National is in deep trouble and they know it. The shock resignation by John Key (the why of which has still not been investigated) has left National high and dry. The cavalcade of mutant circus freaks vying for leader of the National Party reminds you their talent pool is more of a shallow puddle.
It will be English as Leader and Bridges as Deputy. Judith will get knocked out of the first round of voting, and English will make enough concessions to backbenchers to give Bridges the Deputy role. While Paula is the puppet who has been groomed for Leadership to stop Collins getting it, her recent claims to have fixed the homelessness problem while 41000 are homeless highlights how utterly out of her depth Bennett really is.
Judith is playing the long game and is pitching her case over the Caucus to the hard right membership. English can’t trust her not to wage a guerrilla war against him over the next 10 months so desperately needs the pretence of legitimacy going to the Polls early would give him.
English will want to go to the Polls early before the property bubble bursts next year and to prevent another bloody nose from the looming by-election in Mt Albert now Shearer is leaving.
If English holds on for another 10 months, he will become overwhelmed from power fights within his own Party and the constant attack by the Opposition that they have no mandate. If National go now, they might be able to squeak in, if they wait they could be toast.
I think the talent pool generally is fairly shallow.
re…”National is in deep trouble and they know it.”
AGREED!
…but from the mainstream media you would think everything is absolutely hunky-dory
… for blinglish nact…since jonkey nact has left the country in such a great financial state and good working order
AGREED Chooky.
Audrey Young knows which side her bread is buttered. This afternoons Herald, negative Labour piece.
http://www.nzherald.co.nz/politics/news/article.cfm?
c_id=280&objectid=11762976
This afternoons positive National piece:
http://www.nzherald.co.nz/business/news/article.cfm?c_id=3&objectid=11763082
Does Crosby/Textor pay Audrey’s wages?
“As the noted author A.J. Liebling wrote: “Freedom of the press is guaranteed only to those who own one.” Today, a handful of multinational corporations — Comcast, the Walt Disney Company, News Corp, Time Warner, Viacom and CBS — control much of what the American people see, hear and read. Media is not just about what is covered and how it is covered. More importantly, it is about what is not covered. And those decisions, of what is and is not covered, are not made in the heavens. They are made by human beings who often have major conflicts of interest.”
Trevett
Young
O’Sullivan
Roughlan
Hosking
All Herald opinionist’s, but only opine in the interests of the right wing. Can someone prove me wrong?
http://www.noted.co.nz/currently/politics/john-keys-departure-end-of-the-lullaby-pm/
Someone else posted this article which is probably the best so far on the Key “error” as they say.
Its hard not to have to constantly muffle ones mirth – especially when the right wing trolls start up in defence of their dearly departed leader ( and being in the denial of grief still… ) the fact that the Smiling Assassin has not only shafted the country – but ironically , – has had the last laugh on them ( the trolls ).
The Smiling Assassin – the final act of his departure being the shitting all over of and disintegration of the very party that in their blind loyalty supported him.
And yes, … the new leader will be the Double Dipper, … and he will have a hard time between his non existent personality and all the other seething factions who have been suppressed for 9 long years holding it together. So much so that we can only look forward to an artificial calm that constantly threatens to surface and then blow sky high when it is perceived by those factions that the time is right to mount a challenge.
THAT is what the inner core of this National party has TRULY been all these years …
And THAT is the final gift the Smiling Assassin gave to his own party.
Political oblivion.
Considering all the fawning and collaboration of the Natz to their late leader, JonKey, can’t say any of them are suitable.
They are too quick to please whoever is in charge, without regards to their constituents, or their conscience.
That’s the general condition of authoritarian followers. They follow their leaders mindlessly. It’s why their political parties always end up being run by sociopaths.
Two things:
1. They don’t have a mandate now, the coalition Nat/Maori/Act/UF got 49.27% of the party vote at the last election.
2. Bridges? This is the guy who is committed to providing “stability and change”. Plonker.
All the reasons are good ones.
All are potentially problematic for the Opposition.
Solution: get busy now. negotiate with the Maori Party and talk to Winston. Find an election slogan that is not just hot air.
Gear up.
Monday morning, Annette King resigns from Deputy position to be replaced by Jacinda Ardern or even Stuart Nash to placate the centre.
Do it before the Nats announce their pick and foot tap their victory lap.
This is for the appearance of Fresh Blood and new enthusiasm in a rejuvenated party.
(This is not at all anti Annette who has done a good job. She will know very well this is the right time to make a bit of space at the top. It should be her announcement. No question of pushing or arm-twisting.
It needs to be done soon or it will look like a knee jerk reaction should Simon Bridges get the nod.
Energy, enthusiasm and organisation.
The best possible new candidate to take up spaces and a few old stagers and under-performers to move on. You know who you are. So do we. Michael Wood was a great candidate, we need many more of his calibre.
The fact is that the argument for an early election is compelling.
We had better work on the assumption it is going to happen or just sty flat-footed and get gezumped.
Coleman is the only contender with a shred of credibility – but less intelligent than he pretends or he’d have aimed for deputy – leaving him as the uniter to pick up the pieces as Bill’s wheels fall off. Bennett is a strong contender for vice – a facade of gender-balanced representation makes her a more plausible foil than the mutton-headed vacuity of Bridges, and none dare turn their back on Judith. Surprising that Joyce has made no play – as the guy actually running things you’d think he might have wanted the comfy chair. Maybe he knows things are going to get a little boisterous.
