The NZ Herald Poll of Polls keeps pointing to a Labour led minority Government with supply and confidence from the Māori Party.
This remarkable turn of events where the Māori Party could have this position of obligation and influence is multifaceted.
The first is demographics. The Māori electorate is younger and there are more Millenial and Gen X voters than Boomers this election.
The second is a welcoming and embracing online social media culture that has built true online community and allows for strong promotion of strategic voting.
The third is that the more reactionary the Right get, the more previous non voting Māori voters are engaging as a counter to that level of race baiting.
What could take the Māori Party to a new level of support is what the bottom lines they will demand of Labour in return for Supply and Confidence. If those 3 bottom lines are broad based policy that every struggling Kiwi would want, the Māori Party could gain a large influx of non Māori voters.
The economy is hurting and GST off food bills would attract huge support from many voters.
If the Māori Party push for policy that benefits all as the price of their Supply and Confidence vote and then moves to the cross benches, they will be building legacy and will set themselves up for a true political partnership.
There is everything to win and lose this election.
First published on Waatea News.
TPM are well aware of the age bubble re young Māori numbers…
https://www.stats.govt.nz/information-releases/maori-population-estimates-at-30-june-2022/
Get ’em enrolled, get ’em on the Māori roll, and importantly–get ’em voting! At Kaitaia market every Sat an Electoral Commission stand has been doing good business. The guy in charge has full moko and has been around a bit, he even gets paid too. It is a great market with Christians alongside Cannabis oil sellers.
The Roy Morgan poll for June is just out.
National/Act on 45%
Labour/Green on 40%
The Maori Part up to a solid 7%
LGM could form a government. God help us.
https://www.roymorgan.com/findings/9292-nz-national-voting-intention-june-2023
Many voters may call for GST of food but if they think food would drop by 15 percent over night they will be sadly wrong .It is done in Australia but causes a great deal of cost and the only winners are accountants and public servants. It will be like brexit in the UK a great idea followed by huge regret It is interesting that the 2 Parties calling for the move are not business friendly and live in a dream world
you know trev… one thing i have not ever heard of, is ozzies complaining and trying to put GST on food in Oz. no one screaming from the rooftops, “we need GST on food!”. no one in Australia is pointing at NZ and saying, “see! thats how you do it!”. except maybe those lunatics at SkyNews, they might, but then they howl at the moon so who cares.
It’s all the Maori bashing Neihana its counterintuitive if our Māori people vote strategically, we can have the best of both worlds. I hope that doesn’t upset you too much if so, too bad suck it up mate.
The question is do they want to participate in this colonial system. You obviously are closer to the Maori voter than I am so will they vote .Many did not take part in the census or line up for vaccinations for them and their children.
It occurred to me that present economists have much in common with Rimmer* from Red Dwarf. They concoct great patterns and beautifully present their theories at which they spend all their time, that have fatal flaws. They don’t pay attention to knowing the real stuff that is needed for good outcomes for all the mass of us, but are the great western fakirs of our era; not dedicating their lives to God and spirituality but to Mammon and machiavellian-type worship, being sly (having or showing a cunning and deceitful nature). We should be aware that they are the power behind our free market experience that is stripping us of all our resources both physical and ethereal.
I think today’s economists should be called rimmernomists to honour this great character from Red Dwarf who epitomises today’s semi-substantial, basically incorporeal wealth-obsessed incomers.
*Report on Rimmer’s performance: https://www.quintusteal.com/study.htm
…The first week of study, he would always devote to the construction of a revision timetable. Weeks of patient effort would be spent planning, designing and creating a revision schedule which, when finished, were minor works of art.
Every hour of every day was subdivided into different study periods, each labelled in his lovely, tiny copperplate hand; then painted over in watercolours, a different colour for each subject, the colours gradually becoming bolder and more urgent shades as the exam time approached. The effect was as if a myriad tiny rainbows had splintered and sprinkled across the poster-sized sheet of creamwove card.
The only problem was this: because the timetables often took seven or eight weeks, and sometimes more, to complete, by the time Rimmer had finished them the exam was almost on him. He’d then have to cram three months of astronavigation revision into a single week…
NZ has 15 weeks before we put our marks in the Big Test. How are we getting on with our plans for asserting our ideas sufficiently robustly before The Great Election in October? Another failure of our expectations it may be, but at least we should know that we have embraced the best contract for all citizens that is on offer.
And ‘Never Mind the Quality, Feel the Width’. That tv presentation about two tailors one Jewish and one Irish Catholic, 60-70s, got a disparaging review which said it was outdated farce because it played on ethnic stereotypes. I reckon it’s still relevant today. Don’t let’s expect too much, go for the offering that is best for us, being prepared to patch and darn the holes later where the fabric’s thin!
We need to get GST off anything, it is such a regressive tax, hits the poorest the most, bring in a Financial Transactions tax, bring in a wealth tax, bring in capital gains, that would cover GST.
I hope TPM get a seat or two in Parliament.
They have been on the outer for too long.
Let them have responsibility in power, see what unfolds.
They might just surprise everyone.
If it doesn’t work out for them I am sure they will learn from the experience.
Being in power brings a lot of pressure on leaders. It’s easy to be a critic when you are on the side lines and not much responsibility.
It’s more intense when you are busy with demanding portfolios and fickle people to manage. Plus pissy mainstream media.
People really start being critiqued.
That’s life if you want power.
TPM could be interesting with responsibilities to work with. See how it unfolds for them.
We could be heading into an exciting new era in politics.
Comments are closed.