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  1. I don’t know where the “information” used in these articles comes from, but it doesn’t align with the majority of informed analysis coming from some of the most experienced, knowledgeable, and connected miltary and political analysts around at this juncture..
    The obvious “western/US/British” propaganda is just that…. propaganda, and it bears no relationship to the reakuties on the ground in Ukraine..
    This is both irritating, and disappointing…

    1. Seconded. No one is saying this. Except possibly the US Institute of War, which I mean.. its in the name.

  2. My prediction that NATO would split was only wrong in the participants. The appeasers to me appeared to have been led by Germany, France, Benelux. Little foresight on my part that Trump would be the appeaser and taking the USA down a very narrow and isolationist path, resulting in France in particular doing a 180 in regards Ukraine.

    Already we have seen France and Germany alter their stance towards a NATO without the USA. Canada is mighty unimpressed with Trump and imposing their own, no buy USA products or service (and may actually make Trudeau electable again). Europe is going to be buying Canadian gas instead of USA. Plus the pipeline from Alaska to USA crossed Canadian territory and could be liable for sanctions or huge price hikes. Not to mention Canadian natural gas supplies could well be curtailed to the USA (plenty of willing buyers elsewhere).

    Trump insisting that Ukraine pay for the aid it has received (50% of GDP) to the tune of $500B is not going to fly. I think Trump has massively underestimated the European market and countries plus the Ukrainian resolve.. He sounds more pro Russian then pro NATO. France and Britain have the nuclear capacity to match Russia in a first strike (the one that counts) scenario.

    Another interesting development that has slipped under the radar is the strengthening of the Nordic Baltic Coalition (NB8) with the potential for Poland to join. USA has shit on this organisation big time. They control the Baltic Sea and access to the North Sea and Atlantic for all Russian shipping.

    Worth a read; https://ecfr.eu/publication/northern-lights-how-a-nordic-baltic-coalition-of-the-willing-can-do-even-more-for-ukraine/

    “Public backing in the NB8 for Ukraine remains sky-high, with surveys showing strong support for military aid while pro-Russian parties remain on the sidelines.” + “A shared history of Russian conflict reinforces these countries’ stance against aggression, aligning their interests closely with Ukraine’s.”

    To my mind the biggest worry for Putin remains Belarus. He needs the “buffer” that he wants Ukraine to be. He needs to take Belarus into the Russian federation but the Belarusian people may well think differently.

    Worth a read; https://www.wilsoncenter.org/blog-post/2025-presidential-elections-belarus-just-one-many-problems-country

    “Thus, Lukashenko has put himself in a situation where any scenario that may arise risks opening Pandora’s box regarding the fate of both his regime and Belarus itself. Ukraine and Western states must prepare for the possible sudden emergence of a power vacuum in Belarus and additional Russian efforts to control Minsk and ultimately dissolve Belarus’ sovereignty.”

    Does Russia have the where for all to maintain imperialistic jack boots on the ground in the Caucasus, Belarus and the southern border Stan countries?

      1. Totally see that the USA militarily is highly inefficient and based on internal empire building cliques. Not to mention the vagaries of their political masters (A10 replacement as a perfect example – troops on the ground want and need them, brass and politicians say nah, use the too fast F35 as ground support).

        Parallels in the Russian armed forces. Submarines were the ego trip during the soviet era, now they can only operate from and rust away, in Vladivostok.

        My relations in Europe now realise that the USA is a toothless tiger, fair weather friend and a bully. NATO will split and leave the USA behind. EU has lagged in GDP growth but has the population (700m v 400M) and capacity to grow bigger than the USA. China sees the opportunity and is more than willing to help.

        One could almost see Trump’s need to be Russia’s friend to keep the EU from becoming larger economically. Yes the EU has relied on the USA these past 80 years but the writing is on the wall. They will go their own way. Trumps desire to increase EU military spending is seen as a means to maintain the USA arms industry. That will backfire massively. For with USA arms come conditions for use plus down graded equipment (F16’s with vital components missing and Abraham tanks witouth the best available armour fitted.

  3. ‘Trump Recruited as Moscow Asset,’ Says Ex-KGB Spy Chief
    https://www.kyivpost.com/post/47630

    If true, Trump is doing Putin’s bidding and his zigzagging is just a deception. I think the PRC might join these two and maintain their peaceful facade, while the US lead system starts collapsing

    1. Look at your source when asking if this is true. As Sir Humphrey said. “They would say that wouldn’t they”.

  4. Ukraine lost the war, a generation of men and possibly their resources, but probably the biggest losers were pundits broadcasting from their bunkers day after day after day, that Russia’s defeat was imminent and the great proud warrior for the west would rise victorious. Nope.

