El Niño threat looms large over tourism sector this summer
The tourism industry is preparing to face the impacts of El Niño during a busy summer.
The weather pattern typically causes dryness in the east and more rain in the west, with stronger than usual winds.
Tourism Industry Aotearoa (TIA) chief executive Rebecca Ingram said it was always important for businesses to be prepared for severe weather.
But after a year where many discovered the meaning of atmospheric river, Ingram said that need became more pressing.
“That has quite significant impacts on the industry whether it be for access to key visitor experiences or roading infrastructure, and so that’s something that we will be really keeping an eye on this summer and that we have been working with our members to try and help them prepare for.”
TIA had been sharing information and advice with its members about what the possible impacts to them could be. That included feedback and tips from tourism organisations based in areas that were hit by Cyclone Gabrielle.
Tourism operators traditionally made most of their money in summer, laying the foundations for the rest of the year, so Ingram was hoping for fewer disruptions.
Isn’t it hilarious?
The catastrophic climate change generated by under regulated free market capitalism will make visiting NZ for tourists so much more difficult!
The question as to why the tourism industry that flies people all the way here is sustainable in the first place never gets challenged and the dairy polluters have bough and paid for a Government that is in climate denial.
NZ First are openly climate deniers despite data showing temperatures jumping…
September 2023 Temperature Update
The following is a summary of global temperature conditions in Berkeley Earth’s analysis of September 2023.
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- Globally, September 2023 was the warmest September — and the largest monthly anomaly of any month — since records began in 1850.
- The previous record for warmest September was broken by 0.5 °C (0.9 °F), a staggeringly large margin.
- Both land and ocean individually also set new records for the warmest September.
- The extra warmth added since August occurred primarily in polar regions, especially Antarctica.
- Antarctic sea ice set a new record for lowest seasonal maximum extent.
- Record warmth in 2023 is primarily a combined effect of global warming and a strengthening El Niño, but natural variability and other factors have also contributed.
- Particularly warm conditions occurred in the North Atlantic, Eastern Equatorial Pacific, South America, Central America, Europe, parts of Africa and the Middle East, Japan, and Antarctica.
- 77 countries, mostly in Europe and the tropics, set new monthly average records for September.
- El Niño continues to strengthen and is expected to continue into next year.
- 2023 is now virtually certain to become a new record warm year (>99% chance).
- 2023 is very likely (90% chance) to average more than 1.5 °C above our 1850-1900 baseline.
Jesus wept.
The jump in heat is beyond anything we’ve seen in modern times.
This just as Labour and Green policy starts bearing fruit in NZ…
It may have been largely overlooked in the election debates, but New Zealand’s greenhouse gas emissions are finally on the way down.
Annual emissions of carbon dioxide from the burning of fossil fuels are the lowest since 1999 and the 12-month renewable share of electricity is back above 90% for the first time since 1981. The Ministry for the Environment has advised New Zealand is on track to meet the first (2022-2025) carbon budget.
…National, ACT and NZF will make these numbers worse.
Global temperatures will go up under National, ACT and NZF because they have no plan to lower them.
They will also reverse the things that have helped drive our emissions down.
We have no comprehension of what is coming and we are simply not prepared for the age of consequences.
Watching National, ACT and Corporate Farmers use their economic and political muscle to avoid responsibility for what comes next can only be resolved by civil unrest and a campaign of civil disobedience against those interests.
This is the age of consequences.
Just consider how the Corporate Farming Lobby have managed to avoid any tax on their pollution since mid 2004!
They have pushed and pushed and pushed it off for 20 years!
National have already promised ANOTHER 5 year extension which will mean the agricultural industry have managed to stop any tax on their pollution for quarter of a century!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
That photo of a National MP driving tractor up the steps of Parliament was a declaration of political war and they have lived up to that declaration.
John Key sold 49% of our Hydro Assets to create a $400million irrigation slush fund that was used to intensify dairy farming while polluting our water and generating climate changing gasses!
The entire economy is forced to bend over backwards for a sunset industry that will crash the millisecond the fast food industry can create a synthetic milk powder!
Claiming that NZs emissions mean nothing in comparison to China and India isn’t a justification to do nothing, it’s an acknowledgement that radical adaptation is the only move left because those Goliath economies have already doomed us to a dangerous climate change future!
We are out of plays and the focus surely must be self sufficiency over trying to eternally trade on a burning planet.
The Left must force a bargain with Farmers for strategically essential reasons.
They are going to feed us when the famine comes.
A recent report on food security found NZ had incredibly low food security because it was so open market driven and refused to subsidise farmers.
Which is where we on the Left must drive the debate.
We should absolutely consider subsidising food grown by NZ farmers and horticulturalists and our seafood and meat and dairy that generates a 15% price reduction for all NZ produce consumed here.
Rebuilding a direct link between the harvest grown here, the people who grow it and a grateful local market who enjoy the product WITH a 15% price reduction.
Climate change will kill global free market supply chains, we are locked into hyper-regionalism. We need to build new economic structures, subsidising NZ kai for the domestic market would lock in certainty for producers while strengthening food security for the population.
