Snow is falling across Ukraine, slowing down the land war and on 4 December the Biden administration sounded a warning about future US aid. National Security Advisor, Jack Sullivan ‘laying the cards on the table’ and stating starkly that “Congress has to decide whether to continue to support the fight for freedom in Ukraine as part of the 50-nation coalition that President Biden has built, or whether Congress will ignore the lessons we’ve learned from history and let Putin prevail.” The remarks were triggered by President Biden’s difficulties getting Congress approval for another $ 106 billion to be spent supporting Ukraine, Israel and other foreign policy initiatives. A Republican majority in Congress means that the president must negotiate to get the money he wants approved.
A shaky period for Ukraine who is looking at a tough winter, this year’s offensive did not meet expectations and the land war risks stagnating into a bitter attritional struggle. A type of war that Russia being larger than Ukraine is better resourced to fight. Further, Ukraine risks its supporters (like the US) losing interest, diverted by domestic issues and other conflicts. Already, several countries including Hungry and Poland are threatening to scale back their support for Ukraine and this trend may continue. Perhaps, Putin will prevail not by better tactics or smarter strategy but by sheer willpower, luck and his willingness to sacrifice Russian soldiers. Potentially, an empowering message for authoritarian regimes everywhere.
The land campaign, slowing down and focussing on key areas of interest
Ukrainian and Russian forces continued small scale operations across the frontline over the last two weeks, including an increase in Russian attacks along the Svatove-Kremina Line on 7-8 December and fighting in Bakhmut and in the Orikhiv Salient. However, both sides appear to be concentrating on specific areas of interest. Russia on capturing the town of Avdiivka, throwing large numbers of soldiers into the battle in costly human wave attacks. On 7 December the Institute for the Study of War, reported that “Russian forces are currently conducting mass infantry-led assaults to capture Avdiivka in an apparent effort to conserve armored vehicles despite the risk of even greater manpower losses.” The Ukrainian military estimates Russia is losing an average of 900-1000 soldiers per day in this area. When the battle started Russian forces were well-supported by tanks and armoured personnel carriers but over time have stopped using these assets relying instead on infantry, possibly indicating a shortage of these vehicles.
Meanwhile, on the Dnipro River Ukraine is still holding ground on the east bank but does not appear to have expanded the bridgehead. The fighting is reported to be intense but details are scarce because Ukraine is enforcing an information blackout. The information we have is from Russian sources who report the bridgehead is being attacked with long-range glide bombs and artillery rather than being assaulted on the ground. This could indicate that the bridgehead has been contained and that the Russian’s are aiming to use indirect fire (aircraft bombs, rockets and artillery) to destroy the force on the east bank.
Activity in the last two weeks of the land campaign is consistent with our assessment that activity will slow down, focussing on the Dnipro crossing and Avdiivka.
The deep battle – sabotage and drones
A feature of recent weeks is that both sides are focussing on the deep battle, interdicting supply lines and trying to kinetically damage their opponent’s will and ability to fight. In previous months, we reported that Russia appeared to be stockpiling drones and missiles for the winter. The last couple of weeks has witnessed an increase in the number of long-range drone and cruise missile attacks against Ukraine. The campaign is targeting Ukraine’s power grid and most commentary states that the aim of these attacks is to make the Ukrainian people suffer over the winter by interrupting power supplies for heating homes and businesses.
However, Russia’s drone campaign has a definite military objective as well. Attacking the power grid reduces Ukraine’s ability to maintain logistics support for the land campaign. Moving ammunition, food, petrol and people to the frontline uses civilian infrastructure that requires electricity. Additionally, moving equipment and people from one sector of the frontline to another requires the same infrastructure. Russia is probably seeking to interdict the movement of Ukrainian reserves from places like Zaporizhia to reinforce the Dnipro River crossing or to reinforce Avdiivka by interfering with train and road networks.
Ukraine has responded both with its own long-range drone attacks and with sabotage operations deep in Russia’s hinterland. Ukrainian saboteurs attacking the Baikal Amur rail line that links Russia and China on 1 December. The operation destroyed a train in the Severomuysky tunnel, the longest rail tunnel in Russia located approximately 4,000km east of Ukraine. Additionally, when trains were re-routed to avoid the incident a 35m high viaduct on the alternative route was also damaged by explosives. The attack is embarrassing for Russia and demonstrates the reach and sophistication of Ukraine’s foreign intelligence service the Sluzhba bezpeky Ukrainy (SBU). It is likely that over the winter months we will see an increase in attacks like this targeting Russian supply lines deep behind the frontline.
