TVNZ Poll: Winner and Losers
Apparently the Left wing strategy of sitting on your hands and doing nothing by offering no solutions to the 100 day right romper stomper lurch to the right of this hard right racist climate denying beneficiary bashing Government doesn’t win votes.
How surprising.
The lack of anything vaguely looking like a committed front against the anti-Māori, anti-Treaty, anti-environment, anti-worker and anti-renter agenda of this Government has seen the left stall while the Right have attracted.
There are of course political winners and losers.
WINNERS:
Budget Day Propaganda: By getting out ‘bland’, ‘vanilla’ and ‘moderate’ as the first hot takes, National managed to gloss over the fact they were borrowing more than Labour did for tax cuts we can’t afford to underfund public services. When Labour borrowed it was to save us from a once in a century pandemic, when National borrowed it was for rich landlords, but getting that claim the budget was beige out first allowed everything else to be ignored. Clever National, dumb media.
Greens: Despite all the internal bullshit, they only dropped 1 point. If Darleen Tana cared about the Party, she would step down and resign now and make a clean cut of it for the good of the Party. At this stage, it doesn’t matter if any panel clears her, exploiting migrant labour is a value statement that won’t ever go away. It would be like making Golriz their small retailer spokesperson.
Cooker Kingdom: NZF requires the fetid stewing pot of the Conspiracy Kingdom to keep over 5%, that’s why you see Winston playing all these culture war revenge fantasies up to keep their feral toxic support. Look at the Inquiry into Covid as an example, The problem for Winston is that he can’t ever give the Cookers what they want because what they want is a Nuremberg styled trial where Jacinda gets hung on the steps of Parliament. Winston is playing with fire here, let’s hope he gets burnt.
LOSERS:
Luxon: His wooden C3P0 routine mixed with his dork Dad routine mixed with his butch tough guy to compensate for Winston and Seymour overshadowing him routine mixed with his losing his temper at media for being challenged routine seems to be wearing thin on voters. Despite National going up, he flatlines.
Māori Party: Their Malcolm X radical routine might inspire their supporters, but it’s the kiss of death to everyone else. A Māori Parliament, refusing Labour and the Greens from speaking at the Budget Day protests and the eye rolling drama of their hats, it’s all a bit much and the Māori Party are dooming the political left from ever beating the Right.
The Political Left: If Labour, Greens and Māori Party can’t work together, we will be locked out of power until 2029. By that point the Rights privatisation agenda will have stripped all assets so the Democratic State has no economic sovereignty meaning we will be endlessly lost in a never ending culture war over identity.
New Zealand: The last election was a grudge fuck against Labour and we elected a hard right Government that was bonded only in their shared glee to implement right wing feelings that are counter productive and expensive.
Environment: As the planet melts, this Government support the polluters and have stripped $3billion out of climate change funds.
Workers: As unemployment red flag bingo begins, workers are more exploitable than ever before.
Renters: We now have the highness rents in the OECD from a Parliament of Landlords.
CONCLUSIONS:
The Political Left aren’t trying so they won’t be that disappointed by this flat result, but the fact the majority didn’t see a win in the budget and with Luxon being as popular as puberty blockers at a MAGA rally, Right wing strategists will be concerned that the looming economic recession could knock the entire House of Cards over.
Meanwhile the planet burns, infrastructure crumbles and we are borrowing billions for tax cuts we can’t afford.
Short of major drama the polls are a waste of time at the moment, people are sick of politics and worried about our slide towards 3rd world status they’re not engaging with pollsters.
TVNZ would serve us better doing an in depth analysis of the ferries, or the health system or the education system, or the justice system or the roads than wasting money telling us what we think.
That’d require some journalism and not just opinion pieces
I agree. Lindsay Perrigo used the words “brain dead” about TVNZ.
“….the looming economic recession could knock the entire House of Cards over.” Martyn Bradbury
That’s not the worst of it.
