3 Weeks until Election: TDB Battlefield Analysis

National keep falling down their Foreign Tax Buyers budget hole that they built.

There’s no way National can raise the revenue from selling to their foreign millionaire mates and that will mean National have to slash the money from the public services they are already slashing.

It’s like promising your kids a new iPhone for Christmas only to give them carrier pigeon they have to pay for.

Meanwhile ACT go Breaking Bad by supporting the domestic Meth Cooking Industry by demanding the Meth precursor ingredient be sold back over the counter in NZ. For those in the domestic Meth Cooking Industry who might feel concerned that they could be targeted by other organised crime for their new Meth production, ACT are happy to confirm they will be allowing submachine guns back on the market with no gun registry.

ACTs solution is more submachine guns and more domestic meth production.

Great.

Chippy fell asleep during the first Leaders Debate and Marama and Debbie reminded everyone how well they can work together as David was busy trying to slash Winston’s throat live on TV.

If ACT, National and NZ First are the answer, what the hell was the question?

Here’s the run down as TDB sees it 3 weeks out from the 2023 Election.

LABOUR: 32%

Dear Chippy.

It’s time to step up Comrade.

Your low energy vibe in the First Leaders Debate was a voting boner killer that allowed Luxon to shine.

Blaming Jessica Mutch the way some of the tribal Left have on Twitter for your poor performance is the philosophy of losers, and you Chippy ain’t no loser.

But you sure as Christ may be post October 14th.

Let’s be crystal clear what is at stake here Chippy.

National and ACT would represent the worst Government we’ve ever seen in terms of the public spending amputation they wish to proceed with.

ACTs bullshit Referendum on the Treaty will start a God damned race war and Luxon is too thick to stop him!

In short Chippy.

You. Can’t. Fucking. Lose!

There is simply too much at stake for your cautious advisors to fuck this up for the country and wider Left!

I know who your advisors are and they are chumps.

Nice chumps.

But Chumps nevertheless.

We have 3 weeks and you need to surprise the electorate and shock this election back into life.

You need to U-turn your Captain’s Call on the Wealth Tax.

Maori Party have made it a bottom line and the Greens will the second the 3 of you have a majority.

There is an inevitability to it if the 3 of you = 51%.

You call an urgent Press Conference, look straight down the barrel of the camera and tell the Nation that getting out around the country has been rewarding and you have met thousands of good Kiwis getting on with their lives, but that what has struck you is the intense inequality you’ve witnessed and that as such, you are reversing your position on Grant and David’s Wealth Tax and you will now fight for every Kiwi to get their first $10 000 tax free and tax the uber wealthy for it!

You need to surprise the electorate and make them want to elect you.

GST off my banana during a 30 year high food inflation rate is bullshit.

What’s the point of Bread and Butter politics if no one can afford the Bread or Butter Chippy?

Give the Left a real reason to fight for you, to fight for Labour, to fight for the progress of a Liberal Democracy that taxes the wealthy to pay for the infrastructure of Society.

Is it a high risk move?

Sure is!

But that’s where we are now!

If NZ First slip under 5% and Labour can pull out a last minute voter surge, Labour + Greens + MP = the Government.

Fight for it Chippy.

I’ve known you for ages, you are a good man and this country can not handle the social carnage ACT and National will bring.

Fight for it Chippy. Fight for NZ. Announce David and Grant’s Wealth Tax and ignite the populism that made Bernie Sanders so powerful.

You are out of options, and this is the last play.

If the Left votes – the Left wins!

Give the Left a reason to vote for you Chippy!

 

NATIONAL: 35%

The wealthy, the billionaire Class and the richest 1% have donated $12million to ACT and National since 2021 and they are getting their money’s worth.

The anger many feel towards Labour post-Covid means National and ACT can stand any policy up and barely anyone will scrutinise it in their rush to punish Labour for every sad thing that has happened to them since Covid.

We are all now as unforgiving as the woke.

Because we are hate voting this election, we are going to accidentally elect the most far right Government since Roget Douglas.

I say accidentally because I suspect the vast number of voters who voted Labour in 2020 and who are now voting National or ACT have very little idea what their policies are, they just want to say ‘Fuck you’ to Labour.

National have promised to give rich Landlords a $250 fortnight tax cut funded by stealing from 2 year olds, mutilating public transport and literally stealing from the climate change fund.

The obscenity of this turns to farce when you consider the foreign buyers tax won’t generate anything close to what National claim it will!