It pisses me off that politicians elected for a three year term can change their minds at a whim and swan off to “greener pastures”. Time to start billing MPs who don’t work out their full terms, without good reason. Why should the taxpayer keeping paying for endless by-elections???
Billy Boy has had his days the fact that key recommended him should be reason alone to get rid of him Key has shown he has no guts or backbone to make the hard decisions the very thing he told others they need to have. key has had his time now he needs to stay completely out of it he didn’t want the job he is tired and said he gave his best and cited family issues. What about the NZ families with no where to live John, no jobs, no help for their sick children of family members. He forgets about all the families him and his policies have hurt and that are suffering. Key thinks its all a game but he is playing with peoples lives here an d he don’t care. Wake up Nzers before it is too late.
Yes! And those obscene pensions and perks.
And the OTT salary inflates, backdated, of course.
NO MORE!
I wonder if Gareth Morgan has a position on this…?
Key was the glue that held National together in the same way Clark held Labour together. National will disintegrate with infighting and likely endless leadship chnages (just like Labour post Clark). We’re poised now to have a choice between TWO basket cases to lead the country. w00t!
“The cavalcade of mutant circus freaks”
Could not have put it so eloquently myself Martyn!
Nazional strategy, aided by corporate owned media, has been to sell the fake Key brand. This proved almost impossibly successful, thanks to corrupt lazy journalism and the wide eyed gullibility of the traditional Nazional voter. It was ridiculously simple; Good news – you saw Key’s face and name. Bad news – and the Teflon Don would be nowhere to be seen, and a patsy would front up instead to face the (un)critical press.
But short term gain is followed by long term pain with such a strategy.
The sudden departure of the Key brand name has exposed the talentless acolytes who could only survive as mere parasites in the “keep-Key-clean-at-all-costs” paradigm.
And now, finally and despite the cheerleading, the Nazional voter has to confront the fact that the current government is indeed the talentless, corrupt, venal and specious bunch of dropkicks we always knew they were.
And whilst Key’s hasty departure (for whatever reason(s)) may be seen as good news the real questions remain. How do we remove the scourge of neoliberalism from this country, and how do we get anyone in a position of power to take climate change seriously??
Dear Santa
For Christmas I would like a speed up to the rolling out of the 6,000 (or is it 60,000?) technological advancements that the Cabal has hidden from humanity thereby keeping it in groundhog day for the last 100 (or is it 500) years! Especially high on my “want list” is a replicator so I don’t have to worry about having nothing to wear. Oh, and a spaceship (you know Santa, one like the Jepson’s had all those years ago) would be nice.
Oh, and thank you Santa for NESARA which has finally arrived.
xxx
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Yjy-fnsmWR4
Just thinking about the way this has unfolded, is 2017 actually a “good election to lose”?
When the housing market collapses, who-ever is in power will have a hell of a mess to clean-up – and if this is set to happen next year, then going to the polls early to hand it off to the left is the ultimate cynical act of a sick Government.
News Years Honour List, Sir JK would they dare?
Bill English’s promotion to the premiership could be good for the climate, due to his Catholic faith.
http://www.nytimes.com/2015/06/19/world/europe/pope-francis-in-sweeping-encyclical-calls-for-swift-action-on-climate-change.html?_r=0
I know of Jack Mormons, there are plenty of Jack Catholics also, who pretend they follow their faith, maybe that is the gathering loyal Bill the Blinglish also belongs to, just a thought.
If we have a snap election, it will be a Schnaps election, as it will be a disaster for the left and the country, believe you me.
English can ride high on the left over capital and credit from a make belief “great PM” the media created, and the common, dumbed down public believed and sucked up to. He can still sell his budgets with the same spin, as long as immigration props up the economic “growth” figures, and as long as banks lend to developers, builders, and some who want to build more highways or rebuild earthquake ridden areas.
The people are blinded, brainwashed to the extreme, they will rely on the fake economy, on fake truth and more fake news, as long as it is fed to them. Only once the cracks will show, when the bubble in Auckland and elsewhere collapses, will they wake up and get angry.
So the sooner an election, the better for English and Nats and ACT, they want it, they deny they need it, but they want it, as it will keep them in power and under control until 2020, yep, til then.
Labour are delusional thinking that an early election may benefit them, it will NOT, it will do anything else. So Mr Little, go back to your study room, go and discuss this will REAL strategists, and work something smarter out. If you need help, I have some bloody good ideas and strategies, but you would never contact me, would you?
Best of luck anyway.
We learned today, this prediction was not quite correct, Bennett has got it, as expected and feared, the cabinet is a lot dumber with her, the leadership too, that is promising for the opposition.
Simon Bridges may be ideological, at times pragmatic, has a funny accent, but he is smarter than Bennett, so the government will lose for choosing her, that is cabinet, let them walk and fall.
There is a tendency by the left to assume National is in trouble. This is almost never true apart from when National’s polling went down to 23% many years ago.
The fact of the matter is that the only thing that would cause National a mild headache would be if those people adversely affected by their policies got out and voted.
Crowing about their problems is unproductive. All available energy needs to be directed towards defeating them at the 2017 polls.
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