  5. So far from reality, it’s like the twilight zone. If that’s the quality of the NZDF then lets just surrender to China now.

  6. A lot of wishful thinking being expressed here, and rather wan spin
    Russia’s army weaker ?
    Not so says a US airforce general
    https://www.voanews.com/a/us-air-force-general-russia-military-larger-better-than-before-ukraine-invasion/7788601.html
    Russia is not the one who has called for talks, it has been Trump who sees the writing on the wall “a war that Ukraine can’t win”
    Russia is now spending more on its defence than all of Europe, and its economy , despite all the sanctions thrown at it is outstripping Europe in terms of growth according to the IMF
    https://www.france24.com/en/tv-shows/business/20250212-study-finds-russian-defence-spending-exceeds-all-of-europe-combined
    https://www.bbc.com/news/business-68823399
    Russia’s military is still based on volunteers, and doesn’t look like its running short, whereas Ukraine’s several mobilisations and lowering of eligible age has resulted in mass resistance, flight of young men out of Ukraine, and attacks on recruitment offices .Morale is not looking good, and desertions are a common problem.
    And lastly …Russia hurting and needing to make a deal?
    Think again
    https://www.pbs.org/newshour/world/russia-appears-to-have-time-on-its-side-nearly-3-years-after-it-invaded-ukraine

    1. Many of the volunteers are those who had a choice of prison or the army and were sent to the front with only basic training.
      Ukraine may not be winning but Russia does not seem to be doing well and their economy is being stretched by the demands of the war.

  7. It is really clear to see what is at stake here .The USA wants Russian oil and all of the minerals in Ukraine .The USA does not want peace for the good of Russia or Ukraine it merely wants what those two countries have that it does not have .
    Just rinse and repeat from them .

  8. The Russian economy is doing so badly that they have 4% growth, inflation caused by wage growth and labour shortages. All whilst under sanctions and with the cost of war. Sounds terrible Trev. Wish we were doing that.

  9. The Russian economy is doing so badly that they have 4% growth, inflation caused by wage growth and labour shortages. All whilst under sanctions and with the cost of war. Sounds terrible Trev. Wish we were doing that.

  10. A settlement broadly along these lines has been predictable for a couple of years.
    Starting with a ceasefire.
    Ukraine won’t agree to being disarmed, no after all that has happened in the last 3 years. Much more likely to boost their military.
    Why would a ceasefire hold?
    Because it is the interests of both nations (Russia and Ukraine). Russia gets back into the international system and inwards capital. Ukraine gets into the EU.
    Both countries get the end of actual combat with all the death, injury and destruction.
    The US gets its minerals deals both in Ukraine and Russia.
    So Russia puts up with an armed Ukraine. If they don’t attack Ukraine, then Ukraine doesn’t attack Russia. The definition of a ceasefire.
    Will there be a DMZ?
    Quite likely. Not with peacekeeping troops as such, more like truce monitors. They would have no ability to stop either side, but they would be able to report and record. That in itself helps keep the ceasefire.

    1. Ukraine with the backing of the U.S. might have been able to get a deal like that, though I personally would say that it would have been highly unlikely, but with Trump washing his hands of Ukraine, the final outcome is going to be much less favorable for Ukraine.

    2. I think you are living in the past Wayne. The time for Ukraine to have any say is long gone, as is the time for Europe and the US. It is up to Russia to decide terms and I doubt they will accept a ceasefire or non long term arrangement.
      Out of this mess it is possible that NATO and the EU will lose all legitimacy. It’s a high price that the vassals of US empire pay.

      1. “I think you are living in the past Wayne.”
        A succinct observation, applicable to not a few, but fortunately it doesn’t matter.

  11. I should make it clear that it would be a ceasefire on the current frontline. Russia keeps what it has got. Along with Crimea, that is about 25% of the Ukraine prior to 2014.
    Russia will paint that as a win, but is it?
    Sweden and Finland in NATO and Ukraine (the 75% that remains) is irrevocably lost to the West.
    In the same way that Austria, which is nominally neutral as a result of the Treaty between all the 1945 allies, is nevertheless part of the EU and therefore is of the West.

