just exhibit some patience.

    Undoubtedly, the banks and corporations that run the show on behalf of the real powers that be -the old money families of Europe and America- will attempt to prop up the failing system via yet more money-printing and yet more false reporting of profitability and potential, but at this late stage in the game nothing is going to stop the fatally ruptured ‘Titanic’ from sinking.

    The question is: how long will Jacinda be able to keep pretending? I’ve already seen the signs of her lack of confidence in her own words, and I’m sure other have too.

    *https://consciousnessofsheep.co.uk/2020/11/06/the-narrative-problem-after-peak-oil/

    https://ourfiniteworld.com/2020/11/09/energy-is-the-economy-shrinkage-in-energy-supply-leads-to-conflict/

    1. A realistic commentary. One of the things I worry about is the manner in which the Internet and all of its uses assist an Orwellian totalitarianism. That however cannot last, without energy to create electricity Internet /It technology cannot work. That’s the silver lining.

  2. The PM laid it out clearly yesterday; stating that it was the Reserve Bank’s job to sort out housing prices NOT hers.

    Silly me, and voters, who were hoping the new Labour Govt. might have a significant role!

    She and Robbo are running “Blairism NZ style”-minus the war crimes-but they are coming close with the issues they choose not to see such as Palestine and West Papua. NZ is obedient to 5 Eyes and upping surveillance of citizens.

    Those new Labour MPs need demos outside their electorate offices (when they have set them up…) and the “50 NGOs” of this weeks “Letter to Jacinda” could become an Alliance of sorts, and the unofficial opposition and organising centre for NZ working class concerns.

    Rent control, large public house build, Living Wage, more power to unions, is what will drive down property prices. Direct action will be required!

    1. “The PM laid it out clearly yesterday; stating that it was the Reserve Bank’s job to sort out housing prices NOT hers.”
      It might be her job to direct the reserve bank to sort out house prices which she might have done, and to replace officers in the RB if they fail to do so.
      D J S

    2. “The PM laid it out clearly yesterday; stating that it was the Reserve Bank’s job to sort out housing prices NOT hers”.

      And Adrian Orr is on record (RNZ interview) as saying the big picture (financial stability in an impending crisis) is their main concern, implying that housing inflation was collateral damage of the current monetary policy (while acknowledging that intergenerational inequality is a crucial issue) He was more explicit in saying housing issues were the domain of govt fiscial policies. Clearly not on the same page.

  3. One of – majorly under-estimated, and still hated by the Catholic hierarchy- Loyd Geering’s books has a similar theme to Dorfman; I had it then unfortunately gave it away as a Christmas present to a rich relative who probably missed the whole point. Reading Geering triggered my fantasy of smashing all television sets. All he writes is worth reading and he is personally open minded in the way that intellectuals used to be.Nowadays, the focus is mainly on keeping their jobs.

    What happened to Ardern ? Nothing. We got conned. Good PR. The terrible tragedy of the Muslim massacre was a tragedy for all New Zealanders who saw an empathetic PM through a prism modified by the grotesqueness of an evil not encountered on our soil in modern times; if also offered the chance for the Green co-leader to engage in opportunistic public Pakeha bashing distorting the reality of the social dynamics under which we operate, and for no good reason. If there was a good reason, Davidson should say so.

    The scary pandemic again, provided a performance platform for a professional performer. I watched none of it, but others tuned in obsessively.

    The kindness message was sweet words which resonated globally, but flew like birds in the air when it came to care for the hungry, the homeless, the people struggling under practical and emotional burdens of day to day
    living in layers of levels impossible for the non-layered to envisage. The politicians know this, and they will continue to do whatever they know that they can get away with.

    In a recent interview PM Ardern said she entered politics because she likes people, enjoys people, likes being around people, and so on. It was all about her. That is what did shock me.

    The brutality of policies which force people to exist at unsupportable and impossible levels would embarrass normal persons.

    1. @snowwhite “What happened to Ardern ? Nothing. We got conned. Good PR.” BANG ON!! The biggest con job on NZ voters since Jonkey. I’m reeling from this, I witness all around me the clusters of fucks happening everywhere, and meanwhile the underclass in NZ suffer and the rich get richer. It’s sickening.

      1. Tuibelle, the child povidy thing tugged at everyone’s heartstrings, but if we stopped and thought about it, it was obviously a multi systems failure needing an overhaul of policies and practices which have been deteriorating for years, and the PM should have spelt this out then, and made clear what many of us already knew, that there were no quick fixes – apart from an immediate one right now of realistically upping benefit/ income levels – being complicit in children having a bad start in life is far from ok.

