Best, worst & most likely outcome for NZ Left in election 2026

In 2026, the economy will continue to falter thanks to the neoliberal economic vandalism of this hard Right Government and society will become more polarised thanks to social media hate algorithms.

The damage being caused to the capacity of the State to solve the economic inequalities, necessary environmental adaptation and public service provision is masked by culture war revenge fantasies masquerading as social policy.

We need real Left solutions like Zamdani is championing, not the incremental mediocrity that Keir Starmer manufactures.

So what are the best, worst and most likely outcomes this year for the NZ Left in the 2026 Election?

The best outcome for the Political Left in 2026:

Māori Party holds 4 seats and has a low party vote that trigger’s an overhang, the Greens reach out to Australia special votes and brings in the non vote while Labour holds the middle which = 51%. The Greens and MP form a united negotiating front and forces Labour to adopt a genuinely progressive Zamdani platform.

The reality is that the Greens are what one would term, ‘weak arsed pussies’. Maybe it’s the veganism and lack of iron, but the Greens have all the offensive capacity of slow growing moss. Their ability to be bullied by Labour into meaningless incremental nothings is well recorded and the naked truth is that they NEED an arsehole like John Tamihere in a united negotiating front to ensure they don’t get played by Labour again.

The worst outcome for the Political Left in 2026

NZF + National + ACT are re-elected and cement into place their 19th Century White Settler privilege and continue to strangle the common good for their donors interests. Massive State Sale Programme begins and permanently mutilates the State.

If these Right wing arseholes win a second term, they will cement into place their anti-Māori, anti-Treaty, anti-environment, anti-worker, anti-renter, anti-disabled and anti-beneficiary agenda to strangle the common good for their donors interests. 19th Century White Settler privilege will become the default position on all social and economic issues.

The most likely outcome for the Political Left in 2026

If the Greens lose their 3rd place Party ranking to NZFirst, Winston calls the shots and will form a Government with Labour, making the Greens slaves while becoming a handbrake on any public good.

If Te Pati Māori can not sort their shit out (thanks to Doc, thank to Mariameno and thanks to  Eru), if they continue to blame Tamihere for protecting the leadership and splinter like flakes, Winston will simply tell the electorate he is the only one who can protect NZ from Te Pati Māori instability and they will force the Greens to accept a deal where they are once again the abused partner in a Government arrangement where they have zero influence.

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