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  1. Actually I think we have a guy in the White House who has no convictions at all. It all depends on who gets his ear. (See NYT meeting today). If true, that may not be such a bad thing. He may be open to persuasion. However, currently he is surrounded and used by people who do. And that, given the typical profile of his acolytes, is definitely not good. However, let’s see how this plays out over the next month or so. We’ll have a better idea of what’s to come then and will be able to air-strategize accordingly. Because of course, being here in New Zealand, so far from the action, this will have more in common with Fantasy Football than Politics, but that won’t stop us, will it?

  2. There is no hope for humanity as long as coal and oil are used to make Halloween costumes and inflatable Santas, as long oil is used to transport such items from factories in China to shops in the ‘developed’ world, and as long as people in the ‘developed’ world buy such items.

    There is no hope for humanity as long as governments keep pushing for more ‘trade deals’, more tourism, and more consumerism.

    There is no hope for humanity as long as the debt-based financial system predicated on infinite growth on a finite planet remains operational.

    There is no hope for humanity as long as GDP growth is regarded as beneficial and is continually promoted.

    I see no indication that any of the aforementioned (or dozens of unmentioned idiotic forms of behaviour) are going to change any time soon.

    The Arctic ice cover will undoubtedly increase over the coming months (since almost zero heat reaches the polar region in the middle of winter). The root cause of the predicament -unprecedented atmospheric CO2 levels that result from outlandishly high CO2 emissions- will undoubtedly rise (probably to around 412 ppm next May)

    https://scripps.ucsd.edu/programs/keelingcurve/wp-content/plugins/sio-bluemoon/graphs/mlo_two_years.png

    causing an even lower Arctic ice cover in 2017 or 2018.

    Many aspects of our environmental predicament are unknown -such as the effect of self-reinforcing and mutually-reinforcing feedbacks- but we can be certain that governments will make pledges to cut emissions that they have no intention of keeping whilst they promote policies that increase emissions, thereby bringing forward planetary meltdown.

  3. I doesn’t matter who is in the white house. even if we had President Martyn Bradbury the future would still be the same, maybe a tad worse with Clinton, though you can’t get much worse than total species annihilation. No matter how we get there, ie nuclear or just driving to work.
    The bullet left the barrel maybe 100 ppm CO2 ago. There is nothing on scale that humans can do to change the fucking fact that 400 ppm CO2 = the extinction of most life on this planet.
    Ho hum, the question isn’t IF, it is WHEN, the only thing between extinction and now ….. is time! And as ‘we’ have done this damage in such a short time, there is nothing to compare it to, unprecedented times means everything the environment dose is ‘new’, the ice is heading to no ice, faster than it has ever done before, the oceans are going to rise faster than before, all the forests are going to burn faster ie Boreal Forests emitting more CO2 now than the USA.
    The only thing we can do now, is try and die off with dignity

    1. Actually, Robert, saying that “it doesn’t matter who is in the white house” is rubbish. Of course it matters!! Only a defeatist willing to bow down to the One Percent and accept our lot as 21st century peasants could utter such drivel.

      Betsy DeVos is Trump’s latest appointee, as Education Secretary,. She is a hard-line advocate for Charter Schools, which pushes for the neo-liberal colonisation of the education system.

      If you think that “doesn’t matter”, then you’re part of the problem.

      Far from being anti-establishment, Trump’s Republican cronies have moved the US to the right of the established political spectrum.

  4. Trump seems to be having a ‘road to Damascus’ conversion on Climate Change as we speak – but it really doesn’t matter if a denier is in the Whitehouse or not, after all Obama oversaw a massive expansion of fracking in the US and even signed off on Arctic drilling (although he is scrambling to stymie that before the ‘regime change’).

    The real issue is that any real change that would affect the crisis would involve a massive roll back of industrial society – something no Government would implement (and few voters would vote for).

    So all that remains is to wait for the current situation to become uneconomic in the sense of “The Stone Age did not end for lack of stones”.

    Unfortunately the Arctic is in a speedy decline and rapid warming is already baked in (so to speak). If the fossil fuel industry had become uneconomic 30-50 years ago then maybe we would have got out by the skin of our teeth. Sadly it didn’t.

  5. Andrew, do you seriously question the science around climate change? Do you really think we should do nothing at all? How is that a good idea?

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