Labour + Greens + TOP is less scary than Labour + Greens + Te Pati Māori

It wasn’t just National hitting the 20s that was interesting in the polls, it was the fact that TOP scored 4% in Roy Morgan and gained .5 in the TU Poll.

That all points to a friction deep inside the political spectrum that is birthing in NZ, similar to the Teal movement in Australia.

Many Blue/Green voters inside National are horrified by the way race war baiting Seymour and culture war rhetoric Winston has taken over National and as the party disintegrates, Blue/Green voters increasingly are looking at TOP as an exit plan.

The options for 2026 are either Winston as Kingmaker forcing National/ACT to give him PM for 12 moths or forcing Labour+Greens to give him PM for 18 months.

If TOP however gets over the 5% threshold then suddenly Labour + Greens + TOP become a far better option and is far less scary than Labour + Green + Te Pati Māori.

This becomes a game changer and the NZ Right lose the capacity to use the internal disputes inside Te Pati Māori to paint the political alternative as unstable.