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  1. Some will always vote Labour or National so it is the swing voters the parties are after .If they stay at 39 National will win power and that will please many like me .Personally I rather see National and Act in power with a small majority than a landslide as we can see from the last 2 years how slack this can make the ruling party .

  2. Surprised to see Claire Trevett picking him as politician of the year. He’s a dud and he is THE reason National can’t hit 40%. But next year they will as 2023 is a nightmare year for Labour because of…

    A Reserve Bank driven recession
    Cost of living
    Fuel costs up because the government cannot help itself wanting more tax
    Crime
    Mortgage hemorrhages and first home owners losing everything
    Crime
    Housing
    Health
    A government who thinks it can continue to fool voters with appearance management policy.
    Crime

    Picking ACT above 10
    National in the low 40’s
    Greens between 5 and 10 if only because of Wellington
    Labour mid to low 20’s and lots of their MP’s looking for jobs and the odd Commissioner.
    Winston scraping back in, maybe. If he does it will be off the back of disaffected Labour voters.
    Depending on things like worsening crime and mortgagee sales which may lift turnout I suspect it will be lower because National are so uninspiring and Labour aren’t worth the effort.

    Fun times!

  3. Your Sim City and Gay Whale comments are absolute gold Martyn! (It’s the humour that keeps me coming back)

    As for National’s polling:

    1. Luxon knows that polls aren’t worth winning, but elections are. National MPs are busy with policy details and are keeping their powder dry. They will announce policy in their election campaign, leaving Labour too little room to react.

    2. While Labour is in self-destruction mode it is smart of Luxon to stand aside, appearing calm and presidential.

    3. It takes time to turn a ship around as well as people’s perceptions. There’s no need for this dog to chase every passing car as long as the movement in the polls is going his way.

  4. The Oppposition doesnt win an election, a Government loses it. And Labour are going great guns at that.

  5. Luxon/Willis WTF are they, opinion poll policy chasers, reactionary dipshits. NZ is a fast developing country, needs visionary policy. Wait a minute ! that sounds a bit like Grant Robertson.

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