Information operations and hybrid war
Russia continues to maintain pressure on Ukraine’s international supporters using information operations (propaganda) and hybrid war techniques. An example being, 7 December statements from Sergei Naryshkin the head of Russia’s foreign intelligence who said “Ultimately, the U.S. risks creating a ‘second Vietnam’ for itself, and every new American administration will have to try to deal with it.” A statement clearly designed to frighten off US and NATO support. The image of a ‘second Vietnam’ being used to create fear of another costly war that American taxpayers will spend years supporting.
Likewise, Russia is taking advantage of current events to paint a picture of its ability to project power globally. For instance, Russian flags were reported flying on the Golan Heights. Supposedly demonstrating that Russian troops are there protecting ally Syria, but also raising the fear that Russia can support insurgencies around the world draining US resources. Some commentators including the Telegraph’s Dominic Nicholls are linking Venezuela’s possible invasion of Guyana to Russia, demonstrating how information operations work. The more American voters fear multiple entanglements in different parts of the world the more powerful the argument that the war cannot be won and therefore should not be supported.
Russia appears to be using hybrid tactics against Finland, depositing asylum seekers on the country’s border creating a range of humanitarian issues that the Finnish government is forced to manage. This tactic was used on the Polish border in 2021, Belarus pushing thousands of asylum seekers onto the country’s borders. In November, Finland received about 900 asylum seekers along the Russian border. A large increase from the 91 received in the same area between July and the start of November. This tactic is cruel and callous but effective at straining Finnish government resources. On 29 November, Finland closed its border with Russia.
An incident in October, involving a Chinese merchant ship may also be related to the border situation. The ship dragged its anchor across the Baltic seabed, damaging three internet cables and a gas pipeline. The anchor drag may have been accidental or it could have been deliberate. Like all good hybrid tactics, it is plausibly deniable. However, there is precedent because In April, Taiwan accused China of cutting submarine cables to an outlying island in a similar way. This incident demonstrates the vulnerability of submarine cables and pipelines. It also raises the possibility that China and Russia may be working together to damage Finnish infrastructure.
Ukraine’s assassination of pro-Russian, ex-Ukrainian politician Illia Kyva shot near Moscow on 6 December provides another example of the SBU’s effectiveness and its ability to reach into Russia. It is also an example of using a hybrid tactic, assassination, for information purposes. The attack sends a clear message to pro-Russian Ukrainians that they can be targeted and that Russia cannot protect them.
Putin’s difficult balancing act – resourcing the land campaign versus domestic politics
The war is in a new phase, the land campaign is more static and likely to stay that way until early next year. Ukraine is still in the fight, and will continue to be, even if US funding reduces. It still has the support of NATO and other nations, for instance Japan committed another $ 4.5 billion to Ukraine last week. Additionally, now that the Russian Black Sea Fleet is no longer a threat to Ukraine’s maritime trade, grain is flowing out of the country providing an economic lifeline.
Further, for all of Putin’s bluster, Russia’s economy is only marginally larger than Australia’s and its war-fighting capacity is now seriously reduced. Re-building its lost tank, armoured vehicle and truck fleets is likely to be impossible for existing Russian industry. Russia’s best chance to re-equip will be with Chinese assistance. A risky proposition because China will suffer sanctions if it overtly supports Russia.
Clearly, Putin does not currently have the political mandate to mobilise more soldiers. Instead, he is prosecuting the war with the resources he has ‘on the ground.’ A risky situation because as the Institute for the Study of War reported on 7 December “Russian forces may be suffering losses along the entire front in Ukraine at a rate close to the rate at which Russia is currently generating new forces.” On 8 December, the Institute offered further analysis “High Russian casualties will likely prevent Russian forces from fully replenishing and reconstituting existing units in Ukraine and forming new operational and strategic reserves if Russian force generation efforts continue at current rates while the Russian military continues operations.” Essentially, Russia can hold the line but cannot generate reserves. Managing further attrition will eventually become unsustainable, so if Ukraine maintains a high rate of attrition, Russia may fail.
Therefore, Putin’s delicate balancing act involves making sure he does not lose before he can mobilise more resources post-election. Capturing Avdiivka, is probably the ‘last hurrah’ of the currently available forces. Russia’s forces are getting weaker, able to hold the line and to keep the Avdiivka ‘meat grinder’ going but capable of little else., Ukraine appears to be in a similar position, able to keep fighting but uable to develop enough combat power to force a decision on its enemy. However, it is hard to say for certain because Ukraine’s operational security is tight and it is hard to assess their loses.
