The Poll of Polls is predicting a Labour led minority Government with Supply and Confidence from the Māori Party, but that is only one outcome, the others are National/ACT Government and a National minority Government with supply and confidence from NZFirst and ACT.
This blog looks at how a Labour minority Government with supply and confidence from the Māori Party works.
National are selling a Labour minority led Government with a supply and confidence arrangement with the Maori Party as the ‘coalition of chaos’ which exposes a grotesque level of ignorance on Chris Luxon’s behalf.
So how would a Labour led Government with a supply and confidence arrangement with the Maori Party would actually work?
If Labour + Green are reliant on the Māori Party for votes to get the 51% necessary to pass the budget, there would be a price extracted from Labour for that supply and confidence. vote
There will be bottom-lines that the Māori Party will require in return for that supply and confidence vote.
If those bottom-lines are universal policies like GST off food and taxing the Rich, the Maori Party say themselves up as true disruptors and build legacy towards 2026.
The Māori Party would then go onto the cross benches and if their list of demands on policy is too great, it allows Labour to turn to the National Party for votes instead.
The cross bench giveth and it can taketh away, if the Maori Party demands are too great it allows National to offer up votes for legislative changes.
This isn’t ‘chaos’, this is how MMP is supposed to work.
The issue for the Left are what the bottom-lines the Maori Party will demand.
They could be very selfish demands that will permanently damage the Māori Party or they could be wide ranging policy like GST off food that would make an enormous difference to poor people.
That is the true question of the 2023 election, what can the Maori Party gain for their supply and confidence vote.
I think the 3 bottom lines in return for their Supply and Confidence vote should be broad universal policies that make an immediate material difference to the poorest amongst us.
1 – Remove GST from food and expand feed the kids to every school
2 – Tax the Banks with a financial transaction tax
3 – Follow Commerce Commission recommendations to set up new supermarket option using Iwi in the same way as 2Degrees was created as the owners with a focus to lower cost to consumers, raise wages and conditions for staff and pay more to suppliers.
Removing GST from food, taxing the rich with a financial transaction tax and creating a new supermarket chain around Iwi would build the Māori Party legacy status.
The naked hypocrisy of the right to twist ‘One person One Vote’ into a negative egalitarian garrotte around the throat of Democracy while screaming ‘we-are-saving-democracy’ is performative art for Fascists.
Because MMP has always brought in moderating forces like NZ First, the pent up political expression of the Right and the Left has been building for almost a quarter of a century and it will finally be expressed at this years election. The amplification of anger will result in an election that will see resentment whichever side wins.
When you dog whistle up the worst angels of our nature by manufacturing existential threats to democracy, you generate a confrontation that you are ultimately responsible for.
I think the Conflict Policies of a National/ACT Government would be disastrous for this country and only a Labour/Green minority Government with supply and confidence from the Māori Party can prevent that from happening.
You have every right to be pissed at Labour and the Greens and the stupid shit they waste time on and incompetently can’t seem to manage (even with a fucking majority) B-U-T that doesn’t justify allowing Darth Vader and his Dancing Christian Stormtroopers from taking over the day care eh?
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It’s pretty hard to get excited about any of that — and that assumes Labour’s political donors would even allow those things. The party would rather be in opposition than to start losing corporate donations. Wouldn’t Labour prefer to offer some more nonsensical (and cheap) ‘wokeisms’ as their concessions?
One more grocery chain is better than nothing, but is three companies really enough competition? G.J. Coles, I.G.A., Franklins, Rattrays Wholesale, Albert Gubay and Associated Wholesalers Ltd. all had their own chains — and regulators allowed Woolworth’s to gobble up every single one (and apparently nobody was interested in the reasons why three transnational companies simply gave up on the country).
If I understand this correctly, the idea is that Te Pati Maori has some bottom lines, but then goes on to the cross benches.
Why would Labour agree? They don’t need to, it is not as if Te Pati Maori can go right and allow National to form the government.
This scenario is essentially the same as 2017 when the Greens were essentially on the outer, except on this scenario it is Te Pati Maori on the outer.
Lunch in every school…yes baby..school lunches are a nightmare. Most of it will end up in landfill destroying the environment.
But redicurlous at moment where one school has FREE lunches , yet 400m down the road another one dies not.
If this comes to pass racism will grow poverty will grow businesses will leave the country along with any with any ambition.
It’s likely Winston is sewing up all the votes from another rest home somewhere in the provinces this afternoon.
He said once lied to never again. He never said who lied to him. National lied to him years ago? Adern lied to him more recently. Has Hipkins lied to him?
It’s going to be close. There could be an auction for hand brakes and baubles.
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