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  1. Of the swing states, only two, Georgia and Nevada have Republican governors who could be pressured into not sending in the Certificates of Ascertainment in the event that Harris wins those states. In a close race those 22 votes might be enough to give Trump a win. I assume the 270 vote number is just used to represent a majority, in normal circumstances, as there are a total of 538 electoral college votes. I also assume that if there are not 538 votes presented to the College then a simple majority would still win the election. Of course the Democrat governors of the other 5 swing states could withhold all or any of the 61 electoral votes Trump might win in their states. If it wasn’t so serious this could be enjoyed as the greatest of soap operas.

  2. Largely correct, although off the mark on legal immigration (he supports that), weaponising of the federal state ( which is what the Democrats have been doing for the last 4 years) and abortion which is now a settled matter.

    If I was American I would be cheering on nearly all of those policies because they’re good for America. Which is basically what Trump is all about.

    1. Yeah, I know you want to bring back segregation, and impose Biblical law, deporting all Palestinians in the process.

  3. none of this will happen.
    Trump will win and govern in a way that is good for the USA.
    Then Set up JD Vance to run for 2028.

    1. So bringing back segreation, lynching and allowing cops to gun down blacks, as well as banning abortion, birth control and sex outside of marriage is good?

      1. Millsy, have you noticed that of late it has been the Democrats who are the race obsessed ones in the USA?
        They’re the ones wanting black dorms, segregated classrooms and claiming only Black Lives Matter.
        This is consistent with their history because the Democrat party was from the Deep South. The party of slavery and the KKK.

        1. Blacks voted republican until the 1930-60’s when thanks to the New Deal, and Great Society reforms, and the Civil Rights era, they voted for Democrats while Nixon courted the white working class with his Southern Strategy, to the point the the GOP now seeks to reverse the civil rights era. This reaglinnment has been well documented.

  4. Trump, MAGA and and its New Zealand equivalent are the direct result of 40 years of neo liberal economics in action. The nearest acceptable alternative are populist right wing movements led by bloviating leaders.

  5. Trump, MAGA and and its New Zealand equivalent are the direct result of 40 years of neo liberal economics in action. The nearest acceptable alternative are populist right wing movements led by bloviating leaders.

  6. Trump is going to lose.
    But as sure as the sun rises he will then foment a political violence and mayhem we’ve never before seen in a western democracy.

    Thanks Merrick Garland.

    1. Well we saw a little of that political violence brought upon America last time, so yes, you are correct, it will be worse given the appalling rhetoric Trump uses.

  7. If you support Trump, you support the rolling back of civil rights, recriminalization of homosexuality and transgenderism, banning abortion and birth control, and repression of Palestinians. Fact.

  8. I don’t get the cognitive dissonance amongst so many on the left and found in abundance here.

    If you can take Trump out of the mix (go on try…) and just evaluate the policies, it’s fundamentally a set of old school, left wing 1970’s policies.

    Deporting Illegal immigrants – NZ does it, Australia does it. The scale of illegal immigration into the US under Biden means that the numbers are crazy but the underlying problem does need to be addressed. The illegals are collapsing wages and keeping citizens in poverty.

    Protectionism – the EU has tariffs, Australia has tarrifs, etc. They’re shit and NZ as a small trading nation should and really has to fight against them but the US is perhaps the only nation / market that can sustain itself with tarrifs. Yes it’s people will have to pay more for their goods but then at least in theory, they’ll have jobs to provide the money. It’ll fuck the rest of the world, especially China but hey ho, this is an America first policy

    Global Affairs – why should the US be responsible for providing their young to fight and die for the rest of the world? If they stop starting wars and let other nations deal with their own problems it will make the world a more dangerous place but then perhaps we should all start paying more of our GDP to the military rather than riding on the coattails of America.

    Ukraine – it’s bad and Putin is evil but European countries have no one to blame but themselves. if Germany and France got their shit together they could defeat Russia easily. Why does the US need to bankroll it other than to perhaps hide Hunter’s misdeeds?

    I don’t like Trump, I don’t like his policies and I think when he is elected the world is going to have an interesting time but I don’t think it’ll end.

    Western liberal democracies are broken. Trump is a symptom of this as is Meloni, Farrage, Le Pen, etc. The existing model of driving consumption to lift growth by flooding countries with migrants is coming to an end. The UK has had enough and it’s the same in the US (and much of Europe).

    Neoliberalism replaced the protectionist and socialist system of the 60’s and 70’s. is MAGA the beginnings of what will replace neoliberalism or a return to the 70’s? Who knows but with JD Vance potentially winning another two terms after Orange 45 departs we may well find out.

  9. Win or lose Trump is damaged goods and his toxic stain will take a long time to fade away.

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