The net result is that the war could continue indefinitely, both sides damaged and unable to deliver a decisive blow but unwilling to negotiate. However, some factors could change this scenario, for instance Putin fully mobilising or Ukraine being provided with more resources. Current evidence is that the people behind Putin are currently unwilling to risk mobilisation. This issue is the crux of the strategic discussion, Putin needs to delicately balance his campaign because if he runs out of soldiers before he is confirmed in power at next year’s election, he may find himself in trouble. So, for Ukraine’s supporters it is vital to maintain to support through the winter because Putin is currently more vulnerable than he portrays but is likely to gain strength next year. Meaning that the best way to shorten the war is to support Ukraine now more than ever.
Ben Morgan is a bored Gen Xer and TDBs military blogger
654 days into Putin’s 7 day conquest of Ukraine. 654 days of people needlessly dying and being maimed for live because of one man’s greed and vanity.
Joe Biden.
Biden has blood on his hands, but maybe not in the way you envisaged.
Old Joe precipitated this war when he attacked US domestic oil & gas producers when he first got into office. His administration did this in a number of ways: He stopped the pipeline construction from Canada. He blocked fracking on federal land, and he forced banks to stop providing loans to new drilling operations. The result was that the US became an oil importer for the first time in many years and this drove up the price of oil internationally, thus gifting Putin an extra ~ billion dollars in revenue per week.
Biden also allowed the Nordstream II gas pipeline to go ahead after Trump had blocked it. These pipelines would allow Putin to service German gas demand independently of Ukraine.
These naive decisions set the scene for the invasion of Ukraine by Putin.
(A similar analysis can be made for the Gaza war – Biden’s incompetence may have triggered that too, but that’s another story for another day)
Two regional wars kicked off by Biden’s incompetence – that’s quite a record!
The War in Ukraine, Increasing inter-imperialist rivalry globally, and low level clashes, in the Pacific and the war in Gaza.
(The deadliest of these current global conflicts is Israel’s bloody assault on Gaza).
The Western argument for supporting the Ukrainian popular resistance against Russian imperialist aggression goes;
“The West must support Ukraine in defence of the “Rules-Based international Order”.
But when the West’s own colonial interests are being threatened. The West’s claim to be defender of “the Rules-based international Order” is quickly torn up for shit paper.
The genocide in Gaza, supported by the Western powers, undermines the West’s moral argument in support of Ukraine against Russian imperialist aggression.
Bombing hospitals and schools, apartment buildings and civilian infrastructure, denying people water and food, are internationally recognised war crimes.
Western hypocrisy is on full display in Gaza. The West’s hypocrisy over the war in Gaza, strengthens the Kremlin’s pro-war propaganda narrative in Ukraine.
Demanding that Russia abide by the so called “Rules-based International order”, while abetting Israel in committing war crimes in Gaza, the US, their Western allies, including NZ, are willing to completely ignore the so called ‘Rules-Based International Order’ while demanding Russia obey it – is a hypocritical display of Western might. ‘Might makes right’, is something imperialists in the Kremlin and the Whitehouse both agree on, nothing to do with rules or order.
US President joe Biden has accused Russia of being imperialist. Vladimir Putin has accused the US of being imperialist.
They are both right.
(If asked both presidents would deny that their nation is imperialist).
In the case of the Russian imperialists, Kremlin propaganda turns reality on its head. The agency and popular will of the Ukrainian people is completely ignored. Pro-war Kremlin propaganda insists that Ukraine is the aggressor and a puppet of American, (Western), imperialism. This narrative is widely believed by the Russian people, and is reinforced by the images of the destruction and human misery in Gaza, that they see on their TVs. A destruction and mass human slaughter supported by the West.
Western imperialism’s support for Israel’s genocide in Gaza, reinforces the Kremlin’s narrative that Russia is fighting a defensive war against a dangerous and immoral monolithic Western imperialist aggressor, Ukraine as its proxy. In this narrative, the wishes of the Ukrainian people are glossed over and ignored.
