What a fractured MMP spectrum election looks like
With NZ First over 5%, the pressures on the MMP Spectrum for change beyond the disappointment of Labour’s mediocrity is greater than just propelling Winston back into Parliament.
The economic pressure will only build between now and the election.
If NZ First will be propelled over 5%, the pressures for change will carry through NZ’s MMP pumps – the Māori Party could cause an overhang and we could see TOP possibly winning Ilam while bringing in coat tail MPs.
There will be Electorate upsets: Tamaki, Wellington Central, Northland and ACT will end up with a very high Auckland vote.
We could see Labour, National, ACT, Greens, Māori Party, NZ First and TOP all in Parliament.
Things fall apart; the centre cannot hold;
The Rough Beast of NuZilind slouches towards Wellington.
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Blame the Labour Party machine! Its candidate selection policies especially.
Mediocre is a very polite description of Labour, bungling incompetence more accurate, but that’s not the only reason they are sinking. Or why NZF is rising. Few if any have seen a real “progressive” party in action, not unless you’ve lived in San Francisco or Portland, but Labour 2020 demonstrated exactly what one looks like and that is the ultimate deal breaker for them returning as a political force.
The secretive behind the scenes social working manipulation, the critical race theory put into practice and a misplaced belief that Labour Green know better how to run our day to day lives has gone beyond irritation to infuriating. The proof that their centralised planning has failed to deliver on things as serious as life or death is health. Te Whato Ora can’t even give surgical waiting lists anymore, or most likely, are burying them because they are so bad. But this is a none too surprising outcome, given Moscow too failed on the basics back in the day.
I feel for Chippy, he is likeable but he inherited the Titanic post iceberg with the Captain whose decisions got them there gapping it in a lifeboat on her own into the growing distance, Damehood in hand.
And sorry, but a bunch of well meaning manipulative jerks who don’t know how to build anything or realise their beliefs based on faulty data have seriously negative ramifications for the rest if us don’t deserve reelection!
Roy, most of NZ First silent voters are in Aged Care facilities or near to going in to them, so never get picked up in online polls.
Marco – A salient point but I think you’ll find that there is a still a huge amount of connectivity in OAP homes these days and the oldies are very interested in politics.
In fact, there is one major OAP place in Auckland which was said to be a hornets nest of anti Jacinda settlement by the media. LOL.
Fantail “ Anti Jacinda sentiment “ Ditto in the charity volunteer sector who see more of the results of government ineptitude than most politicians do. This group includes not only older wiser people, mainly women, but students on various schemes, persons serving community service sentences.
Marco + Battler
It amazes me how statements like the one you have made here actually can be made. If you live in NZ and have seen the hopeless management of the country by the two largest parties over past 25 years and you make such a derogatory comment about Peter’s shows more about you than anything. The country is in a mess and has been for 25 years. Without Peter’s and Jones the same result will continue. I say let them have their way. The others have stuffed it up properly
From ‘ In Memory of W.B. Yeats’.
“ But in the importance and noise of tomorrow
When the brokers are roaring like beasts on the floor of the Bourse,
And the poor have the sufferings to which they are fairly accustomed,
And each in the cell of himself is almost convinced of his freedom,
A few thousand will think of this day
As one thinks of a day when one did something slightly unusual.
What instruments we have agree
The day of his death was a dark cold day.”
W.H. Auden
Twyfords seat wax getting marginal a couple of elections back and seeing him cast out would be deserved. McAnulty definitely in the cross-hairs. And even more deserving to go!
I’m swinging towards Winnie to poke a stick into Seymours training wheels
What a funny, simple and clever idea.
Further in regard to Seemire (sorry Freudian slip) – I think that a hardback copy in large print (so he could see and understand more) of Atlas Shrugged by Ayn Rand would be an excellent IED of a sort, if dropped close to his head from a great height.
Mike it’s not a degrogatary statement about NZ First at all. I value Winston s experience and he was a excellent minister.
Just stating that the Aged Care voter base is huge and only getting bigger and it is good politics to play to these voters with the likes of gold cards. But it can be hard to measure certain segment s of this group in a poll.
Good, I loathe that guy. The smiling assasin.