TVNZ POLL – Labour 47% National 33%

By
Martyn Bradbury
-
43
1682

The pain from the poor performance in the first leaders debate has bitten Labour from a majority result to a Labour + Green Party Government…

Party support:
Labour Party – 47% (down 1%)
National Party – 33% (up 2%)
ACT – 8% (up 1%)
Green Party – 7% (up 1%)
New Zealand First – 1% (down 1%)
New Conservative – 1% (down 1%)
The Opportunities Party – 1%
Māori Party – 1%
Advance New Zealand – 1%
Don’t Know/Refused – 11% (down 3%)

…Labour’s Debate team need a kick in the arse.

Judith keeps hungering for human flesh and the sleepy hobbits love it.

ACT keep taking votes from National.

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Greens manage to take Jacinda’s mojo.

NZ First sinks beneath the waves of relevancy and joins New Conservatives, TOP and Advance NZ as recycled MMP vote for Labour.

Māori Party could bring in anther MP off the list if they win an electorate.

Don’t forget,

  • 17th October 7pm – The Greatest NZ Election Results Show on Earth: Magic Talk Radio with Sean Plunket, Damien Grant, Martyn Bradbury and guests.

 

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43 COMMENTS

  1. the next debate will mean a lot to both parties.NZF are hopefully out of the race so voters for them and the other 1% parties all need to be aware they are wasted votes. Add these to the 15% undecided means the final tally could be closed than some thought 2 weeks ago

  2. National’s death spiral is may be over and I bet you the focus this week is to convince some of the swing voters to return to National from Labour–how??? –convince voters a vote for Labour is a vote for the Greens (and Wealth Tax)
    National Party – 33% & ACT – 8% = 41% vs Labour Party – 47%

  3. Bullshit poll.

    Colmar Brunton 6 days ago damaging for National and Collins.

    Newshub / Reid Research poll yesterday a virtual mirror.

    Why would TVNZ run an unprecedented third poll in 6 days?

    To my eye it’s for one of two reasons or both.

    1, TVNZ, who have been running interference against Labour on behalf of the National Party for three years and want to give National a boost so will keep running polls every day until they get the result they are after.

    2, TVNZ, is very much aware of the fact there has been considerable negative feedback regarding the shambolic leaders debate they ran last week. They are desperate to give their own debate some validity and legitimacy.

    Collins is being exposed more every day for what she is yet this rort wants you to believe she has just enjoyed a 5% jump in popularity. Pull the other one, it plays jingle bells.

    Dollars to donuts every poll you see elsewhere from this point on will highlight what a rort this TVNZ poll really is / was.

    • Collins in Nelson today: “I know some of you might love Ms Ardern, but actually I’m over her. I just like people who understand how many cents there are on the dollar, how you get stuff done, and I don’t care what the international newspapers have to say – they don’t represent here, they don’t vote here, and they definitely don’t pay taxes.”

      So Collins won’t be saying “I love you Miss Ardern” after next leaders debate…
      I’m sure I hear old Muldoon chuckling away, or maybe its just the wind……….

    • Been hanging out with Billy TK have you? An uneducated rant if ever I saw one. There is no ulterior motives will polls – they are what they are, a snapshot of political preferences in a certain time and place.

      Not everyone is enamoured with Jacinda as you.

  4. Ardern did what so many incumbents seem to do come debate time, they think they are “above it” and can coast through because they are PM… “I will just stand here and not engage because I am the Prime Minister”. Ardern lost the momentum when the Nats were on the ropes by not landing some easy punches, and probably has less than 30% chance of a majority now. Looking like it will be a Labour-Greens govt.

  5. I don’t see this one as much more than a tiny variation on every other poll.

    But I agree Jacinda cannot go into another god awful leaders shouting match aka debate projecting visions when you have a sniping contemptuous creature like Collins trash talking her.

    Having said that I really do not rate these screaming matches as anything than mud wrestling entertainment for dog fighting lovers.

  6. I guess voters want the Jedi Academy? Wouldn’t it be priceless if that was the Green’s bottom line for a coalition agreement? ;-).
    Anyway, I’m not surprised Labour is dropping in support. With more and more information coming out about CoVID-19 when combined with Jacinda’s nutty takes on free speech, it was inevitable. Labour (based on their performance over the last three years) all things considered does not deserve a majority outcome, and the polls are starting to reflect that.

  8. Everyone hungers for human flesh in the tv ‘debates.’ It’s the shit way politics is done. It’s the American way.

    They ended up with a fuckwit of the first order, a person whose total being is past being described as flawed.

    There are thousands and thousands of deluded here too readyn to support a disgusting human being so that means Judith is a chance.

    • I do not see right leaning commentators calling Labour these types of names why do you presume you can talk that way about those that are not taken in by Jacinda’s smile and do not rock the candle policies . If they win Labour will tighten up on farmers and business people but do nothing for the poor as they do not see it as a vote winner. People have seen through Winston and with his demise the NZF party will be gone

      • I do not see right leaning commentators calling

        Trev, You do know that Ms Collins’ husband forwarded a social media meme that linked Jacinda into pornography? And that when asked about that, Ms Collins refused to denounce it in any way?

    • Absolutely.

      Because this poll is the day after the last and shows Labour below 50 does not mean in 24 hours the sky has fallen in!

  11. I remember being excited when labour was on 30% in the polls not too long ago. 47% is 60 seats minimum I’m stoked with that, but colmar had the greens on 8% last election and 12% the election before and if you had of asked me a week or two ago or even today I would have said I’m party voting green strategically but now I’m probably two ticks red or gonna go top for shiggles because the greens are regularly above 5% and I don’t really wanna support the greens and I absolutely don’t want them in cabinet or anywhere near hate speech legislation and that includes Chloe.

  12. Jacindafan – Why would TVNZ run an unprecedented third poll in 6 days?
    The answer is it was due to drop mid week (Tuesday/Wednesday night) but for some reason they bought it forward a day or so.
    Im guessing just to make a bit of mischief and make things a bit more interesting this week:)
    My prediction the final TVNZ debate may not happen now 🙂

    In tandom with TV One–Newstalk ZB drive time on the 6PM panel tonight -Barry Soper and Heather du Plessis really think National can win it based on the trend in the polls (National and Act climbing slowly) —–they are dreaming, its too late Barry and Heather; advance voting starts on Saturday, the ship is about to sail.

    • Barry and Heather might like to think about living in South Africa now, if it all becomes a bit too much. Would either even get a job there?

  13. Interesting. Image how it would look if National take 3% from Labour and the Green’s loose a couple of percentage points to the likes of TOP, Maori Party, Advance NZ, etc

    National could form a government.

    The Greens have been fools not to have out a Electoral Seat after all this time.

    Interesting.

    • The reality is that National are leaking votes to ACT. Imagine if those votes returned to National, they would be on 39% and ACT on 2%, still miles away.

Comments are closed.