Kremlin propaganda depicts the Ukrainian people’s resistance to Russian imperialism as unjust, that Ukraine is the aggressor, that Ukraine started the war, that Ukraine committed genocide in the Donbas.
https://theconversation.com/putins-claims-that-ukraine-is-committing-genocide-are-baseless-but-not-unprecedented-177511
The Kremlin’s propaganda is similar to the Israeli narrative backed by Western governments, that the Palestinians are the aggressor, that Palestinian resistance to Israeli occupation is unjust, that Hamas committed genocide on October 7.
https://www.timesofisrael.com/how-will-captured-october-7-terrorists-be-tried-and-on-what-charges/#
According to the Israeli Knesset Israel is fighting an inhuman genocidal enemy, that must be exterminated, The Kremlin instill in the Russian people a similar narrative, that Russia is waging an existential war against an inhuman, (read fascist), genocidal enemy. Against which any atrocity is justified.
.
The Kremlin’s narrative, (swallowed whole by Western Liberals like Noam Chomsky), is that Russia and China are not capitalist imperialist powers bent on expanding their global reach and economic penetration with force if necessary, like their imperialist rivals do, but are some sort of liberators. (as weird as that idea seems to most people).
https://news.berkeley.edu/2022/05/19/open-letter-to-noam-chomsky-and-other-like-minded-intellectuals-on-the-russia-ukraine-war
There is more than enough evidence of the colonialist and neo-colonialist exploitation by Western imperialism of the Global South – where the Kremlin’s narrative departs from reality, is when the Kremlin claims that Russia has no imperialist ambitions of its own. The Kremlin’s false narrative that Russia is not an imperialist power has been exposed by Russia’s past colonial and present neo-colonial presence on the African continent.
How Russia tried to colonise Africa and failed
https://www.aljazeera.com/opinions/2023/5/24/how-russia-tried-to-colonise-africa-and-failed
Russia’s return to Africa…
https://www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10.1080/10220461.2022.2136236
Western nations’ (including NZ), support for the atrocities being committed in Gaza with no regard for international law or human rights can only strengthen Russian soldiers and citizens’ resolve to continue supporting the war in Ukraine despite devastating losses at the front and hardships at home. The genocide in Gaza strengthens the Kremlin’s alleged anti-imperialist credentials in the Middle East. The Russian Federation is seen as a counterweight to Western imperialism by many people in the Middle East and the Global South.
Putin has defied Western warrants for his arrest and left Russia to tour the Middle East confident in his reception. Putin has been emboldened by the Arab world’s disgust at the Western backed genocide in Gaza.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Ayay9Y5gN_I
Pre -war imperialist tensions in the Pacific
“The West are the only imperialists”
As well as being the Kremlin’s pro-war narrative}, is also the propaganda narrative for China’s pre-war build up, and imperialist pressure and bullying by China against China’s Pacific neighbours,
https://news.usni.org/2023/07/03/china-upping-bullying-tactics-against-neighbors-says-top-state-department-diplomat
The genocidal Israeli bombing campaign in Gaza with Western support, Is precedent setting.
If Israel with Western support can flatten the capital of Gaza and expel or kill its inhabitants with impunity, and suffer no consequences for it from the UN, or censure from any other international legal bodies like the ICC or UNICJ. The Kremlin and Beijing are being emboldened to do the same.
As Western capitals switch their attention to defending the West’s unsinkable colonial aircraft carrier in the Middle East, US and EU funding to oppose Russia’s colonial project in Ukraine is being put under threat,
https://edition.cnn.com/2023/12/05/politics/us-ukraine-aid-congress-analysis/index.html
History tells us that even if the West withdraws its support for Ukraine, the Ukrainian people’s popular nationalist war of resistance to Russian invasion and occupation will continue.
History tells us the US could not defeat the Vietcong, History tells us that the US superpower could not defeat the Taliban. And not for lack of trying either, the US war against the Taliban in Afghanistan, became the longest war ever fought by America. The lesson from history is clear, Russia will struggle to defeat a popular nationalist war of resistance in Ukraine, even if the West abandon them.
Can a popular insurgent nationalist people’s war be defeated without collective punishment of the civilian population that supports that insurgency?
Can the IDF achieve its stated war aim of exterminating Hamas, without starving to death or ethnic cleansing Gaza’s entire 2 million Palestinian inhabitants?
Is the war in Gaza a template for other imperialist wars?
Israel’s apparent current strategy appears to be to make Gaza uninhabitable to force the Palestinians out of the territory and into a death march across the Sinai Desert in Egypt.
