The Māori Party and Greens are benefiting from the demographic change

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The median age of a Māori voter is 25 and it is 39 for Pakeha.

This election will see GenX + Millennials become a larger voting block than Boomers for the first time in NZ history.

This means the Māori Party and the Greens are benefitting from a demographic change National can’t compete against.

One of the reasons National is failing to get significantly ahead of Labour is because they are not resonating with the new demographics of the electorate where as ACT are stealing National’s youth vote.

The question is will this new demographic come out to vote? They are very connected online but does that extend to the Ballot box?

Will the new demographics be apathetic to politics altogether or will they be disillusioned with the lack of actual gains?

 

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29 COMMENTS

  1. As a pakeha I see many Maori that do not vote do not take part in cencus do not get their children vaccinated or push for their education . What needs to be done to get them involved more ?

    • The Waipareira Trust does all that and more. What you can do is give your party vote to the Maori and support Whanau Ora funding. Have a nice day friend.

    • It seems that Labour is set to continue with bribery. Who thought it a good idea to bribe with warriors tickets to get those “who can’t be arsed” to fill out a census form?

      It started with bribing people to get the jab, and surprise surprise, now when even the govt wants a certain sector of society to do something (even if it’s in there best interest to do it) they have their hand out, “wheres my reward”

      Talk about a slap in the face to all those who’ve followed simple instructions and done as requested.

      We’re screwed.

    • Trevor, I doubt that there’s anything we Pakeha can do. Many years ago, in the course of my work, I met the “it’s too Pakeha for me” attitude. It seems to have escalated, rather than diminished.

      Some people see by-Maori for-Maori services as the answer. But there are two things wrong with that approach.

      Firstly, it’s apartheid, a concept considered to be pernicious in the extreme when I was younger, and against which my generation campaigned.

      Secondly, it appears not to have been successful, at least where education is concerned. We’ve had kohanga reo since the very early 80s, and kura kaupapa since not long after. School attendance rates have been as low in the kura as elsewhere, I believe, and the language has fallen off a cliff since the first kohanga were established. Even though they were set up to preserve and promote the language.

      Amy strategies for turning around dire statistics must come from Maori themselves, it seems.

    • How about inclusion in political policy making. Too long has the people you described been pushed to the wayside while the rich get whatever the hell they want, this leads to a disenfranchised generation where you dont engage because you know they arent going to help you.

      • But the rich white right wing don’t want those you talk about Mark, on equal footing. They want a class war as evidenced by history of right wing parties.

      • Mark: “How about inclusion in political policy making.”

        Maori have had as much right to have a say over the political process as have any other group in society. That’s how a representative democracy works.

        If Maori were to have more say than any other part of society, this would cease to be a democracy.

    • Have better parties and better representatives rather then just self indulging individuals that otherwise would be unemployed.

  2. As that good or bad?

    What is the real difference. When I was young I thought the vulnerable was worth protecting. Now that I am old I am more determined to protect the vulnerable.

    What values do we need to protect?
    Is democracy as a governance system worth defending?
    Is free speech worth protecting?

  3. I think people are underestimating the young in assuming many will vote Green.
    They’ve witnessed what a shambles the Green Party really is,a collection of people there for their amusement and remuneration they couldn’t dream of outside politics.
    I have faith in our younger people.

    • The shambles that is the National party are still struggling to regain votes. Luxon is a political novice and other than Reti his other MP’s behave like squealing 10 year olds. Fortunately, the people of NZ saw this at the last election and still see what a shambles they are now. The continual bribing with tax cuts is historical of the Nats and the latest bribes for nurses is so wide of the mark more votes will leak to Act. Nats will struggle to make 30% which means a left wing government 2023.

  4. Gen X are now running many businesses and are also in senior positions in public service & business. They are also may set to inherit some wealth as their Boomer parents shuffle off. They probably aren’t the saviours you think they are.

  5. And then these kids grow up and realise that these two parties do not have their back if they are not Queer or Maori. And then they look closely at Labour and realise that they can’t vote for these guys either because they are not queer or maori. Way to go.

  6. I’m glad you mentioned ACT is stealing Nationals youth vote because people are going to be shocked by how libertarian GEN Z and GEN A are compared to GEN Y.

    At the moment members of gen Y and older members of Gen Z are still the dominant voices in pop culture and media and we tend to lean left wing and for bigger govt and are pro censorship to protect people from being offended.

    But every generation rebels against the previous generation.

    Younger members of gen z tend to trend more libertarian ie pro drug reform and LGBT+ but are anti censorship and because they missed much of their formative years in high school and uni to COVID restrictions have a different view on this than gen y.

    I think ACT is going to be the party of choice for libertarian gen z’ers and gen a-ers cos national is too beige and the Greens lost their libertarian streak when Nandor left

    2023 is going to be mostly older gen z but 2026 and 2029 is going to be interesting to see where gen z and gen a go if there’s no liberertarian left party

    • Historically yes Nathan but with this modern day society there is a sense of entitlement about them and they tell their parents where too.

  7. I’ve always believed in increased Maori representation in parliament and one reason for this is the hope that it will spur on more Maori involvement and engagement in undertaking the census and in voting.

  8. Mark: “How about inclusion in political policy making.”

    Maori have had as much right to have a say over the political process as have any other group in society. That’s how a representative democracy works.

    If Maori were to have more say than any other part of society, this would cease to be a democracy.

  9. Today, we had a glimps, of what a Maori, sepratist rule would look like, and the speaker, openly angerd, with insult and frustration i assume, about his limitations in constitution that he could do, not for Pakeha or Maori, but for the respect of our place Aotearoa New Zealand.

  10. Today, we had a glimps, of what a Maori, sepratist rule would look like, and the speaker, openly angerd, with insult and frustration i assume, about his limitations in constitution that he could do, not for Pakeha or Maori, but for the respect of our place Aotearoa New Zealand.

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