New Newshub Poll: Labour Soar + ACT crash – Winners & Losers

ByMartyn Bradbury

BOOM – all the attacks on Labour have come to nothing!

As I have argued, Kiwi’s trust what Jacinda has done, they know that Covid is dangerous, they can see the impact overseas and they want MIQ tightly restricted. They might not like it, they might feel she slipped up in places, but they are voting for her regardless.

The Caucus were shown internal UMR polling during the January retreat that had them on 38%, after the month from media hell, to gain and be up to 44.3% is an enormous boost.

There are of course Winners + Losers

 

WINNERS:

Jacinda + Labour: Despite the most intense attacks via the media in her entire political life where the public were told she was WORSE than the Taliban, Labour have climbed to 44.3%. Despite what feral protestors say, Covid is still viewed by the majority of kiwis as a national emergency they have no interest in seeing here. While she continues to keep us safe, the majority will rally to her.

Chris Luxon: He’s done it! Christian Lex Luther has won over the conservatives who have flirted with ACT. His CEO respectability is still enough of a lure to attract social climbers, however as I’ve argued previously, 32% is his ceiling and unless he finds another gear, he’ll get smashed by Jacinda.

Greens: They have finally found a strategy that works. Don’t say anything and people will forget they are as alienating as Donal Trump at a feminist folk festival.

 

LOSERS:

ACT: David forgot why people had flocked to ACT in the first place, they championed Right Wing Values, by engaging with policy no one really cares about, he’s lost the angry white male vote he had built in Auckland. Wait for the Free Speech fight this year for ACT’s fortunes to reverse.

Climate Change: With Labour able to hold onto an astounding lead because of their Covid handling, the climate can go fuck itself.

Beneficiaries and the working poor: With Labour able to hold onto an astounding lead because of their Covid handling, Beneficiaries and the working poor can go fuck themselves.

Renters: With Labour able to hold onto an astounding lead because of their Covid handling, renters can go fuck themselves.

 

CONCLUSION:

Once again, Labour’s Covid response will save them from doing anything meaningful on a vast range of domestic issues they have done sweet fuck all on. Frightened voters rally to the flag and their fear of Covid has not waned. If Omicron is as bad as the Hootonian Theorem suggests, Labour could win another outright majority.

 

Increasingly having independent opinion in a mainstream media environment which mostly echo one another has become more important than ever, so if you value having an independent voice – please donate here.

If you can’t contribute but want to help, please always feel free to share our blogs on social media.

Similar Posts

- Advertisement -

8 Comments

  1. I feel the polls at this time conclusively prove how utterly irrelevant they really are with one exception.

    The Greens have been invisible. All they’ve done is cash in on the “Green” name without actually doing anything. Their leadership is a complete turn off yet they go up in the polls.

    People are more disillusioned with Labour and the PM since they came to power in 2017….yet they go up in the polls.

    Snooker ball head goes up in the polls despite doing SFA apart from hiding his true self while throwing fluff at the Government.

    Seemoreseeless has dropped in the polls despite doing the same soundbites he always does.

    Conclusion. The poll is best ignored by everyone except Seemoreseeless. The Smurf Party lost a % of their following to ACT under the despicable Chucky and many of those folk are now predictably returning to their slime covered home base.

    Apart from that, you’d get a more realistic guide at this time by looking into tea leaves ….. from the outside of the teabag.

  2. Never has there been a more desert like landscape for politics.

    Vote Labour to worsen the already catastrophic housing market and ensure that inequality, mental health, health in general and infrastructure continue their decline.

    Vote National for all of the above with the exception of improving highways and unaffordable tax cuts.

    Vote ACT for all of the above and it’s every man for himself.

    Vote green for all of the above and a leader beam focus on pronoun annunciation.

    The rest, not a dog show.

  3. So Frank are you saying it’s ok to do a victory lap based on the last four polls before this one despite 15 months to go

    1. Probably closer to 20 months out from election day 2023 than 15…..contributing even more to the complete irrelevance of these polls.

  4. Inspite of all the vitriol and propaganda stories from Granny (Jacinda worse than the Taliban) closed borders is what the majority of Kiwis want and anti vaxxer’s can protest all they like, but only a minority agree with them.

    More people, choose life. Less people choose Natz caught selling MP seats to the more valued nationalities for $100k and ACT who took up the NZ First and Natz voters who want old fashioned pre Key Globalism, Natz. Now Natz might be spinning a new message, ACT first to decline.

  6. I ascribe the poll change to the opening the borders announcement rather than Omicron. Luxon also picked up because of his open the border now nonsense. Greens improvement totally nonsensical and ACT plummeting due to the shift of protest voters who now see they can resume their overseas holidays.

    Butth*les, one and all. 3 parties of self interest and another of intersectionalist would be martyrs. Sigh.

Comments are closed.