We have to find new ways of working together to ensure we can survive what’s coming.
We are a nation of fatherless children raised by angry solo mothers, a low imagination horizon juvenile settler culture built upon stealing indigenous land and polluting it without restraint. A rugged individualism dependent on exploiting a low wage economy and rigging under-regulated capitalism for the rich.
The old greeds, the old hates and the old exploitations will no longer hold the system together if that system is melting in real time.
Super-rich warned of ‘pitchforks and torches’ unless they tackle inequality
Global elite told at London’s Savoy hotel of real risk of ‘civil disruption’ if more is not done to help struggling millions
This is the age of consequences and NZs unsustainable tourism industry is but a canary in the mine.
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Then you get the arseholes that bleat about “don’t tell us how to farm”. Well stop f’ing up rivers and water sources so you can make money. Yes that applies to all industries but somehow people get all sympathetic went it’s farmers because they have been brainwashed into thinking we have to accept this state of affairs. All the threats come out about how big the export earnings are. They never seem to talk about the real costs though. I am sure there are farmers that are much more responsible but there are clearly too many that are not. The (dick) heads at Groundswell need a fence post inserted where the sun don’t shine.
All farmers have to do is to do nothing. Literally. All farmers have to do is wait until urban money runs out and hunger runs in. ” …I am sure there are farmers …” Are you? Why is that? Is it because of the cheap money you spend and the food you eat? Did you come to realise that when you thought up the fence post analogy? Is funny, that one. An anal-ogy.
What you @ wheel and others similarly ignorant don’t understand is that dairying is an urban corporate contrivance. The board members of, say, fonterra are townies hovering around the front doors of the banksters who once together hatch plans to control our agriculture then bend it to achieve their million dollar salaries and a nice mudless range rover to cruise their egos up and down ponsonby road in. But it’s not just you @ wheel who are too dumb to understand that. Our farmers themselves are so beguiled by fat, neckless, highly polished urban cunts in suits that they, our farmers, are left to swoon at their feet at the sight of them, their abusers. That’s why ‘Groundswell’ is a national party initiative. Did you not know that? Groundswell is a National Party logical fallacy designed and scripted to have farmers follow their abusers where ever they go. Think meal ticket on a leash?
The single greatest threat to AO/NZ is the national party and the hyper-riche deep-state, dark-shadows people hiding within it and to prove just how convincing they are, you lot voted for them. What the fuck were you thinking?
Farmers? Go on strike and see tunes change.
They never seem to talk about the real costs though. I am sure there are farmers that are much more responsible but there are clearly too many that are not. The (dick) heads at Groundswell need a fence post inserted where the sun don’t shine.
Wheel I agree 100%.
I think the concern is that as events unfold, we forget the earthquake and volcano eruption the terrorism then the pandemic. So as events unfold infront of Luxon we will see how back in the campaign session how Luxon considered New Zealand’s outlook to be somewhat transitory that there was light at the end of the tunnel only to discover its another train headed the other way namely crisses events and how Luxon forgot to price a whole bunch of risk into his tax policy releases.
And so because Luxon is trying to get back that lost “credibility” many government MPs are adhering to that kind of racist climate denial rhetoric saying go higher and longer with pain onto that mantra but in some ways this higher for longer for example dairy exemptions and accepting new mining oil and gas exploration, this new higher for longer is athis kind of new, modern credibility.”
I think with the benefit of hindsight that by July this year Luxon will have zero choice buy to acknowledge reality that he has over tightened policy and loosened policy in the wrong places off the back of some dodgy election campaign tax policy and how a recession will follow not long after thanks to not getting enough foreign investment into New Zealand and how Labour and Housing Unions need to organise around the Labour Party particularly Kieran McAnulty. I actually read that bit in Trotters latest blog and followed it up with some economical jargon but for now Luxons view is that he’s doing enough and that the government views everything positively but one more rate hike probably in July the economy will come down, the corona stimulus will wear off and that’s before any weird event takes place but for now Luxon should be thinking he’s doing enough but by July we will see how his costings shape up with expected rate hikes.
I mean everyone is thinking rate cuts will balance everything out and I can tell you the probability of that happening is very low.
Advertising makes people into wanters of consumer goods, and consuming encourages producers to manufacture goods for sale which uses energy to process materials and transport products, so the energy use consumes fossil fuels, which cause increased atmospheric CO2 concentration, which entraps more solar heat, which increases water evaporation, which help create atmospheric rivers, which are the cause of flooding and landslides, which cause economic loss and crop loses, all affecting our sustainability.
Nah. People like hot weather.
If anyone or anything can turn off tourism it will be China. The largest group of tourists in the world. Piss the Chinese off and they’ll turn the tap off.
Next largest group are the ozzies. They have already got enough sun, surf and criminals so. They come here for snow.
The hysteria about the weather is all coming to an end. ESG and it’s revenue streams are all drying up cause BlackRock’s Larry Fink decided that it’s bad for business. They have lost too much money and customers.Billions!!
