BOOM: Latest TU Curia Poll: Labour crash – Winston is back

By
Martyn Bradbury
-
63
2473

Boom – the latest Taxpayers’ Union Poll is out and it is crippling for Labour while seeing NZ First firmly back.

NATIONAL – 34.9%

LABOUR – 27.1%

ACT – 13%

GREENS – 12%

- Sponsor Promotion -

NZF – 5.8%

Māori Party – 2.5%

TOP – 1%

Well done Labour, cheers Kiri, nice work Michael, top stuff Nashy, brilliant call on the Wealth Tax Chippy.

It’s all gone down about as well as a cup of cold sick.

The only silver lining for the Left is that these polls overpoll National by 5points and underpoll Labour by 4points so this is all margin of error stuff right now.

Luxon’s terrible personal performance vs Chippy with no policy vs David Seymour with alpha performances promising a race war.

This will be a protest vote election.

Right now, all Labour are impotently promising is GST off fresh fruit and vegetables.

That just won’t be enough and seeing as it has already been leaked, art will be met with a shrug by voters.

Instead Labour should utilise this leak and leverage it politically and surprise the Electorate by taking GST off ALL food, this after the disappointment of the Wealth Tax will make voters feel like Labour have actually listened to they pain in the cost of living crisis.

Political cowardice is never rewarded and until Labour makes an actual stand they will continue to slide in the Polls.

Labour either stand for something or they hang for everything.

Labour either shows political courage and takes GST off all food or they hand this election over to the hard Right.

You’ve run out of road Chippy, go bold or go home.

What’s the point of Bread and Butter politics if no one can afford Bread or Butter?

Increasingly having independent opinion in a mainstream media environment which mostly echo one another has become more important than ever, so if you value having an independent voice – please donate here.

If you can’t contribute but want to help, please always feel free to share our blogs on social media

63 COMMENTS

  1. Voters are realising that while Luxon may not have the natural charisma of Hipkins, he is much better at managing his team and focussing on the issues that matter.

    Hipkins just looks desperate.

  3. You’ve been blocked Labour. Deleted. My pick is still the low 20’s!
    But the Greens at 13%? For what, services to pointlessness, the petty and wokeness? Come on ex Labour voters, better to not vote at all than reward these turkeys!

    • I’d like to see Labour punished down into the teens by low turnout, and see the Greens back under 5 so they can both go away and figure out what they stand for.

  4. I don’t understand the obsession with taking GST off food. GST is a tax that impacts the poor in many more ways than food.

    Either scrap GST altogether (and raise taxes to compensate) or keep it as it is. Anything else is creating bureaucracy and will have much less impact than it should.

    Personally I think GST should be scrapped. It was a terrible idea.

    • I agree DE, a totally counterproductive tax. Also, if it was going to be taken off food it should have been done months ago when people started hurting, not as some potential election bribe (has Labour actually said they will do it, or is it still just Willis claiming inside knowledge?) The refusal to implement a wealth or CGT tax is unjustifiable against all the evidence.

  5. I find it hard to believe that any voters actually like these current parties. Every single one of them is out of step with public opinion, and — with the exception of N.Z.F. — they all have poor quality leaders.

    Winston is going to finish strongly on the run home. But his policies are so tame and boring that there is an artificial ceiling on his performance. With no truly left-wing candidate to compete with, he could easily decimate all the other parties, IF he was willing to adopt a populist economic and foreign policy — but apparently he is just another establishment swamp creature.

    • Winston could have been an important politician, maybe even a great one. He says the right things but when given the chance to achieve some results he seems to prefer getting into a slanging match with the media which is a pity because a lot of NZFs policies aren’t light years away from old Labour’s – certainly a lot closer than anything else on offer at the moment .

      • Yes, Winston has proven multiple times he is only interested in the baubles of power, his main attraction seems to be he is not National, Labour, Act, or Green; a vote for NZF is almost a vote for ‘none of the above’.

  9. As I pointed out in the last poll data which somehow had Labour above 30%…. rogue poll. No way does a government this awful poll above 30%. I expect them to drop to ~25% (which is the hard “base” below it which it cannot realistically go) before the election. Every swing voter will not vote for more of this catatrophic government.

  10. I think the weirdest thing is Nationals strategy of keeping Luxon hidden from impromptu interviews is paying dividends. They must be shitting themselves though when Frankenstein has to be wheeled out into the light. A thousand breaths will be on hold when that road show hits the screens. It won’t be enough to save Labours demise however!

  11. A mate told me he likes the Labour govt. He listed things other parties wouldn’t have done. Raised minimum wage three times and other wages by relativity. Built schools. Upgraded hospitals. Ramped up State House building. Made medicines cheaper. Other stuff?

  13. Low wages, cuts to worker protections, privatisation of healthcare, reduction of civil liberties and no more public services.

  14. Yes, get gst off my truffles and champagne. Champagne is a food isn’t it and truffles are just so expensive at $3000 a kilo it’s just so hard !

  16. “….hand the election over to the Hard Right.”?? Luxon, hard right?? Seymour, ok a little bit right but hardly hard. The expression you were looking for is “slightly right of centre”, which seems to be more appealing to an increasing percentage of voters than incompetence, mis-management and subversion of democracy by stealth.

  17. Watch this one play out .. NZF can push 15-20% … and it’s not out of the question..

    This is probably Peters last go, his 17th General Election.. and it will be his best.

    Inexperienced moron Seymour has blown himself up with the attack billboards (see Nz herald today not paywalled) No judgement Davos Seymour

    Go hard Winnie P go hard

  18. Problem is Winston is a perpetual antagonist and takes his eye off the ball, NZF have got good people and policy however he has let NZF and the NZ Public down with his legal threats and bar room brawling, needs to concentrate on the key issues rather than petty bullshit. He needs to F*ck Up on the Co Governance Issue which is a non Issue and tell the Public what NZF is going to do for NZ to lift performance and growth.

  24. Also unichem and life pharmacies have just sent an email out to all their customers the dropping of the $5 fee has lead to an increase of prescriptions being collected and requested.

    So dropping of the $5 fee has paid off.

  25. Also unichem and life pharmacies have just sent an email out to all their customers the dropping of the $5 fee has lead to an increase of prescriptions being collected and requested.

    So dropping of the $5 fee has paid off.

Comments are closed.