Normally National have to hide their blatant self interest the way you trick a dog into taking its pills by hiding it in something tasty, but National are so convinced that hatred of Labour is all they need, they haven’t even pretended to dress the venality of their tax cut for the rich funded by the poor as anything more than it is.

Which it isn’t.

It’s active state sanctioned vandalism of the egalitarian society.

Consider the orgy of privatisation National are preparing in the background…

…we face a tsunami of crony capitalism!

Dr Bryce Edwards devastating critique into who is donating to National and the disgusting level of self interest is remarkable and shocking!

Alongside this orgy, National are lining up Public Private Partnership scams, removing foreign buyer bans and releasing the immigration floodgates.

National’s only economic plan is to open the country to foreign buyers, slash the State and privatise the rest.

The conflicts of interest National will unleash will make Labour’s sins look childish in comparison.

National will hack at the State to carve out deals for their mates while ACT will hack at the State for ideological purity.

 

 

ACT: 12% + 2 Electorates

BREAKING BAD ACT have decided to back the local meth production industry by bewilderingly wanting the banned meth pre-curser Pseudoephedrine back on the shelves!!!

Fear that setting up your own Meth Cooking company might attract unwanted attention from other criminal organisations?

Don’t worry!

ACT has you covered by allowing the sociopaths favourite toy machine gun back on the market while dumping the Gun registry so you willl be able to keep you Meth Cooking company under the radar from the police.

For too long meth has been produced offshore by Triad and South American cartels, ACT demands to know why should all that meth money be made by foreign criminal organisations when there are so many desperate kiwis trying to make ends meet here in NZ and what better way to help the domestic Meth Cooking market than allowing Pseudoephedrine back into the country and over the counter while providing the machine guns to protect your turf!

ACT – the Party that knows the price of everything and the value of nothing!

Just to be crystal meth clear here, ACT’s solutions are MORE machine guns and MORE meth precursor ingredients?

The market will work out the rest will it?

LET’S COOK!

 

GREENS: 12% + 2 electorates

Marama’s best performance in 3 years was at the Powerbrokers Debate on TV3 and reminded everyone (me included) that she still is a battleship for the progressive movement.

The Green argument for a wealth tax and a genuine attempt at forcing policy towards being more attuned to local communities while empowering individuals is admirable and their current tactic of being slightly less spineless than Labour is generating real support.

Have every chance of hitting 12%.

Māori Party – 5% + 3 electorates

The most important part of the Powerbrokers Debate was Debbie and Marama clearly showing they can work together while Winston and David couldn’t stop attacking each other.

By making the Wealth Tax the bottom line for the Maori Party sets up a situation post election that Chippy has no choice but to accept.

 

 

NZF – 4.5%

Winston wants to designate every gang member a domestic terrorist for Christ’s sake.

If you want a Police State led by anti vaxxer candidates, you go right ahead and vote NZ First.

This is one step above Liz Gunn level cray.

Just imagine how the hell these 3 are supposed to work together…

 

Sub 5% Feral Antivax God Squad vote – NOTHING!

What’s interesting looking at the TU Curia Polling is how little support for antivax extremists there really is. We have thought they were some shadow electorate with real clout, when the truth looks like they are radicalised loners who are shrill with little real electorate support.

 

The Economy

Interest rates will be going up before Christmas, food inflation prices will remain sky-high and the cost of living crisis will get more intense as geopolitical shockwaves impact oil and food prices.

Union Busting:

National and ACT will dump the Fair Pay Agreements and give Bosses the right to fire before 90 days.

This is a direct assault on the Union Movement and empowers the low wage economy National donors have become addicted to.

Expect migrant worker exploitation to explode throw the roof.

Class War on Renters:

Real Estate Pimps have donated millions to National and in return National have lifted the Foreign Buyers Ban and will give landlords the right to kick tenants out with no notice. National and ACT will also role back Tenants rights while reopening Landlord tax loop holes.

There is a class war on renters but we don’t have the political vocabulary to articulate it.

Speculators Paradise: 

By opening NZ up to foreign speculators while reopening landlord tax loops holes, National and ACT are opening NZ up for sale to their overseas wealthy mates.

Environmental Bonfire of the Vanities:

National and ACT will reverse oil and gas bans and steam full ahead at the Climate Change Iceberg. They will allow Agriculture another 5 years of doing nothing (that will be a total of 25 years of doing nothing) while slashing public transport and climate change budgets.

