Forget NZF + ACT voters, NZ Left must win over National and non vote to win 2026
Look at the break down in Labour vote to appreciate where the NZ Left needs to go this election to throw National, ACT and NZF out…
…The break down of where Labour lost votes from is fascinating and identifies what Labour needs to do to win back 2026.
Firstly the Left lost men. Haemorrhaged them. Turns out woke dogma promoted by identifiably left activists like, ‘All men are rapists’ was a bit of a mood killer for male voters.
Secondly the largest amount of voters lost were those who were so heart broken by Jacinda’s incrementalism that they didn’t bother voting at all.
Thirdly the second largest amount was National voters, people who voted for Luxon in the hope their house price would go up by 10%. These are voters who had no idea they were voting for a race war and giving tax breaks to Tobacco.
Fourthly, the Third largest was Greens, mostly from Auckland’s middle class suburbs.
Fifthly, NZF took the fourth largest chunk and is the reason Winston is cruising so high in the Polls.
Sixthly, Labour lost Auckland.
How to win them back:
Men – The new wave of male political podcasts are leading the drive here to promote a space for men on the Left that they can participate in minus the culture war alienation. BHN has created a whole new late night live online talk back for the hard left and it is winning hearts and minds.
Those too heart broken to vote – They feel so disappointed and let down by Labour’s incrementalism, it will take a huge deal for them to vote again, it will have to be a big ticket item like free dental care.
Those who voted National – There voters are genuinely appalled at this Government despite voting for National. They are spooked by the Māori Party but are cosmopolitan enough to be very comfortable with a Pepeha or even a song. Are looking for stability from Labour.
Those who voted Green – The middle class suburbs that are traditionally Labour voted Green because their wealth tax was far more ideologically appealing. Labour needs to have a strong left wing platform (free dental, free public transport, CGT), if they do that they can take back a lot of that Auckland Green vote, which wouldn’t be a bad thing because past 15 on their Party list, Greens candidates sure do get flakey.
Those who voted NZF – We are never getting them back and Labour needs to understand their sectarianism. These are the protesters that Trevor Mallard radicalised on Parliament’s lawns. They are NEVER coming home to Labour. EVER! Labour have permanently lost 5% of the vote because of the stunts Mallard pulled. NZFs mix of redneck cracker philosophy alongside the sexual excitement generated whenever Winston or Shane attacks immigrant MPs, environmentalists or the Treaty mark them out as racist conspiracy theorists who should be avoided at all cost. Their culture war boomer electorate will never turn from their bigotry or petty prejudices. They can not be reasoned with, nor should anyone ever try! The moment you hear a family member is voting NZF, cut them off immediately and sow the space between you with salt. The next time a pandemic occurs that kills Boomers and leaves everyone else ok, we should just let God do his work. The good news is that the millisecond Winston dies, this cult of personality will die too because most culture war boomers are so socially isolated now that they don’t have the emotional skill set to like new things. Once Winston is gone, NZ First is buried with him and lots of culture war boomers will fill that empty space by getting crypto scammed.
Auckland – Auckland bore the brunt of Covid. We stayed locked down so the rest of the country could scramble to vaccinated. All Labour gave is in return was GST off our fresh fruit and vegetables, it made us feel like our sacrifice was a joke to Labour. They need some big Auckland centric plan like free public transport and free dental to bring them back to the fold (while taking back some Green vote)
Anyone who voted ACT – NZFirst voters are lonely old racists scared by eclipses, where as ACT supporters are gleefully willing sadists who burn books with relish and ideological zeal. Most NZFirst voters wouldn’t know what ideological meant, or zeal. What you can excuse in the celebration of ignorance that is NZFirst voters you can’t ignore in the wilful malice of ACT voters. If you are still willing to buy into the race war, public service mutilating, zionist appeasing libertarianism that ACT have displayed over the last 2 years, you are corrupted and infested beyond reason. Aggressive use of napalm is the only solution here.
Forget NZF + ACT voters, NZ Left must win over National voters and non vote to win 2026.
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Why does this CoC allow Luxon anywhere near a camera or microphone? He is a collosal bore, has no idea how to be a PM and fawns over the lunatic, Trump at every turn! When they are ready, soon, the Left need to come up with the very best policies they can and too damn bad if they promise something they can’t deliver as that has been the norm for the CoC enablers so long as there was something big in it for them, which clearly was the case. OMG the blatant GREED and STUPIDITY! The Left should now be visiting and encouraging their voters to make sure they turn up to the polls, and regularly ensure THEIR RECORDS are still there, accurate and intact!!! If male voters still want to sulk, then go and waste your vote on National. For those too ‘broken hearted’ to vote – grow up and rejoin the ‘real world’. It must be patently clear by now, that climate, our economy, health and housing, in fact our whole survival, are at stake this coming election.
Chippie will win in a landslide
Sorry chippie is still a neo liberal centrist.
An interesting fact I learnt on Monday night on my chch central Greens zoom meeting.
most of the vote for Kahurangi Carter and the greens in chch central in 2023 were young folks and women.
20% of that vote were young people.
fact is the Young folks are going green not red.
the greens are the only Centre left party with progressive policies that have been built on over the last 3 elections.
I am picking chch central will go green not red this year.
So chippie wont win in a landslide.
Ok Chippie will win in a component slide
I see the National party already have billboards on our Wellington motorway and some of the right-wing voters have been running around vandalizing signs people have put up in Hutt Valley community why can’t they put their own signs up instead of resorting to vandalizing other people’s signs.
