New Roy Morgan Poll shows splintering MMP spectrum and the Left need to win back male voters

National: 32.5% (-2.5)
Labour: 24% (-3.5)
Greens: 14% (-0.5)
ACT: 11% (+2)
NZF: 6.5% (+1)
TPM: 6% (+2.5)
TOP 4.5% (+2)

The MMP Spectrum is splintering as the extremists on the fringes win more support while the centre collapses.

The Rough Beast of Bethlehem is upon us…

 

…The Rough Beast of Bethlehem is Winston, Seymour and Luxon combined.

ACT, Māori Party, NZF and even TOP are popping while Labour, National and Greens go backwards.

The Darleen Tana Drama is starting to bite now.

ACT’s race baiting is gaining popularity.

NZF culture war revenge fantasies are keeping his Conspiracy Swamp bubbling over 5%.

TDB warned you that this government would implement a blitzkrieg of hard right policy, and so it has come to pass:

•  Racist attack on local council Māori wards
• Cancelling Māori Health Authority
• Manufacturing public health crisis to justify cut backs.
• Repealing OT legislation forcing interaction with Iwi so they can green lighting a mass new tsunami of uplifts for Social Investment Bog Data investment.
• Throwing 50 000 beneficiaries off welfare including the disabled and drug addicts.
• Promising cancer patients 14 new drugs and only funding half of them for twice the price.
• Cancelling the Ferry’s only to spend more money for less Ferry!
• Rigging Charter schools
• Privatisation agenda in social housing
• Allowing property developers to create urban sprawl ghettos.
• Giving Chris Bishop, Simeon Brown and Dr Pork Shane Jones the power of Muldoon on meth with the Fast Track Powers!
• Taking $3billion from climate change funds.
• Allowing corporate dairy to avoid paying for their pollution.
• Pushing 17000 kids into poverty to pay for tax cuts we can’t afford.
• Dumping 3 waters to allow water rates to spike.
• Military Boot Camps that don’t work.
• Gutting public transport.
• Allowing Newshub to fall over so there is less scrutiny of policy.
• Allowing the donor calls to dictate policy.
• Bending over backwards for the Tobacco Industry, Mining Industry and Real Estate Pimps
• Allowing bosses to sack workers and Landlords to kick out renters
• Getting NZ into Americas latest military adventure in the Red Sea
• Tough on crime posturing that creates counter productive outcomes
• Massive cuts to public spending that will become austerity next year.

So can we admit this Government is not ‘moderate’ any longer? We can kill that myth?

The damage this hard right, racist climate denying beneficiary bashing Government has done is intergenerational.

The Prime Minister’s smug certitude when so many Kiwis are doing it hard alongside his inability to keep his Deputy’s inline made National’s Conference a more cynical event than normal.

They played photos of the previous Government to mock Labour as if the only point of a Political Party Conference is juvenile arrogance mixed with a misplaced sense of superiority.

It was white on ideas and whiter still on details.

Luxon complained about math and said he’d do something about math.

Hey kids, what’s 2 tobacco lobbyists minus any ethical morality whatsoever plus this Government equal?

Cough up your answer and show your working.

Somebody from the audience called on corporal punishment to be brought back to deal with Ram Raids and Mark Mitchell made some joke about that and the Party Conference laughed while everyone who had read the Royal Inquiry into State Abuse died a little bit inside.

Meanwhile, Chippy has moved from sausage rolls to pies…

…and might get to a wealth tax mid 2026.

Chloe better invoke the Waka jumping shortly because weakness breeds cynicism.

Diving into the numbers the issues are stark for the Left, the simple truth is that Idenity Politics has driven men away from us as a movement…

The Holy Trinity of Woke Dogma are:

• ALL White people are irredeemable racists.
• B-E-L-I-E-V-E ALL Women that ALL Men are rapists
• Anyone supporting Free Speech is a uniform wearing Nazi who hates the Trans Community.

Pure Temple Politics demands you accept that Woke Dogma before you can join, using that Identity Filter drives male voters away from the movement.

This is a point I’ve been making for what, 5 years now?

Identity Politics is most dangerous when poor white people start seeing themselves as an identity.

Tell men they are the problem long enough and they become the problem.

Class binds us in solidarity, its pronouns are Us/We.

Middle Class activists posing for the ‘gram using hashtag politics, their pronouns are I/Me.

Alienating male voters is now accepted by actual students of politics and culture as a main problem for the Left.

Don’t believe me?

Here’s some of that evil Patriarchal Right Wing Rag, The Guardian for you..

Young men in the US used to lean left. Could they now hand Trump the presidency? | US elections 2024 | The Guardian

The ex-president is courting a demographic drifting away from the Democrats. What’s driving the widening gender gap among young people?

…let me guess, let me guess, let me guess. Young Men are suffering more mental health issues, education problems and self harm driven by a system that alienates them and then lectures them on privilege creating a deep resentment because identity is the only thing that matters now..

Richard Reeves – whose 2022 book, Of Boys and Men, has become a foundational text on what has gone wrong for young men in the country – is damning of framing that puts young men’s rightward turn in terms of UFC fights and incels, when he believes it’s about deep-seated inequalities of outcome in education, mental health and employment.

“I want to talk about why only 60% of Black boys graduate high school on time in Michigan, or the fact that the share of male teachers has gone from 33% to 23%. Or that we’ve lost more than half the men who work in social work and psychology,” he says. “I’d want to talk about that rather than, for example, whether the Barbie movie was unfair on Ken.”

He says people are misinterpreting the polling. “It’s not enthusiasm for the reactionary right, it’s a sense of being taken for granted by the left. There are more young men shrugging their shoulders than raising their fists.”

It’s true that there is now a growing gender gap in education; for every 100 bachelor’s degrees awarded to women, 74 are awarded to men. In many US cities, young women are earning more than young men and moving out of parents’ homes earlier than them.

Reeves is careful to say that improving conditions for men and boys should not mean slowing down similar efforts for women and girls. But he says that government institutions do have a tendency to purposefully avoid naming the problems young men face. Suicide is one of the clearest areas in which there is a huge gender divide – there’s a fourfold gender gap in rates for young people – and yet, says Reeves, “the CDC website breaks down suicide rates by every demographic except gender. Why? Why don’t the Democrats have a taskforce on male suicide when there are 40,000 deaths a year?”

He gives other compelling examples of how Democrats have failed to signpost their achievements to young men. Biden’s infrastructure bill – his key piece of legislative success – was a huge jobs creator for working-class men, “but the administration tied itself in knots not to say so”. Instead, it focused on the million women in construction initiative to ensure women got some of the funding. “That’s amazing. Now, er, where’s the million men into teaching initiative? … There are so many initiatives for women in Stem; why not one for men in teaching? Who is going to attack that?”

On the Democrats’ own website is a page titled “who we serve” that lists 14 different groups. Men are not among them.

…BOOM!

Nuttin’ but Net, nuttin’ but Net!

 

 

The article points out that young men are turning Right because they’ve been pushed out of the Left because Identity Politics states the worst human being in the world is a white male who must apologise every 90 minutes for having a Penis.

And I’m talking the awful heteronormative penis, not the beautiful amazing non-binary penis so popular in Wellington these days.

The Middle Class Woke Activism may have not been the great tactic so many on the NZ Left thought it was.

If the Left wants to win, it needs to win back male voters.

The true demarcation of power in a. capitalist democracy is the 1% richest plus their 9% enablers vs the 90% rest of us.

Once you understand power in that framework, we can never lose an election!