        It’s also a recipe for social disaster, which the license enablers should have the smarts to realise, but apparently it doesn’t concern them. I don’t know how we got this way,
        but I do think people are being turned against each other, and that’s quite insidious. Kia kaha.

      2. Where were all these voices before the election. A few weeks after getting a huge majority Labour are being called out for what they are by many on this platform. Jacinda handled the shooting well but what did she really do for the victims of White Island and with the covid crisis they played a good hand but luck was on their side as well.
        It is going to be a tough 3 years and I can see the Greens getting really upset at Labours lack of action to help those that are supposed to be their base

  4. Perceptive Chris. Equally the postscript:

    … That capitalism has placed a portal to its material and imaginative production in virtually every hand on the planet should give us pause. Perhaps, like the young shanty-dweller, we will only be able to start “dreaming reality” when we throw the masters’ “trash” away?

    What a story that would make!

    1. Over the last 100 years globally, capitalism has lifted more people out of poverty & improved the worlds people’s living conditions far more than Marx & his minions have or ever will.

  5. I’ve been a socialist (philosophically) all my adult life AND I will NEVER vote Labour again. (I didn’t vote Labour this year either.)
    I managed a food bank in the year that Ruth Richardson cut benefits by about 1/3. I was receiving the Invalid’s benefit at the time (due to Multiple Sclerosis). Helen Clark maintained that incredibly damaging (to beneficiaries) reduction & no government since has done anything to mitigate that harm.
    From my perspective, PM Jacinda Ardern is pretty much all SHOW and no GO. In my mind, her past association with UK PM Tony Blair (Bliar & worse – think Dr David Kelly – who DID NOT commit suicide as any RN who knows her/his anatomy would have known that “back then”!) will continue to “colour” my perception of her. I remain singularly UNIMPRESSED!

  6. Voting for Labour was actually voting for the status quo… not change.

    After many failed ‘transformations’ in NZ aka Think Big – Muldoon, Rogernomics from Labour, Globalism/massive immigration from countries with little social welfare and human rights and democracy, under John Key, it is my view that Labour got 50% for actually advocating doing nothing.

    Sadly doing nothing, can be safer that the disasters we have had before from huge changes.

  7. Very Good Chris. But I don’t think giving the beneficiaries a christmas bonus will fix it.
    It makes you wonder a bit about what did actually happen to Kirk.
    You would think that N Z could get away with government of the people by the people for the people if any country can. But we are pretty dependant on trade. But China is unlikely to stop trading with us just because we want a more socialist society like we once had and that might be much more relevant than what the US wants from us , or the UK. So what is the threat being held over Jacinda and Grant? Is it assassination by CIA operatives. ?
    The neoliberal capitalists at the moment seem to be foist on their own petard . The whole system as AFKTT alludes is on ever increasing trillions of QE infusions in an economic ICU. Market forces are a quaint memory.
    It is sobering though to reflect that there are countries that have run socialist economies more recently than Chile , like Libya , Venezuela , Syria , and Iran to mention a few. China and Russia seem to get away with it so far.
    If we were able to make that transformation . If we have the courage, and it is just a return to what was normal when we BBs were young, not a totalitarian state, it would set a trend that the western world would follow. And we might be the only country in the world that would getaway with it.
    The role of the ’84 government here in transforming from one of the most socialist capitalist democracies almost overnight to one of the most comprehensively neoliberal , has never been recognised IMHO for the contribution that made to the world wide acceptance of that system. We could reverse it, especially as that philosophy is in the process of demonstrating it’s fundamental flaws.
    D J S

    1. I think Ardern calls it governing for all which is what you promised…

      It is to me outrageous that 60 organisations could ask her to increase benefits and she has said no, the answers is not Winston this time the answer will be Covid.

      What do people have to do. I know people who have already said they will never vote Labour again, these are people who like me voted our local candidate in, because frankly he is good. But……….

      1. I can tell you right now if labour do not increase benefits by a substantial degree and double the medicines budget, I will be using only my Party vote next election and that will be to the Green party. Duncan Webb in christchurch central will not be getting my candidate vote. I am having a real damn battle on Facebook posts, with people who are basically saying sit down, shut up and put up. Till they decide sometime in the never never to do something. Meanwhile as Martyn Says the top 10% and corporations and property class are making money for jam off the treasuries bonds . Time for a street revolt I think . When 30 medical organisations are speaking out demanding change and 60 Budgetary organisations and Unions are speaking out. The country is obviously at breaking point. The working class and the middle class, are just accepting being stomped on accepting any bullshit excuse for doing nothing, as the top 10% cream the economy and bank the profits in bank accounts and do not spend it into the economy. Further exacerbating the problem they refuse to accept CGT and Wealth taxes etc.
        Time to ditch GST and bring in a ftt tax on all monetary transactions, with no exceptions if it moves through a bank account or an eftpos machine or through a credit or debit card tax it screw them.