So I wonder what will be the next scam?
Wheel at his charming best,New Zealand farming practice leads the world.
Sure Bob. That statement is probably usable as fertiliser. What is this actual measurement and what type of farming are we referring to?
Drove the width of the North Island from Tauranga to new Plymouth a while ago. Outside of the brief canter through Waikato, didn’t see one fenced off creek on any of the farms we passed.
Heil to the Nazi. In any case, outside of the mid pacific and coastal south america, the predicted impacts are of a low correlation (r<.3).
Thousands of leading scientists , and Martyn, say the world is burning and boiling….They must be correct, because I read it in Stuff News…..
As a Canterbury farmer trying to make hay, I am looking forward to this “hot dry extended drought”. It has been bloody hard making hay in Canterbury the last 5 years which is why silage snd wrapped baleage is all the go. Bugger all hay made now, it’s just not hot and dry enough.
I read that increased global temperatures would result in more growing days at northern latitudes.
Note, “growing days” is a major part of what determines what crops you can grow. More days = more productivity. Sunlight in the spring is more than enough to grow plants long before the soil has warmed enough to support plant growth(IE thawed). Increase the temperature so the soil thaws a week earlier, that’s 7 growing days. That’s generally enough to adjust what crops you’re planting.
A couple degrees can indeed open up vast swaths of Canada and Russia for industrial farming of grains such as barley, wheat, and corn. Even the northern sections of the USA. South Dakota becoming the corn factory Nebraska currently is, that kind of thing.
The problem is that given the relative land masses, it isn’t hard to lose more farm land from rising heat than we gain, globally. Canada and Russia may be local winners, but Africa, Asia, and such are bigger losers.
I’m sure once we completely cover the New Zealand coast zoomy coast guard gunships, giant anti nazy non nuclear missile pronoun farms and arm a civil defence force citizenry and let all the poor people just die off, New Zealand will be perfectly fiiiine. Apart from the flooding, storms, heat waves and droughts of course.
The biggest problem is going to come from a fall in the average standard of living combined with population growth (migration) to try and combat low investment and are likley to face significant food production in the future.
We can either what for Mother Nature to cut our dairy herds in half by about 2030. My timing isn’t great so I just think go early and begin a planned draw down on dairy herds. Just an idea given the facts.
When I went on school trips to farms during the 80s I never thought that I would be the last generation to experience the life and death nature of agriculture. I’m not trying to give you a hard time I’m just trying to lay out the facts for you. It would be a massive pity if we were also the last generation to experience a nice sit down steak meal on a Friday night.
We need to divert more resources towards domestic production and the early the better for the reasons already stated. That’ll take a genetic engineering policy and financial innovation policy so that farmers and small to medium business can borrow against there carbon credits while innovating down NZ dairy herds by half and replace it with wind farms or whatever needs built moving forward.
There are plenty of polluters not controlled by farmers. Wild deer goats pigs and Canadian geese all shit and pee and are out of control .Industry and construction cause much of the problem as a byproduct.
FFS Trevor, why not do something about both, not make excuses. As for the deer and Canadian geese you are dreaming if you think they produce anywhere near the volume of waste that the national dairy herd does. In any case shoot the deer ( and those bloody wallabies) then. No one is angling for unsustainable deer herds are they?
We’re all gonna die! We’re all gonna die! The climate! The climate! We’re all gonna die!
When I look at what you said Grumpy it sounds almost as though the climate has changed.
Well, the weather is different for the last couple of years but I will get back to you in 100 if it is the climate.
Anyway, even if it indicates a change in climate, it’s the opposite of the doom scenario of the AGW lunatic fringe.
“The Left must force a bargain with Farmers for strategically essential reasons.
They are going to feed us when the famine comes.”
The farmers aren’t going to f all for anyone unless there’s cash, and lots of it.
When the “famine comes” it will be practically easier and much more efficient to just take the land back and feed ourselves. Relying on right wing meat heads for food security has never worked.
As an aside, the farmer down my way who had the act signs up – His gate is where I dump all my rubbish now.
You can do whatever you like in NZ anc it will not make one iota of difference to the climate.
Go and be a climate activist in China.
Climate change is not a one time event it’s accumulative over the past 200 years. How slow are you?
You could burn every forest in NZ and it wouldn’t flicker the needle on climate change
Virtue signaling our way into 3rd world status only makes sense if you’re ultra rich or looked after by the state.
Ask south aukland if they want to pay an extra 10% a year to save the planet!
Serious question are you mentally retarded? Dafuq you mean “if we burn everything it wouldn’t flicker?” It’s accumulative you moron. Its built yo over the last 200 years it climate change doesn’t occur in one event. Gronk.
Sam your research has many holes in it.
Do some reading.
If we can’t stop killing each other, how can we stop climate change?
The fact of the matter is; If we can’t stop war. We can’t stop climate change.
If we can’t even prevent genocide how can we possibly prevent climate change?
https://www.icj-cij.org/sites/default/files/case-related/192/192-20231228-app-01-00-en.pdf