Who will win the overseas vote in 2023?
This is very smart politics by National who didn’t have to protect Kiwis at home and could pander to the outrage of those locked out…
National MPs campaigning for votes with Kiwis in Australia on parliamentary-funded travel
A trio of National Party MPs have used parliamentary-funded travel for a trip to Australia for infrastructure and housing meetings – but also to campaign for a change in Government.
…the MIQ over subscription by tens of thousands hints at the incandescent rage many of our diaspora felt trying to get back into their legal home country during the Covid lockout.
There is no way their torture won’t have political ramifications.
Last election Greens did poorly in their usually high overseas support vote because Ardern’s global stardom eclipsed the Greens, this election however the frustration is directly at Jacinda’s policies and the Greens might just get caught up in that backlash.
Labour and the Greens traditionally do very well in the overseas vote and specials, but this election will be the first time those hurt by MIQ get their payback.
Our diaspora are furious and ACT and National’s throw-open-the-borders-and-let-the-free-market-decide-death policy is for them.
People were locked out of their own home over Covid and they will want to inflict political pain on those they hold responsible for not letting them in.
My guess is that our diaspora are far more motivated to vote in 2023 than we have ever considered and their anger at being locked out will be sharp.
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“Our diaspora are furious and ACT and National’s throw-open-the-borders-and-let-the-free-market-decide-death policy is for them”.
Yeah nah @ MB. Yes, a good many with sour memories of MIQ. Frustrating times. But honestly what could have the Nats / Nats coalition done that was better? A throw-open-the-borders-and-let-the-free-market-decide-death policy? Nah, intelligent people know it was a difficult time, but hey if some feel like a victim feel free. Those in the diaspora who believe in Labour will I suspect continue to do so, no that’s a bit rich; those who have always distrusted the Nats and their cronies will continue to support Labour out of loyalty. Or split their vote with the Greens. Those who have never voted Labour in their life, electorate or list, never will. And the swing voters, well … perhaps they will remember the lottery.
I think Labour will do OK overseas. Speaking to a relative in Australia, Arderns image built on her powerful ability to project ideals remains intact largely because they don’t have the time or inclination to look closer at NZ or the fact that her rhetoric rarely if ever matches the sales pitch. The whole messy Covid management was replicated to some extent or another, in other countries so I can’t see much lasting ill will there.
Brilliant Covid management is why she gets the overseas vote, not hard to understand.
A bit doom and gloom at Daily Blog Towers lately…?
Check the entrails, talk to a few more grey bearded conservative pundits and the answer will be as clear as ever. A year is a long time in politics…if entitled sods who somehow think it is their birthright to roam the globe by air travel as they please are getting hissy–so be it.
All they will be doing with revenge voting is increasing inequality and making the place more of a shit hole for their next return visit!