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  1. Craziness begets craziness I guess otherwise Putin is just doing what anyone who gets surrounded by enemies does…just trying to stay alive.

  2. Interesting article in regards Russia’s potential long term problem in Siberia. Can they hang onto the territory east of the Urals if China stops the Taiwan egocentric focus to a strategic focus on energy, raw material and water supplies.

    https://www.eurasiareview.com/28022022-russia-and-china-arent-the-natural-allies-many-assume-them-to-be-oped/

    “The border, all 2,738 miles of it, is the legacy of the Convention of Peking of 1860 and other unequal pacts between a strong, expanding Russia and a weakened China after the Second Opium War. (Other European powers similarly encroached upon China, but from the south. Hence the former British foothold in Hong Kong, for example.)”

    China does not “need” Taiwan as there are no resources there. They simply want it for egocentric purposes.

    However China have never as yet laid claim to the lands lost the Russia over the years (especially the 1860 Treaty of Peking)

    In that treaty China recognised Russia as master of all the lands on the left bank of the Amur River as well as of those between the Ussuri River and the Pacific Ocean, thereby allowing Russia to construct the city of Vladivostok and become a major power in the northern Pacific region.

    So will the smiling Chinese stab the Russians in the back and drive northwards? Will they then drive westwards to capture all of Siberia to the Ural Mountains? After all, more easily to capture material riches in a lightly defended land (whilst Russia is focused westwards) than a doubtful seaborne assault on a pimple on their east buttock for no conceivable benefit except ego stoking.

    Caesar Putin needs to watch his friends.

  3. Agree that this is about Russian expansionism (likely in response to perceived existential threat). Whether Putin’s motivation is his faith and/or dreams of reinvigorating a Russian empire, this looks like the last throw of the dice by the autocrat of a dying empire. There is a very real risk of ‘gambling for resurrection’ (committing geopolitical suicide for fear of death). This is not to imply that Putin is crazy, rational individuals can still destroy their own societies (see The Fog of War).

    I’d ease off the ‘angry white Christianity’ that’s an american lens. Putin shows little concern outside of ethnic Russians and that could be a mobilising ploy.

    Sanctions look set to crush the Russian economy (and ripple around the world) the question is how Putin will respond and given the glee of the reinvigorated Neocon hawks in Washington, whether the West gives him a face-saving off-ramp that he wants to take.

  4. And we are currently underestimating the further radicalisation of fighters rushing to Ukraine.With no visa entry to expedite fighters , there will be no records for governments when the inevitable white supremacists attracted there come home.
    In California, 3 men arrested for violent attacks on counterprotesters at an anti Muslim rally were trained by the Azov Battallion , embedded in the Ukrainian army.
    The enemy of my enemy is not always my friend
    “Bierwirth said Azov Battalion, now a piece of the Ukrainian National Guard, is known for neo-Nazi symbolism and ideology and has participated in training and radicalizing U.S.-based white supremacist organizations.
    https://www.splcenter.org/hatewatch/2018/10/29/three-members-rise-above-movement-arrested-california-fourth-sought-fugitive-turns-himself

  5. Underestimate this man at your own peril he is Hitler the second REINCARNATED

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