    2. David. What happened to Norman Kirk was very sad, and should not have happened. There will still be retired senior medical specialists in Wellington who know the full story.

      Mr Kirk had ongoing health issues, not life threatening ones. He was seeing different GP’s in Christchurch and Wellington, without them being aware of each other. Some patients are just like that, perhaps the anxious ones. He was living alone parts of the time in Wellington, in a big suburban house, I gather largely fending for himself, and at times lonely.

      He died following surgery for varicose veins, I believe, a non urgent and a non life threatening condition. The surgery was carried out privately by the late John McIlwaine, then a relatively young and inexperienced surgeon. It is said that a more senior surgeon would not have operated on Mr Kirk, given his other ongoing medical issues, but I don’t remember what those were. But whatever they were, back then, anything contraindicating surgery would have been more likely to have been picked up in a public hospital with the pre- operative checks carried out by keen house surgeons or registrars, especially in a teaching hospital – the whole public health system was much better back then, and hospitals were run by medical superintendents, not bean counters, with very professional ward sisters who kept everybody on their toes.

      The only question is who referred Norman Kirk to a fairly junior sort of chappie – most likely his Wellington general practitioner – when there were more experienced senior practitioners available. Nor do I know why it was decided that a surgical procedure was necessary, when there were gentler alternatives – but younger surgeons in particular are always keen to operate. They are also often subject to all sorts of other pressures.

      Norman Kirk may have been a casualty of poor decision making somewhere along the track, and New Zealand
      lost it’s last man of the people.

  8. Ardern should be brave by going hard and early in this term, start by nationalising the public sector to bring it back into the people’s hands

  9. Brilliant yet very disturbing. Thank you, Chris.

    Judith Collins is already on to it.

    She said a day or two ago, “We lost the boardroom”, as the main reason for National’ dramatic loss. After reading Chris’ article, I reckon she’s nailed it.

    With that obvious insight, she’s already campaigning for 2023. And, sadly, may win.

    .

  10. Jacinda should step down. She has failed on Housing, Child Poverty, Drug Reform, Incarceration Rates, Welfare – Just EVERYTHING .. infrastructure, RMA reform, etc

    Step Down Jacinda, do it for NZ. You just keep failing.

  11. @ countryboy

    Here in Goddess-zone, we have 1. the RBNZ & 2. Kiwi Bank. (There’s also a Trustee Savings bank down in Taranaki.) That the govt uses an Australian bank is IMO, outrageous!!
    As time goes by I don’t doubt that I will easily find more & more reason(s) to NEVER VOTE LABOUR again.

  12. So many on the left were caught up in the fight to make marajuana legal they did not notice Labour put forward no policy on reducing house prices or ways that benefituries were to be given a rise to take them out of the poverty trap.
    Jacinda relied on a good result beating covid and let’s be honest National were in disarray and offered no real choice this time around.

    1. Trevor I don’t think this is true at all
      So many on the left were caught up in the fight to make marajuana legal they did not notice Labour put forward no policy on reducing house prices or ways that benefituries were to be given a rise to take them out of the poverty trap.

      The real problem is who else is there, yes the Greens well I party voted them in despite being pretty disillusioned with some of the things they have done.

      I do agree that it was covid that got Labour that astonishing result.

  13. ENDS
    You got it there Mr Trotter. Full salute to you.
    Nice article, I have criticised you in the past and was ripped apart because of that but I bear no malice to you or anyone here.
    The question becomes how do we begin the revolution. Difficult when older wealthy people of the Western world have become so fearful of death.
    But the revolution is already happening, I can hear it from here in my small impoverished town, youth running rampant with no respect for their lives, or others, as they have no hope.
    No hope.
    Do any of you know what that means.
    Us more privileged in society, and I include myself after 4 years of homelessness having being shot at 15 times, totally discriminated against like I was a thief and menace to society, need to put aside that fear and confront what maybe certain death, but the alternative is far more repulsive.
    Online is not the place to formulate a recipe for revolution, what we need is a unified and educated force to lead it.
    Nga mihi nui

    1. SOB. I am sorry about what has happened to you, and salute you for calling out about hope. Something really rotten has happened in New Zealand, and stealthily, but our young folk seeing nothing ahead of them, is a hell of an indictment upon us as a people.

      If I’m right, Key returned to these shores proclaiming he was to be PM before even entering Parliament; if this was on the word of a rich woman it was sinister or a complete circus. English disparaging our young men was disgraceful; I’m not defending the man, but as an old mother I’ve always thought him and Don Brash a pair of Peter Pans, boys who never really grew up, don’t know it, and not as clever as they think they are. This wouldn’t matter except that they cause trouble, get too caught up in their own dumb righteousness to perceive this, or care. Then there are the columnists and commentators who are haters. Best ignored, they probably hate themselves, and they too will die- that is not a threat – just a dust to dust comment.