    1. I don’t think Russia is in any hurry to accept ceasefires
      And where is a deindustrialised Europe going to source its materials and cheap energy to build its defence capabilities to the level needed to take on Russia?
      Austria is no problem to Russia, I don’t think Russia cares about who belongs to the EU
      Ukraine is going to be the west’s problem child for years to come .
      Even a partisan flagship like the Guardian is recognising some hard truths
      https://www.theguardian.com/world/2025/feb/25/kremlin-disputes-trump-claim-russia-would-accept-peacekeeping-troops-in-ukraine

      1. The gain for Russia in an early ceasefire is a restoration of normal economic arrangements, end of sanctions and end of actual war. These will all really matter to Russia.

        Among other sources, I follow the various websites on the drawdown of Russian armour from their various stockpiles. Virtually the vehicles in the stockpiles are all from pre 1990. There were originally well over 10,000 vehicles. Basically two thirds have now been drawn down, those still in the stockpiles are mostly pre 1960 vehicles. Russia can build a couple of hundred modern armoured vehicles per year, maybe a bit more, plus refurbish a few hundred per year. Russia now faces a continued reduction of armoured vehicles in their active fleet. Russia has lost several thousand armoured vehicles over the last three years. They lose far more per year than they can replace, especially with the massive reduction in their stockpiles.

        It is the same story with aircraft and especially helicopters. The attrition rate is well beyond the capacity to replace.

        Russia therefore has enormous incentive to settle now. They keep what they have got. Which is fair chunk of Ukraine, essentially 25% of the pre 2014 Borders. Future territorial gains, based on the last year of combat, will be relatively minor but those gains will came at huge cost.

        In short Russia has every incentive to settle.

        1. Maybe they know something you dont.
          Because they havrn’t modified the conditions necessary for a settlement

        2. Russia can build its military vehicles and artillery faster than Europe.
          “The Russian presence in Ukraine at the end of 2024 stood at roughly 700,000 troops, far more than the 2022 invasion force. Russian defence production has been rapidly ramped up (Wolff et al, 2024). In 2024 alone, Russia produced and refurbished an estimated 1,550 tanks, 5,700 armoured vehicles and 450 artillery pieces of all types. It also deployed 1,800 long-range Lancet loitering munitions 3 . Compared to 2022, this represents a 220 percent increase in tank production, 150 percent in armoured vehicles and artillery, and 435 percent in long-range loitering munitions”
          https://www.bruegel.org/analysis/defending-europe-without-us-first-estimates-what-needed.

  12. Trump,,,, same dog different leg.

    “The Americans, on the other hand, are stuck in the supremacist mythology that they inherited from the British, They want the world divided into “spheres of influence”
    – American, Russian and Chinese– but Amerika uber alles. Size matters, Power matters.”

    The Russiagate hoax forced Trump ‘to prove himself’,,,, pointlessly, as that zombie hoax has been resurrected despite his past actions as President…. With him following the path and preparing the
    ground for the coming (proxy) War–ie “After all, it was Trump who set up Western Ukraine for war making sure that the Ukrainians got the weaponry and training they needed despite the Minsk Agreements, and imposing all sorts of sanctions on Russian aimed at regime change until he lost office in 2020.”

    Trump has had a lot of ‘problems’ both during and after his first time round as President… it’s been far more than just the results of his own incompetence and dishonesty that he’s had to battle…..

    …The Maga Don Donald would be insulted and displeased to be called ‘Putins Puppet ,,, but the Orange Don, or ‘King Don ( to give him that New York skyline roots), is undoubtedly mightily pissed at
    how Others have been Making him dance both during and after his
    first time in office ,,, —-

    …. “The US Chaos Industry might have remained as it was had it not targeted Trump in 2016. .

    That was a mistake. Trump is not a thinker or planner – he’s a reactionary – in the classic sense of someone who just “reacts”, without considering the why and wherefore or what or how ; facts, reality and the like, irrelevant. He is emotional rather than rational— a hormonal 12 year old going on hormoneless 78—injecting chaos into the American political and judicial system.”

    “The bureaucracy of state, including USAID and NED, DoJ, FBI, CIA and others made the mistake of playing their trade too obviously against a sitting President—not imaging that the Biden and his handlers would
    sink the Democratic party. Those agencies will die —trumped —to be reborn within a Donaldian Deep State.”

    They impeached Trump over Ukraine ,,, and the Ukrainians were all in on that attempted political knifing of him ,,
    the orange Don would describe this in ‘Trump speak’ as , “very bad people did terrible terrible things to me”.

