News out overnight that Trump has walked away from the North Korean summit shouldn’t surprise anyone more than the original announcement of the summit.
Trying to read between the lines you get the following assessment.
North Korea – They were genuinely spooked by the unpredictable and erratic fury of Trump and believed he was seriously looking to strike against them and so made overt overtures of peace.
South Korea – They were also spooked by this crazy American President and feared any military strike would lead to all out obliteration of their own country and over sold peace prospects to America.
China – Bewildered that Trump was seriously looking at a military strike, they urged North Korea to give Trump some signal that they were backing down, but then when they witnessed the speed with which Trump seized upon the possibility of peace, they reasserted pressure on North Korea to pull back because the last thing they wanted was to reward Trump for his aggression.
So where does this leave Trump? He was either bluffing about the military strike on North Korea in the first place so this all goes no where and Trump looks like a windbag which pops his credibility or he pauses to see if there is any chance to rekindle a deal and if that isn’t possible, he goes straight back to planning a military strike on North Korea the very first time they test a missile.
There was a moment here when we all breathed a sigh of relief.
We shouldn’t have.