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Let us rejoice whatever the outcome tonight, because our democracy is the winner here. The peaceful transfer of power without violence or intimidation is a sacred blessing we enjoy on a planet where many are denied this dream.

This poll will be fishing in a tiny pool. 1.7m NZers have already voted, so the actual pool of voters this Poll will be taken from are those old school voters who like to wait until election day, and I would hazard a guess that’s a pretty conservative voting pool.