Latest Roy Morgan Poll – National 43% – Labour/Green 42.5%

ByMartyn Bradbury

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Shortly after The Daily Blog published the PM and the Waitress story, The Standard was suggesting it wasn’t true. Hours later the PMs Office confirmed it was true.

Last week The Daily Blog gave exclusive internal Polling results that suggested the impact of the media being forced to report the Labour-Green block as a whole alongside the Memorandum of Understanding had created a surge of support for Greens and Labour The Standard suggested this wasn’t true. The Roy Morgan Poll proved it last night.

It’s not just the Standard that need better sources, the mainstream media are focused on so many different fires now burning National’s credibility that they aren’t reading the signs that there is panic inside National at the sudden rate of decline from these internal polls.

The National Party factions are moving because they sense blood in the water. Watch where and who Maggie Barry is talking to, watch how vicious the battle between Crone/Boag and Palino/Lusk-Slater gets and watch for Judith positioning against Paula. You’ll know they are in real trouble based on how shrill Matthew Hooton and David Farrar get and expect Slater to rise from the grave like a zombie to be used as Judith’s vampire attack dog when push comes to shove.

We report political polls like we report sports results in this country. The MoU forces the media to report on them as a block, this goes in the voters mind from Labour 28-National 49 to Labour-Green 42.5 to National 43. See the impact that makes?

It creates momentum. Labour-Green could hit parity in the mainstream polls with National before December. As we enter winter, this summer could be a bloody one around National Party BBQs this year.

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25 Comments

  1. The problem here is that NZ First would hold the balance of power. I hold grave reservations about them, and suspect they will prop up a fourth term Key government.

    1. Theodore
      Don’t fear Winston will not have anything to do with the toxic NatZ party we have meet him at three public meetings and he assured us all that he wont touch them as he wants NZ back for kiwis and National are going to sell everything off as well as our Rail, ACC, and all government agencies as they are setting them up for takeovers like our jails and schools so he hates them like hell for this selloff of our country.

    2. I totally agree with you Theodore..I don’t trust Winston to make the correct choice and get rid of this Government.. I believe that Winston desperately wants to be the first Maori PM and would sell his soul to become that.. and Key would happily give him this before the end of a historic 4th term.. I hope that I am wrong but i have this nagging thought in the back of my mind.. REMEMBER 1996!!

  2. NZ First is more on the same page as Lab/Greens, than National. Besides Winston will never support National with John key in it.

    1. Breath-taking you are Martyn!

      Awesome work you do for all of us.

      You are the man to watch for sure :”get it here first” you can proudly nail to The daily blog post.

      You have an excellent insight, and very good intelligence network so take care because our enemies are everywhere.

      We must re double our telling of the truth so the rest of our nation can hear the truth first hand not some Government spin doctoring method they use to distort the truth.
      great work.

  4. The reality…Labour are trading support with the Greens, based on this poll. National remain at a level of popularity that will have NZF support a Nat led government. You’re continued claims that Nationsl is bleeding support is not born out by ANY poll to date. You’re just making s$&t up.

      1. No, maninthemiddle, Martyn’s “not making s$&t up”.

        The arithmetic is pretty simple. What part of “Labour-Green 42.5 to National 43” do you have difficulty understanding?

        1. No. Now try to explain from that how National is ‘bleeding support’.

    2. Maninthe middle, do you have numeracy issues? The Roy Morgan stats seem clear to everyone but you.

  6. Between Labour and the Greens, one of them will throw a tantrum over something minor and it will all fall to bits. A shame really as I would probably be better off under Labour.

  7. Martyn Labour were at 29.5% last RM poll, they are at 28% now.

    The Labgreen alliance has a net 1.5% gain on the last RM poll.

    That is all.

    1. LOOK the trolls are freaking out as the last THREE ARE HERE. MANINTHE MIDDLE, DAVE, THE PIGMAN, HA HA.

      LOVING IT!@!!

    2. Oh dear, another right-winger who has difficulty with numbers…

      Pigman, do you understand the significance of “Labour-Green 42.5 to National 43”?

      If not, would you like clarification?

      1. There is very little significance. The two parties have nothing more than a marriage of convenience. Their sole objective is to remove the National government, not to actually present a positive alternative. The proof for that is that their ‘agreement’ ends the day after the election. The RM polling is as volatile as left wing predictions, hence the handwringing over the previous one when Labour appeared to ‘surge’ at the Greens expense.

        I’ve been around long enough to read the trend in NZ politics. The era of the far left is over.

    3. not very astute are you, Pigman? It’s not just “28%”. Coupled with the Greens, they are now level-pegging with the Nats. Do you have difficulty with this?

      If this trend continues, Key will be history and your Tighty Righties can go cry in your beer.

  8. Frank – bet you 5$ to a charity of your choice that National polls higher than 43% before the years end.

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