History tells us, without collective punishment of the civilian population, (up to and including genocide), for a major conventional military force to defeat a popular nationalist insurgency is extremely difficult, war crimes become inevitable, even necessary.
Will the Kremlin make the same determination to commit genocide to achieve their war aims in Ukraine, that the Knesset has made in Gaza to achieve their war aims?
What would this example mean for another imperialist war in the Pacific?
The US outcomes in Vietnam and Afghanistan might not be a good indicator for Russia’s future in Ukraine. In both cases, the US lacked ethnic, linguistic, or historical connections with those nations, as well as a shared land border. While a Russian push westward would meet an increasingly hostile populace, the question remains of how far beyond today’s frontline Russia aims to go. Eastern Ukraine may not wish to live under Russian rule, preferring autonomy, but know that Kyiv’s answer for them is a military one – a military now more advanced and westernised than during the conflict that started in 2014. South Ossetia may be a better model to understand Russia’s goals in Ukraine, where a part of Georgia was annexed rather than the whole.
Pat O’Dea:
“In the case of the Russian imperialists, Kremlin propaganda turns reality on its head. The agency and popular will of the Ukrainian people is completely ignored. Pro-war Kremlin propaganda insists that Ukraine is the aggressor and a puppet of American, (Western), imperialism. This narrative is widely believed by the Russian people…”
Not just the Russian people. A number of commentators on this blog and indeed this very thread believe this crap. They are so far down the “I hate the USA” rabbit hole that nothing that Putin does is seen as anything but the justifiable actions of a aggrieved party. They have convinced themselves that the people of Ukraine are Nazi supporting puppets of a CIA plot to overthrow Russia, instead of just ordinary people wanting to live their fucking lives without some pyscho lauching rockets and drones at their homes because he has a hard on for the return of the Russian Empire (and believes that “little russia” is his to control). They scream about a despotic USA while ignoring the (open) suspension of rights that have happened and continue to happen in Russia.
They believe the televised shit where someone “begs” Putin to run again at a ceremony. (Here’s the thing – if he needs to stage this crap then you might want to consider exactly the type of leader that he is. And if you believe it’s genuine then there’s simply no hope for you)
I know so many people living in Ukraine. I work with many who have family over there. They can testify to what Putins “SMO” has done. I also know many Russians, both here and in Russia.
I wonder how many of Putin’s fan boys on this blog can say the same thing. How many actually talk regularly to the people living this nightmare. How many know Russians here that are afraid to return home. How many know the level of hatred that people in Ukraine have for Russia now.
And I wonder what they hope for. I guess in their world we should just turn a blind eye because after all this is the main thing we need to remember:
Biden is the devil.
Gee Vlad you call Russia Imperialist but what Countries have they colonised in their long History? NONE, ZERO, NADDA, ZILCH! The same can be said of China, yet this same tired trope is wheeled out to demonise both Russia & China, it’s purposely done as a form of projection, by accusing other Nations of doing what you have done! Another excuse they use to justify Foreign Wars is what’s called the Domino effect, like in Vietnam, if we don’t stop the Communists there, it’ll spread to others so we must fight (insert boogeyman here…) over there so it doesn’t spread & infect other Nations, one by one like a domino falling onto the next & so on? They are using the same excuse in Ukraine, if we don’t stop Russia over there, they are going to take over the rest of Europe? Of course it’s all bullshit because the only ones who have gone out in the World in the last 400 yrs to invade other Lands have been the British, French, Dutch, Belgium, Spanish & recently the Americans, they have all gone out & conquered, enslaved, pillaged & raped the local native peoples of their Lands to subjugate, oppress & steal & loot those Lands, that is who are the real colonising Tyrants, the white europeans & British! That is why Putin is treated like a Hero, a conquering Czar like in his recent Trip to Saudi Arabia & the UAE & he is respected & idolised in the Global South/Majority Nations in Africa, Sth America & Asia because Russia never sought to pillage other Nations like the aforementioned ones! Biden is despised, disrespected & has destroyed America’s Global reputation, not that it had much of one anyway, but the Biden tore of the depraved mask of the US Empire for the World to see, like in Gaza. the chants of Genocide Joe are ringing out around the Globe, even his Allies, like Israel, disrespect & disregard him, the contrast between Putin & Biden couldn’t be starker!
Ant force let me ask you this. Do you know any Ukrainians or Russians either here in NZ or over there?
If the answer is yes, what is their view on this invasion (please let’s not call it a special military operation)?