      We can’t rewrite history, and nor can we rely on government to do the right thing, or to do anything very much. We have to force their hand, and I don’t know how this can be done, but an avalanche of voices is a good start. All of us can confront every politician and ex- politician that we see – I do- more pleasantly than they may deserve – and urge others to, but they won’t, but it is the pollies who always go on the defensive, and the only publicly angry one I’ve seen was Prebble – plus Clark keeping her regal difference at a social function- possibly just clumsiness – and I certainly don’t want any of them hugging me – the ball’s in my court on this one, not their’s.

      Being seen as the enemy of the children is foolish position for a kindness-claiming government to put itself in, and if they don’t realise this, it will not need a revolution to consign them to history, we’ll do that.

      1. Don’t worry about what has happened to me I can look after myself just fine.
        I was just pointing out what it is like to live on the street.
        Worry about those who can’t, there are so many out there.

  14. For a few minutes reading comments I thought I had been surreptitiously transported to some rabid right wing blog site. The only one who seems to make sense, albeit colourful, is Country Boy.

    1. Truth has no colour. Left, right, middle…are faux descriptions, and are irrelevant at this stage in the game.

      And even if people insist on using red/blue, left/right etc. it makes no difference in the long run: we all get wiped out by bad energy polices and bad and environment polices. And we’ve had decades of nothing but bad energy polices and bad environment polices -whoever has been in power.

      So now the end is in sight, and coming a lot faster than most people realise:

      https://sioweb.ucsd.edu/programs/keelingcurve/wp-content/plugins/sio-bluemoon/graphs/co2_800k.png

      We’re now approaching 420 ppm atmospheric CO2, which is 190 ppm above the 800,000 average. And still rising at the fastest rate in all of geological history. That’s the Halocene gone forever.

      + 3oC is just decades away. And +3oC means a 20 metre sea level rise in the short term and 100 metre sea level rise longer term.

      +3C means most of the Earth becomes uninhabitable, and certainly unsuitable for the kind of agriculture that has spurred the [human] population explosion of recent decades. Indeed, +2oC will almost certainly wipe out industrial agriculture, as will the decline in availability of liquid fuels that is a consequence of peak oil.

      +3oC means the kind of storms and droughts that affect us irregularly become the daily norm.

      But, hey, we ”have to have’ motor racing, and air travel, and heat pumps and air conditioners, and we have to have trips to drive-through takeaways, and shopping for plastic nick-knacks that will be thrown away a week after purchase -because we live in a CONSUMER SOCIETY, and as far as the government is concerned, consumption is all that counts, along with jobs. Got to keep the financial Ponzi system going a little longer, even if it will be the death of us all.

      1. Apologies. Compilation error:

        we all get wiped out by bad energy polices and bad environment polices. And we’ve had decades of nothing but bad energy polices and bad environment polices -whoever has been in power.

        (squander energy, fuck the planet)

  15. Today’s centre left is the right wing of yesteryear. Centre left/centre right. It’s still the same neo-liberal centre. Robertson, Ardern, and Boy Hipkins are not the functionaries that will dismantle the neo-liberal orthodoxy. Why would they? It is all they have ever known, and it works for them. They were spoon fed it by blair and Clark.
    Unless NZ Labour can remember why they are called labour, and not capital for instance, I will not be voting for them. Which is not an endorsement of any other political party.

  16. Nice article. If we are to ‘dream reality’ then I would argue that saying “we need a revolution” and kind of ending there greatly stymies the imagination. It is of great value thinking about what a post carbon, post growth, post capitalist society might actually look and feel like. What are the types of social relations that would accompany such a transition and how can those be brought into being now? We must degrow, we must decolonize, and we must move towards a post capitalist, post development and pluriversal world. In the famous words of the Zapatistas – “a world where many worlds fit”. I am disappointed by the lack of mention of Matike Mai (report on constitutional transformation), the UNDRIP (UN Declaration on the Rights of Indigenous People) and Te Tiriti o Waitangi in these discussions around anti neoliberal capitalism in NZ … The future of Aotearoa is indigenous, it’s our only hope. Time to throw away the ideologies which accompany modernity, of a Cartesian divide between humans/nature, a worldview which sees humanity on a linear path to ‘progress’ and ‘betterment’. Such a masculinist, colonial and hierarchical worldview has and continues to wreck havoc on people and planet. Alternative epistemologies need to be embraced on all levels.

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