The two graphs that spell doom for Muller & National
The new Ipsos survey is out and the political party that you believe is most capable of managing the economy stats alongside best party for top 20 issues all spell doom for Muller and National…
It’s almost as if National don’t exist!
I’ve been arguing that there has been a seismic shift in the psychology of the electorate.
This shared universal experience has created NZers who genuinely feel they have sacrificed something through this pandemic. Every weekday for 8 weeks they’ve turned to Jacinda at 1pm and they have felt safer and they have felt proud of her leadership.
They watch the madness of Trump or what’s happening in the UK and they are grateful to Jacinda and with real gratitude comes loyalty in NZ.
For National to have fallen as far as they have, Jacinda has appealed to National voting women, Chinese-New Zealanders and the urban professional classes, groups previously unreachable by Labour.
Thinking Todd Muller has the capacity to overturn all of this in the space of 3 months seems aspirational to the point of delusion.
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My only concern is the mechanism for turning the “feel good” factor into actual votes. Will hands start to shake when that big black marker is poised over the Party Vote and Electorate Candidate Vote papers?
Jacinda does will not appear on the ballot apart from in Mt Albert I guess, so it is some expectation for those, as you say, previously deaf to Labour, to Party Vote Labour, or say Green even.
The Two Referenda are an opportunity to turn out extra voters if the likes of “Make it legal” can crank up their organisation in the wake of the Alert Levels. There will be a generational shift in 2023 when boomers are finally outnumbered by the successor generations.
If there has been a seismic change excellent, but I still feel Labour has to do something big to lock it in, such as instituting a UBI dependent on their being elected.
My rising 86 year old father who is 2 ticks Blue every election uttered last week that he is grateful to Jacinda for not throwing us grannies under the bus as he put it.Vindicates your take on things as they stand right now Bomber
So he should be thankful he did not a Boris or Donald, or Simon, as leader during C19–but will he change his ticks? Not picking on you Lionel, but that will be the test for blue voters gratitude.
I take my hat off to your dad, 86 years old and has always voted blue and now realises Labour is more community minded. Cheers
Agreed Tiger
So where is Labour’s integrity to raise benefits for ALL then?
Muller is just a slightly polished version of a Nat Shearer.
Wow was going to reply to Andrew but just not worth it. Same old tired spin lines
What I can’t understand is why Nikkey Kaye decided to hitch her wagon to this muppett.
Its almost like some naive little dedutante hooking up with Donald Trump, throwing out any principles and ethics she was ever in possession of because of ambition.
Ew! And a good Catholic boy at that! Even one that’s at odds with his Popeness.
You can’t just put all that down to expediency in an age of (dirty) politics if you want to pretend you hold principles and you behave ethically. Never mind tho’ eh? She’s thrown her hat into the ring, so fuck Her (not in the literal sense)
Muller is as appetizing as yesterdays porridge stuck in the pot …same old same old except cold
( lets not forget 9 years of jonkey Nact)
….lets NOT vote for the CCP
“When they go low we go high” – Michelle Obama.
Christ! for a minute there in my last comment, I thought I’d confused Nikkey Kaye with Amy Adams.
Well I’m unimpressed with Muller, a conservative Catholic that would like to see abortion laws rolled back and personally idealises US culture and Trump ( unbelievable ) wants to reopen our borders with China as soon a possible. What I giant leap backwards, the National party just seem clueless and certainly not fit to govern. I think National has been an extremely skilled opposition, they should recognise their strengths and stay in opposition, we don’t need a backward looking conservative government . MHO