As the West and China increase their competition over trade and resources in this region, the global recession will act as an accelerant to military tensions between them. Young New Zealanders will be dying and killing in a miiltary conflict in the Pacific that we have been spending $billions training and preparing them for.
https://www.nzherald.co.nz/nz/government-announces-up-to-20-billion-spending-for-defence-force-over-next-15-years/5LALKOCUIXURPJBUJ6NPP6UC7I/
https://www.beehive.govt.nz/release/571-million-defence-pay-and-projects
“….the looming economic recession could knock the entire House of Cards over.” Martyn Bradbury
That’s not the worst of it.
As the West and China increase their competition over trade and resources in this region, the global recession will act as an accelerant to military tensions between them. Young New Zealanders will be dying and killing in a miiltary conflict in the Pacific that we have been spending $billions training and preparing them for.
https://www.nzherald.co.nz/nz/government-announces-up-to-20-billion-spending-for-defence-force-over-next-15-years/5LALKOCUIXURPJBUJ6NPP6UC7I/
https://www.beehive.govt.nz/release/571-million-defence-pay-and-projects
Woke racist wankers to the left of us / self-serving rat fuckers to the right of us and middle NZ fucked in the middle.
Who knows what the NZ middle had to recommend themselves.
Greens will get a massive poll uptick when Dharleen Tana is reinstated— with financial payment for wellbeing harm on top of her salary.
If she loses will we get the wages back she has been paid while the party tried to find a way out of this embarrassing incident.
If this MP were on the right, we would have every millennial news person demanding timelines, responses and the like. Newshub’s funeral is on 5 July. Good luck to them with that. One News must be terminal so it won’t be long.
Jacinda cared about being liked by everyone and as soon as she was not liked she quit.Luxon just wants to be liked by those he wants to like him. I think he is doing a great job but he is hard to like even by me .
You’re talking about C-listopher, right Trevor?
Hi Trevor, I’m no lefty. Luxon isn’t up to the job. Helen Clarke and John Key knew ministers needed to be micromanaged. Winston covers for Luxon and the gaffes can no longer be ignored. Slater has noted the decline and Luxon needs to go very soon. He’s as bad as Ardern.
Luxon just wants to be liked by the people who slap him on the back and tell him he’s doing a great job..
He in turn slaps them on the back and tells them how great they are.
It’s a symbiotic silo he operates in .
His and National’s polls are stagnant because the voter base will not admit thay they got it so terribly wrong.They just will not admit it……for now.
However, as ‘Clusterfuxon’ lives up to his name on a daily basis, the scales will fall from enough eyes for people to clasp and shake their heads in disbelief at his constant stupidity combined with his nonsensical ego driven habit of constantly talking himself up.
Apparently…according to himself, ( of course)
He’s good with numbers…
Has no time for imperical evidence..
Has no time for intellectual analysis
But …he believes in the miracle of the Lord.
Doesn’t believe in abortion ..because God will provide a good outcome for a woman who is raped and impregnated by a psychopathic,
schizophrenic, axe murderer.
The old saying…’ Bullshit baffles brains’…until the bullshit turns to diarrhea!
I am not convinced voters got their wishes wrong, Luxon simply cannot deliver.
There are no winners or losers: It’s just a poll and the margin of error is as wide as a barn door.
True. Martyn ignores Luxon’s fortune despite being truly gone soon. Luxon is a dead weight.
Luxon just wants to be liked by those like him.
There, fixed it for Ya!
Yes, the losers are us because we have to put up with these nasty rotten cunts for another two fucken years.
Yes, the losers are us because we have to put up with these nasty rotten cunts for another two fucken years.
Who is the leader of the Labour Party? Willie Jackson I suggest at least it will be entertaining.
First off, it’s the TVNZ poll, which has a long track record of overstating the right by between 4% and 8%, and understating the left support by the same margin. The closer to an election, the less their error rate is, so this is par for the course for TVNZ polls. Any left wing analyst should take the figures shown and make the corrections to find the more probable party support numbers.
Secondly, this poll is seriously at odds with a number of other polls taken around the same time, meaning very little, if anything can be read into it.
Before making critique of current political performance, I’d suggest revision of the numbers, otherwise your critique is also meaningless.
Yeah kick that useless Hipkins/ Luxon clone out. He would be good in another functionary role, and probably was. But he has hubris written all over his annoying face. Fuck off!!! You are no good and not wanted it was a BIG mistake to promote you. It’s obvious. Someone tell him please.