Shock New POLL Labour overtake National – Chippy preferred PM

New Taxpayers’ Union Poll is out and its devastating for National.

Labour overtake National in the Taxpayers’ Union Poll!

Labour – 34.1% 

National – 33.6%

Green 10.0% 

ACT 7.7% 

Māori 6.5%

NZ First 5.1%

The vicious nature of this Hard Right Government led by a weak Luxon is bearing a harvest of spite from voters who feel genuinely angry at what is happening.

Horizon poll: 39% of voters ‘concerned’ about coalition Government

– 39% were concerned about how the coalition government is performing
– 38% were disappointed
– 34% were frustrated
– 24% were angry
– 22% were hopeful
– 10% feel pleased, 5% excited, 4% proud, and 4% feel inspired

Where do Kiwis cut back when we feel the pinch?

– 31% of Kiwis struggle to pay the power bill

– 24% struggle to buy food

– 26% struggle to pay rent

– 29% struggle with transport costs

Overall 55% of Kiwis are not doing well and the “cost of living” crisis has only gotten worse

The truth is Luxon has been a flop, he is too weak and he is too arrogantly rich.

Seymour and Winston play him like a fool and his ability to make things worse with his deep hatred of poor people is becoming a tad pathological now.

The knives are out for Chris Luxon.

The numbers are being being quietly done.

The only thing that will save him is a successful Investment Summit and according to Hooton, it looks like a clusterfuck of titanic proportions…

Christopher Luxon has just one job next week – Matthew Hooton

New Zealand has a history of ultimately embarrassing prime ministerial summits – David Lange’s 1984 Economic Summit, bearing no relation to his Government’s policy programme; Clark’s 2001 Knowledge Wave conference, preceding a seemingly permanent decline in New Zealand’s productivity growth; and Sir John Key’s 2009 Jobs Summit, at least delivering a cycleway.

Luxon’s idea was to bring to New Zealand the chief executives of investment companies with which the Superannuation Fund had arranged courtesy calls on his overseas travels. The chief executives, he thought, would then be inspired by his oratory and people skills to invest in New Zealand.

This betrayed Luxon’s background as a salesman without any real experience or knowledge of how funds allocate capital, or even who makes the decisions. In most funds, including our Superannuation Fund, the chief executive is just one cog in the wheel of investment decisions, which are made by mandated investment committees overseen by the chief investment officer.

Moreover, investors don’t put money into countries but into projects. A specialist at investing in, say, ports, doesn’t decide to invest in New Zealand and then look around for which port. They’re interested in receiving credible proposals for port projects, from anywhere, and prefer to maintain a balanced global portfolio to manage geopolitical and other risk.

Such projects must also exceed a minimum value specified in their investment mandate.

When Luxon was finally convinced of this last year, and came to understand his original idea of a rah-rah generic marketing exercise would fail, he ordered immediately investable propositions be prepared.

These remain a closely guarded secret, including from those expected to fly across the world for next week’s extravaganza. But NZME’s BusinessDesk reports the Government has so-far identified only four potential public-private partnerships (PPPs) for the short- or medium-term: redeveloping accommodation at the Linton Military Camp, redeveloping Christchurch Men’s Prison, new court rooms in Waitākere and Rotorua, and a four-lane expressway from Warkworth to Te Hana.

We’d all better hope BusinessDesk somehow has this terribly wrong because if that’s all New Zealand has to offer major allocators of global capital after 16-hour flights from New York or Dubai, our country will forever be blacklisted as a destination for their funds. Not even the 24km expressway would meet most funds’ minimum investment thresholds for construction projects and it isn’t clear these are genuine PPPs anyway, but rather slightly more elaborate construction contracts.

...I have previously blogged about my confusion as to why National seemed so optimistic that this Investment Summit would be an economic turning point because by all accounts it looked painfully light on opportunity.

I think they are confusing their excitement at hosting corporate events vs actual economic growth.

China was set to be a large part of this summit, but with a Chinese fleet currently doing live fire tests in the Tasman Sea, their inclusion is going to quickly become a festering sore.

