Winners & Losers in latest Taxpayers’ Union Curia Poll: NZ Political Spectrum is splintering
Boom, the latest Taxpayers’ Union Curia Poll is out…
…there is an interesting dynamic at play.
Look at how the political spectrum is splintering with a huge jump in support for fringe parties all below the 5% threshold.
This is a dissatisfied lumpenproletariat searching for a new political home.
WINNERS:
NZ First – If NZ First is around 3% today they are 5% on Election Day. I think adding in the possibility of NZ First back in the mix has to be considered when discussing the next election and that throws both Left and Right plans into the air.
Dumb Lives Matter – That is an enormous level of people searching for a new political home and bodes ill for the temperament of the next election.
LOSERS:
ACT – get another lousy pay day from this poll, they had one hell of a result in last nights Tauranga by-election and I’m starting to think the polling is having difficulty getting male responders and is cloaking ACTs true support.
National – After a month of screaming ‘something must be done’ over crime, all National gained was .6%. They must be very disappointed with that, once upon a time you could promise to burn a gang members testicles in the Town Square and get immediately elected to Parliament, these days the sleepy hobbits of muddle Nu Zilind want very specific details of the testicle burning and certainty it will actually do the trick. The NZ electorate have been promised so many burnt testicles from gang members in the past and are now a tad weary about all these flaming scrotums actually stopping crime.
PREDICTIONS:
I still believe 2023 will be the most polarised election in NZ history and that there is a 50-50 chance of political violence before the election.
The problem for the Left will be their own woke activist base who are too busy alienating voters by fighting the patriarchy rather than capitalism.
The steep recession we are about to be plunged into however will be so extreme it will feel like a crisis and Labour have the capacity to step up during a crisis, but to succeed in that, they must see the provision of universal services that impact voters wallets directly and alleviates that economic anxiety.
More free public transport and school breakfasts but less cancelling people over pronouns.
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“The NZ electorate have been promised so many burnt testicles from gang members in the past and are now a tad weary about all these flaming scrotums actually stopping crime.”
This sentence wins the internet for the week….
Labour should be celebrating.
Greens dropped deservedly. A waste of woke space looking for a space to be wasted in.
Bad economic news, some of Labour’s making. Crime continues to worsen, plenty of their making with the housing catastrophe status quo still strongly contributing with their contradictory kindness on crime to compensate, adding fuel to the fire. And lingering Covid Nana knows best restrictions generally pissing people off while some other unnamed flu dominate sickness. And a late contribution by Kiri Allens hissy fit over “reo” use and its tokenism at her ex ministry. Hugely repellent especially when viewed under the lens of 3 waters, ongoing co-governance secrecy and a certain top ministers husband making whoopy on the taxpayer. And God only knows what RNZ hosts thought. But for all that Labour still didn’t drop in the polls. Why? Could it be that chap Christopher? And dont you dare call me Chris!
National are on top but should be comfortably eating into Labour’s vote with all the government’s own goals but aren’t and it’s here Luxon is the issue for them. He’s just downright unappealing to anyone but a Remmers bridge club audience with their hearing aids turned off. And even then they didn’t cannibalise ACT’S vote. Nat strategists should be concerned.
I agree that people are shopping for alternatives, definitely. I suspect that Jacinda would love to lead a coalition like 2017 as she could hide Labour’s now routine non achievements behind that instead. But I also suspect those alternatives may just end up being wasted votes!
Re Acts polls results. I am suspicious after being polled Roy Morgan recently.
I was asked who I would my electorate vote to. And then who I would give my party vote to. Then latter in the interview I was asked who I would vote for out of NTional, Labour or Greens. I thought it was very odd they didn’t include Act in that for balance
I contacted Roy Morgan abou this, but never heard back
Can anyone put a finger on these “Other”, the big gainers, albeit for the crumbs in this poll. 6.5% is a sizeable chunk of the electorate and nothing the sneeze at.