If the answer is no, then before calling others ignorant why don’t you learn something of the people in these places first hand.
You may hate the United States. I get that from here and all your other posts, but one day you will realise that you can like Russia and have Russian friends (like I do) and still see that Putin is a scumbag. You can recognise that Ukraine had some big issues (like all the countries that soviet Russia apparently didn’t invade – just 100% controlled) and yet still weep for what has happened there.
Or you can continue in your own black and white world where nothing will change your mind.
I wish you a merry Xmas. I hope those I know in Kyiv will not spend theirs listening to air raid sirens.
Have you been asleep for 1,000 years Antbrain? Russia/Muscovy has colonised countless nations in its ‘Near Abroad’. Ask the Czechs, Germans, Hungarians, Poles and Finns and that’s just the tip of the iceberg! You earn zero marks for history mate!
Ben – It’s over…Peace Talks
So much for the “offensive”. Scratched the first of the Surovikin line, never got anywhere near the second. Third line…. Useless waste.
Nick J – True
Ever was it so, there will be a negotiated settlement eventually. Ben has been recycling US military/NSA/CIA newsletters and “analysis” for many months now to little avail–what a freaking waste of everyone’s time.
The latest Biden plan is to “freeze” the conflict. When this inevitably fails and Russia moves west the rhetoric will become alarmist screeching from Washington that Russia intends to invade Europe. Anything to keep this fiasco alive.
Putin’s Russia is closing in on a devastating victory. Europe’s foundations are trembling
Kyiv’s counter-offensive has ended in failure. This could be Nato’s Suez moment
Daniel Hannan
https://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/2023/12/09/putins-russia-is-closing-in-on-devastating-victory/
That Telegraph article read like a Boys Own magazine. “What ho, damn it, the fuzzy wuzzies learnt from Omdurman, got machine guns too. Very unsportsmanlike old chum, so much easier when they only had a viciously sharp slice of mango”!
Paywall, paste and copy please.
I see the penis piano player is off to the Whitehouse – to be told his time is up?
So still Russia’s war to lose. In the meantime both countries are falling off a demographic cliff. Worst yet it’s Orthodox Vs Orthodox which breaks my wee heart.
Peace talks are well past time, as we have a more evil war to fight, our own bloody survival as a species of God. Which is every breathing animal, including human and AI that there is.
Russia is falling off a Cliff you say, the only Countries that are falling off the Fiscal cliff are the Nations in the EU, the US, UK & Western Countries including NZ, all of them in recession! Russia’s Economy is booming! Why is that? Because Russia has stuff the World needs, Oil, Gas, Food & Commodities! The US & EU sanctions failed spectacularly & the horrendous costs have boomeranged back to them! Germany’s Industrial might was only a result of getting cheap Russian gas & now that Biden blew up NS1-2 pipelines, that’s all gone, Germany, the powerhouse Economy of the EU is being deindustralised & heading for collapse & with it every Country in the European Union! And did you know Russia’s Debt to GDP is only 0.5 %, contrast that with America’s Debt to GDP which is over 200%! This isn’t a War, it’s a Special Military Operation? Why do I say that? Because Russia is using kid gloves on Ukraine, if Russia was at WAR, all of Ukraine’s Cities including Kiev would look like Gaza, bombed to oblivion! Russia is doing the bare minimum, just letting the Ukrainians come to them to be annihilated by attrition & they have been with minimal Russian losses! Ukraine has lost 500k Dead, perhaps twice that injured, Russia’s goal is Demilitarisation & Denazification & that is being achieved, the massive panic in the Biden Administration & Europe confirms this, Project Ukraine is close to collapse! It’s OVER, another humiliating Geopolitical defeat like in Afghanistan for the US, Project Ukraine was a totally unnecessary & pointless conflict that never needed to happen but did happen because of American hubris & arrogance to give Russia a bloody nose courtesy of using Ukrainians as canon fodder so they wouldn’t have to send in US troops, so they got Ukraine to fight on their behalf as their Proxy NATO Army & all they accomplished was making Russia militarily stronger & boost its Economy to stratospheric highs while the US & EU Economies have lost billions, the US alone has lost $130-$300 financing this Conflict, all for nothing, but the US lost $2 Trillion in Afghanistan to achieve nothing so I guess losing $300 billion over Ukraine was a bargain to US Taxpayers footing the Bill, just add it to the already massive $37 Trillion US Deficit, God Bless America, Land of the Warmongers & Home of the Debt Slaves?
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