3rd tier Australian Mining companies keen to exploit our Fast Track process doesn’t seem like much of a win and more property speculators isn’t a solution either.

Libertarian Billionaires looking for a bolthole when the climate change collapse kicks in doesn’t seem like a future anyone wants other than them.

National have put all the eggs in this one investment summit and are attempting to sell us prostituting ourselves to the global rich as a great way forward.

It isn’t.

National have confused their excitement for event management as an economic policy, when this falls over, as it will, what new rabbit do they intend to pull out of their hat?

All National have are Austerity Budgets that borrow billions for tax cuts while hollowing out public service budgets. They strangle the common good for their donors interests.

Begging rich people to exploit us at a summit seems masochistic even for the Political Right.

Long story short – the Investment Summit looks like an enormous failure which means the move against Luxon will happen before June to Gove the new candidate a year and a half before the election.

The rumours are:

Judith Collins wants Mark Mitchell, but Mark is too full of self doubt.

The big money donors don’t care as long as Nicola Willis remains Finance.

Simeon Brown hilariously thinks he can do it.

The compromise candidate will be Louise Upston.

Change of National Party Leadership alongside ACTs refusal to back any of Winston’s Ferry proposals could be the excuse Winston needs to trigger a snap election before May 31st.

In terms of Chippy and Labour, they were at the Auckland Chamber of Commerce with Simon Bridges sitting right there on stage with him last week so there was no way Chippy was about to blow the Trumpet for Revolution and unleash the dogs of war upon the filthy capitalists.

Chippy was there to woo capitalists who are genuinely alarmed at this Government’s race war and glee at kicking the poor.

Chris Hipkins is NZs Emotional Support Labrador.

These are educated cosmopolitans who like that their kids can sing a pepeha and who all wear Greenstone when they travel overseas. They pay extra for the electric car and like to think of themselves as liberal and don’t raise the rent as high as their Property Manager claims they can make.

They voted Jacinda proudly in 2020 and angrily didn’t in 2023.

They are Aucklanders, the well to do who run the city’s commerce, and most importantly to them Chris Hipkins is an emotional support Labrador who makes the idea of voting Labour again a lot less scary.

They want stability, they don’t want race wars.

They want their house prices to go up, they don’t want hungry kids eating shit food.

They want less gridlock, but they don’t want to see more homeless.

They are open to Chippy’s incrementalism and that’s exactly what he gave them.

No big ideas, just a promise not to tear up everything National has done.

On any other given day such capitulation would be derided, today we are so desperate to get rid of National + ACT + NZF that we will take incremental nothings.

The reshuffle was far more significant than vague promises not to upset Aucklanders  property portfolios.

Labour’s new list (new portfolios in bold):

• 1. Chris Hipkins – Leader, Ministerial Services, National Security and Intelligence
• 2. Carmel Sepuloni – Auckland Issues, Women, Pacific Peoples (loses Social Development, Child Poverty Reduction)

In the spirit of good will, I’m not going to bag Carmel any longer and hope that she is able to hear the stress Aucklanders are living under and makes some meaningful contribution to public transport, public safety and our homeless problem.

• 3. Barbara Edmonds (+1) – Finance and Economy, Savings and Investment (loses Infrastructure)

I am the biggest fan of Barbara, she truly is one of the great Labour Politicians and if she is able to do something meaningful with Savings and Investment we will be genuinely lucky.

• 4. Megan Woods (-1) – Energy and Resources, Manufacturing and Industry, Associate Finance (loses Climate Change)

Think this is a blunder. Manufacturing and Industry should have gone to Kieran.

• 5. Willie Jackson – Social Development, Māori Development (loses Broadcasting and Media, Employment, Associate Housing, Associate Workplace Relations)

This is the biggest move. Willie Jackson as Social Development could herald a real change in welfare that will generate real support from beneficiaries.

• 6. Ayesha Verrall – Health, Wellington Issues (loses Public Service)

I really like Ayesha.

• 7. Kieran McAnulty – Shadow Leader of the House, Housing, Infrastructure and Public Investment (loses Local Govt and Regional Development)

He’s so close to Winston he can almost touch him.