Too many NZers are struggling under the current government and the sorted are getting richer by the day while many are struggling to pay for the basics like rent, power rates, insurance and food making matters worse. We also have low job security and wages. And the trade deal with Indian will see more immigration at a time when jobs are already hard to get, not a good idea in these difficult times.
I see the National party already have billboards on our Wellington motorway and some of the right-wing voters have been running around vandalizing signs people have put up in Hutt Valley community why can’t they put their own signs up instead of resorting to vandalizing other people’s signs.
Too many NZers are struggling under the current government and the sorted are getting richer by the day while many are struggling to pay for the basics like rent, power rates, insurance and food making matters worse. We also have low job security and wages. And the trade deal with Indian will see more immigration at a time when jobs are already hard to get, not a good idea in these difficult times.
“… Too many NZers are struggling under the current government and the sorted are getting richer by the day…”
Can’t argue with that. But what I world argue is its pretty much the same world over and Labour alone let alone a left coalition ain’t going to fix that. Widening wealth disparity, high rents, power, insurance and food costs relative to employment, wages and job security are here to stay irrespective of government. I’d lioke to think the left could handle things differently, better social policies, environmental policy for the mid-21st C but I’ve lost hope. As GL comments above, centralist neo-lib won’t cut the mustard. Labour and/or the Greens can pull a few levers to help those really in need but little ol’ NZ is simply a cork bobbing in international seas.
The holiday break has invigorated you MB. Six points not far from the ways things are.
For first time in my life am considering not voting – although National and their cronies are disgusting- afraid that Labour won’t make blind bit of difference with Hipkins as leader about as inspiring as watching paint dry
For first time in my life am considering not voting – although National and their cronies are disgusting- afraid that Labour won’t make blind bit of difference with Hipkins as leader about as inspiring as watching paint dry
Gee how stupid not voting that is exactly what the right want people like you to do KMS. I have no sympathy or respect for people who don’t exercise their democratic right to vote and even less if they have a bloody cheek to moan about everything.
I don’t mind if National, ACT & NZF supporters don’t vote, all we have to do is convince them how disgusting the present government is.
Please vote Kim. You might have to hold your nose a bit but there’s still time for Labour to do what they should have done months ago and ditch Hipkins.
Even if they don’t come to their senses, it’s a question of not sliding any further into the mire.
One thing is certain, if the right wins, we will lose what’s left of our country. We own little enough now and look how prices have increased.
We can knock Hipkins into shape enough hopefully. But please don’t give up hope.
It’s time for all good ‘bottom-feeders’ to show the real bottom feeders (the thieves and liars), who’s boss.
covid is pa:
“the trade deal with Indian will see more immigration at a time when jobs are already hard to get…”
That’s not how any of this works. Firstly, “trade agreements” have nothing to do with immigration policy. The FTA with China didn’t result in a huge influx of Chinese workers looking for jobs. Unless you know something about the India FTA I don’t?
Secondly, any immigrants from India – like any other Globak South country – have to be professionals filling skills shortages or entrepreneurs planning to start or buy businesses. So if anything they’ll be creating jobs, not competing with the underemployed for existing ones.
Current rules don’t usually allow people to move here if they’re just regular workers. Unless *maybe* they’re family of permanent residents, in which case they’ll have jobs created for them by businesses within their communities before they get here. Again, not competing for existing ones.
I think you are too sure of your facts and likely outcomes Danyl.
Recently quoted WB Yeats ‘The Second Coming’
The best lack all conviction, while the worst
Are full of passionate intensity.
The Indians keen to get on, can come to NZ to study and though paying for it, they also have short-term visas and can do part-time work. I know one, a great chap, now with a business degree, who plans to stay and get some experience more than working in a cafe, and then return to India which is bigger, richer, and has more opportunities. The reverse may occur with Kiwis going overseas, but the number coming here to study, or start businesses that would otherwise be owned and run and staffed by Kiwis, does make a difference to our local economy and the multiplier.
Immigration policy in NZ offers many categories, not only professionals filling skills shortages or wealthy entrepreneurs planning to start or buy businesses. There are various work visas such as the short term seasonal worker visa (unlikely to attract those from the Indian sub continent) and the accredited employer visa (the Chinese builders around where I am seem to be of this kind as are many of the service station workers around here who appear to be Indian – and I know of a couple of tradies who have unregistered Indian workers on their books). Then there’s the student visa with the option of a work-to-residence visa after graduation. Family unification is not all that easy but easier for those with money to pay the immigration consultants/ lawyers (the refugees I know can’t afford it – but ‘refugees’ are a different category to ‘immigrants’). I’d also argue Danyl that while trade deals are not ostensibly about immigration the ‘concessions’ do open the door a bit wider.
Kim Murphy-Stewart:
“Labour won’t make blind bit of difference with Hipkins as leader …”
… unless they have a strong coalition partner who does have a decent centre-left policy platform and isn’t waiting until a few weeks before the election to start talking about it (*cough* Greens *cough*). Remember we have MMP elections. The legacy parties are still powerful, but they’re no longer the only players in the game.
Please vote Kim. You might have to hold your nose a bit but there’s still time for Labour to do what they should have done months ago and ditch Hipkins.
Even if they don’t come to their senses, it’s a question of not sliding any further into the mire.
One thing is certain, if the right wins, we will lose what’s left of our country. We own little enough now and look how prices have increased.
We can knock Hipkins into shape enough hopefully. But please don’t give up hope.
It’s time for all good ‘bottom-feeders’ to show the real bottom feeders (the thieves and liars), who’s boss.