    Weaponizing the Justice system against trump broke the Usa etiquette of never prosecuting Presidents, no matter how big or what types of criminals they were in office ,,

    the breaking of this unspoken rule may now be a lethal boomerang as Trump grew into ‘the man they could not kill’…..

    Trump using the new rules of breaking the old ones ( he never prosecuted Killary Clinton) could return the political lawfare by formally exposing and prosecuting the corruption between Usa politicians and NGO’s with
    their Ukraine project,,, as well as revealing the rampant theft and corruption within Ukraine that the Usa has been funneling hundreds of billions into ( $100 million and climbing from us here in NZ as well 🙁 ,,,,.
    Trump could use this ammo to wash his hands of what is in Trump speak, “a Stinking and rotten deal” ,,, blaming it all on “very very bad people”, aka the Dems and Zelensky.

    ***********************************************************

    “Zelensky sold one of the biggest election lies by claiming to be the “peace president” ,and that he’d stop the war/fighting that the 2014 western backed coup kicked off,,, although he does have some personal excuses for not following through,,,ie
    …”one powerful leader threatened to kill him and he said that zelensky would hang from a tree if he made peace with Russia and implemented the Minsk peace accords” (from memory that “powerful leader” represented “right sektor”,, a facist nationalist movement that according to western propaganda has little political power in Ukraine) https://youtu.be/MFvsz6hHiyE?t=1884

    “For the record, the Russians followed international law very carefully to prevent the NeoNazis from cleansing Russian Ukraine ethnically and denying the rights of people in Donbas and Lugansk to self determination. Donbas and Lugansk had declared themselves independent republics—democratically as was their right. The Russians id not “invade” their territory, since they were invited. All they did was act to help end an illegal occupation and prevent a form of genocide ……….
    ……… And they provided a minimal force assisting the local militias who did most of the hard work.”

    So, no Russian invasion ever occurred. But there had been a NeoNazi invasion back in 2014, and there was about to be another, bigger one ( see graph at 33.00 mins in above video link )

    *********************************************************************************

    I’ll finish by quoting Caitlan Johnston who has a way of summing things up…

    ” Obviously the war in Ukraine needs to end. Polls say Ukrainians themselves want the war to end. If you want Ukrainians to keep dying in this war against the will of the Ukrainians themselves while you sit
    safe at home eating snacks and posting on the internet, you’re a monster.

    But saying this really doesn’t go far enough. We should all be raging at everyone who pushed things to this point, especially at the leaders of the western empire we live under. These psychopaths knowingly
    provoked an unwinnable war of unfathomable horror by first backing a regime change operation in 2014 and then amassing a proxy military threat on Russia’s border in ways the US would never permit on its
    own border, then refusing off-ramp after off-ramp both before and after Russia invaded. Everyone who paved the way to this nightmare belongs in a cage

    And that includes Trump. The sitting president is on social media right now trying to pin this whole thing on Zelensky, when Trump himself helped pave the way to this horror by becoming the first president
    to start openly pouring weapons into Ukraine while ramping up cold war tensions and shredding treaties with Russia. Trump, Obama, Biden, Boris Johnson, and all of NATO helped throw Ukraine into the meat grinder while countless western experts and analysts warned urgently that their actions would result in Ukraine’s destruction. They should all suffer immense consequences.”

    We here in AoNZ have spent over $100 million,,, to kill these people or destroy this enemy https://www.bitchute.com/video/pBirmHxcqUOi

    Slava what again?,, Volhynia» Wolyn aka Hatred (2016) — A short segment of the movie
    https://www.bitchute.com/video/3K8zHjTXXmeG

    What a disgrace.

    https://julianmacfarlane.substack.com/p/chaos-and-the-american-caesar

    https://julianmacfarlane.substack.com/p/lies-damn-lies-and-the-media

  13. Compulsory Unionism. Profit, who you, clown. Or your fear, who the fuck, this care. Don!t like talking ghost basic brain fucked children, about, Engel.

  14. War is just a bankers game.Look at the Vietnam (American War)..we have to stop the commies otherwise they will takeover NZ and Australia….omg…the Viets won the war..what happened…Germany and Japan lost WW2 ..what language are they speaking these days!

  15. Hmmm
    Russia’s economy is on the ropes …so much they’re offering debt relief to African countrhttps://www.scoop.co.nz/stories/WO2503/S00015/naci-appreciates-russias-debt-cancellation-for-africa.htm

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