• 8. Williow-Jean Prime – Education, Children (loses Youth, Associate Education – Māori)

Great appointment, Willow-Jean is a star.

• 9. Ginny Andersen – Jobs and Incomes, Police, Treaty of Waitangi Negotiations (loses Prevention of Family and Sexual Violence, Social Investment, Associate Social Development)

I want to like Ginny.

• 10. Jan Tinetti – Workplace Relations and Safety, Social Investment, Early Childhood Education, Child Poverty Reduction (loses Education, Women)
• 11. Peeni Henare – Economic Development, Māori-Crown Relations Te Arawhiti, Defence, Associate Health (loses Sport and Recreation)

Great man doing great things.

• 12. Tangi Utikere (+7) – Local Government, Transport, Small Business, Racing (loses Oceans and Fisheries, Associate Education – Pacific)

I like Tangi.

• 13. Priyanca Radhakrishnan (-1) – NZSIS, GCSB, Disability, Conservation
• 14. Jo Luxton (-1) – Agriculture, Rural Communities, Biosecurity
• 15. Duncan Webb (-1) – Deputy Shadow Leader of the House, Justice, Regulation, Natural Hazards Commission (loses Christchurch issues)

Is a star, needs to be given more.

• 16. Deborah Russell (-1) – Revenue, Climate Change, Associate Finance (loses Science, Innovation and Technology, Associate Education – Tertiary)

I want to like Deborah.

• 17. Rachel Brooking (-1) – Environment, Food Safety, Space, RMA Reform
• 18. Damien O’Connor (-1) – Trade, Land Information, Regional Development (loses Associate Foreign Affairs, Associate Transport)

Needs to be used in regional NZ more.

• 19. David Parker (-1) – Foreign Affairs, Shadow Attorney General (loses Electoral Reform)

Should be given something far larger than this.

• 20. Camilla Belich – ACC, Public Services, Emergency Management (loses Workplace Relations and Safety)
• 21. Arena Williams – Commerce and Consumer Affairs, Building and Construction, Youth (loses State-owned Enterprises)

Arena Williams is the future of the party, needs far more than this.

• 22. Phil Twyford – Immigration, Disarmament and Arms Control, Associate Foreign Affairs

I like Phil.

• 23. Greg O’Connor – Courts, Veterans

Needs to be used more.

• 24. Jenny Salesa – Ethnic Communities, Customs
• 25. Rachel Boyack – Arts, Culture and Heritage, Animal Welfare, Oceans and Fisheries (loses ACC)
• 26. Adrian Rurawhe – Whānau Ora (loses Associate Māori Development)
• 27. Helen White – Community and Voluntary Sector, Prevention of Family and Sexual Violence (loses Small Business and Manufacturing, Associate Justice)

I said I wasn’t going to be mean.

• 28. Ingrid Leary – Seniors, Mental Health
• 29. Lemauga Lydia Sosene – Internal Affairs, Statistics (loses Associate Pacific Peoples, Associate Social Development and Employment)
• 30. Reuben Davidson – Science, Technology and Innovation, Broadcasting, Media and Creative Economy (loses Statistics, Digital Economy and Communications, Associate Broadcasting and Media)
• 31. Cushla Tangaere-Manuel – Māori Economy, Sport and Recreation, Forestry (loses Tourism and Hospitality, Cyclone Recovery)

She’s such a star!

• 32. Tracey McLellan – Corrections, Christchurch Issues (loses Associate Health)
• 33. Shanan Halbert – Tertiary Education, Rainbow Issues (loses Auckland Issues)
• 34. Glen Bennett – Tourism and Hospitality (loses Economic Development, Associate Energy)

 

This was not the call for revolution, it was a call for not spooking the horses.

Chippy is the Emotional Support Labrador NZ needs after this hard right spiteful Government.

Who’s a good boy Chippy?

You are!

Yes you are!

Who wants a sausage roll?

YOU WANT A SAUAGE ROLL!

I’m going back to sleep.

 

 

 

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