They will greenwash everything and lie about the rest.

The planet will burn and National and ACT will pour petrol on it.

Amputation of the State:

National and ACT have promised 14 000 job cuts and the amputation of 5 ministries and the Human Rights Commission. They will slash and burn the State and hack away at it with the ideological fervour of self-flagellating puritans.

Race War:

As a bottom line, ACT are demanding a referendum to renegotiate the Treaty with Māori and then just foist that upon Māoridom!

What in our 184 year history makes anyone believe that Māori will just accept that?

This referendum will generate an enormous social backlash and the hikoi to Wellington will become our largest protest march. Parliament Lawns will be Occupied, the real possibility of civil disobedience will erupt and all because ACT want to play race baiting games unleashing the worst angels of our nature.

Gun Fetishist Fantasies: 

The Gun lobby have deep control over ACT now and the killing off of the Gun Registry (an act the Police Association says is crazy, which really is saying something coming from the Police Association), and allowing the sociopaths submachine gun of choice back on the streets is truly the foreplay of a charmless man.

Private Prison Empire and Prison Riot:

National are promising to throw State Tenants onto the street while ACT promise a billion dollars to build more prisons!

You know the ‘Private prison’ solution is around the corner.

Our current publicly funded prisons are close to snapping point and the incompetence of technology and staffing of the home monitoring system that can be tricked by fucking tin foil are all red flags that the system can’t manage the prison popualtyioin they have, let alone pouring thousands more into it!

The recipe for an enormous prison riot is building.

 

PREDICTION

With ACT’s attack on the mentally ill and drug addicts alongside their pledge to build a new prison empire for all the State Tenants that National are about to throw out onto the street plus Nationals plan to rob 2 year olds, public transport and climate funds to give rich landlords a $250 per fortnight tax cut is an affront to the very egalitarian state these fuckwits claim to champion!

They want to take from the poor and give to the rich!

They want right wing revenge fantasies as social policy FFS and voters seem more than happy to allow that because they can’t stop being angry at Jacinda and the Covid lockdown!

The Government’s borrowing requirement is set to dwarf pre-Covid levels. Over the five-year forecast period, Westpac sees the Government raising $140b in bonds, $12b higher than the previous forecast of $128b.

Westpac is now pointing to 6% OCR because of huge immigration pressures, that’s the umpteenth time in a row the economists have been wrong about an OCR peak.

Yes our economy has been malformed and warped by the Covid response, but all those screaming at those ramifications ignore why we had to take on that debt in the first place!

COVID!

It’s bizarre that Covid which has shaped all these symptoms in our economy and society, from debt to crime, is not mentioned at all!

It’s like it is Taboo to even speak of it!

This silence damages the Left because we are unable to explain why we are facing the symptoms of the cure we took to protect life in the first place!

We faced a once in a century novel pandemic. We had to make decisions that hurt and damaged many lives.

We all sacrificed for the greater good because that was the best means of dealing with a novel virus.

Were there mistakes?

Of course and there were consequences, and those consequences were worth the alternative which was tens of thousands of dead in a mass death event altho would have mutilated this nation.

Critics pointing at the lack of a mass death event as proof that there never was one ignores what we had to do to ensure that didn’t happen!

It’s the most idiotic argument!

The ease with which we rewrite the recent past, to determine with the luxury of hindsight that Covid was just a cold when it has killed tens of millions around the globe is sophistry.

3, 329 – NZ (population 5m)

24,738 – Sweden (population 10m)

9, 209 – Ireland (population 5m)

191, 586 – Italy (population 59m)

Those are the numbers.

That’s how many died from Covid and the population of each nation, compared to Ireland we are talking about 6000 lives difference.

That’s the price we sacrificed to protect as many people as we could, to leave no one behind.

There were sacrifices made that generated unequal consequences in an unequal society.

This election is becoming a grudge fuck election. Voters are voting not on policy, but for malice, to hurt the ‘other side’ for all the imagined crimes of Covid, 3 waters and co-governance.

We are being tested this election on who we really are as a Nation.

One that fights for the people vs one that rules in the interests of the Banks, Corporate  Farming and property speculators.

There are 3 weeks unto the 2023 Election.

It ain’t over until the Fat Blogger sings.

Increasingly having independent opinion in a mainstream media environment which mostly echo one another has become more important than ever, so if you value having an independent voice – please donate here.

If you can’t contribute but want to help, please always feel free to share our blogs on social media