The latest TVNZ Poll has National stalling and Labour grinding up despite the worst phase of their 5 year Government.
The problem is Chris Luxon who has all the personality of a smiling gumboot.
It follows after Luxon’s Te Puke via Hawaii blunder and his constant u-turn blunders where he gets caught out on detail that underpins his justifications for change.
His desire to punish teenage beneficiaries misread the middle and his flakiness under the big ball always underwhelms.
I think Jacinda will smash him during the campaign. Despite some of the worst media and press they’ve received since coming to power alongside extreme economic problems looming, Labour are still solid mid 30s, that’s extraordinary.
I think National’s ceiling on Election Day is 35%, their challenge is to stop ACT being in double figures while trying to win the middle, something they are finding very difficult to achieve.
Worst case scenario for National is an ACT at 15%, that leaves National in the very low 30s.
I think David Seymour will be dazzling on the campaign trail despite his race war inducing conflict politics.
The rapid polarisation of NZ politics means there isn’t much middle left for National to hollow out with empty words and false promises, a truth Labour are finding our right now.
Look at how splintered the reactionary right vote has become under the pressures of Covid and hate algorithms on social media…
…that’s why Luxon is on The Platform stirring up culture war issues!
Remember, Luxon was elected not because he was the best candidate, but because Judith Collins hate club pack voted against Simon Bridges.
That is becoming clearly apparent now.
Luxon will be removed as leader if National doesn’t win the next election.
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Personality politics is what has got us into this mess .People voted for Jacinda because she is nice but they failed to look past her and at the motley crew that supported her .They voted for Jacinda without checking the policies of Labour and seeing how they would be carried out . She grabbed at the emotive prospect of child poverty and claimed she would fix it .She also said no more people living in cars . Both failed promises but she still smiles and says it will happen but we need more time .
Luxon may not have the personality but he may have the team to get the country back on track
“People voted for Jacinda because she is nice…………..”
And they voted for a smoiling asseessun because he was sufusticated and Krismetuk.
It really does have to just play out. The sooner the shit hits the fan, the better it will be for political parties and the administration to rebuild and cut the PR bullshit and spin.
Natives are beeting the drums and getting restless. One day they’ll realise their best option is to vote. In the meantime it could get ugly (which is kind of fitting because there are some seriously ugly elected specimens that purport to represent us, and a shitload more unelected specimens riding on the carousel
Hi Trevor, I agree to some extent with you but it started long before Jacinda. I can remember back to Muldoon and he was second to none.
John Key comes a close second which doesn’t say much for those between the 80s and 2010s.
Remember that JK jumped when the cliff started crumbling, the sign of a person reading that he was past his best and could not continue to put up the false front.
Regardless of what you may think of JA , which would you have preferred, her or Judith Collins.
Judith the climate and science sceptic one step removed from Simon Bridges, neither with an original idea and not even the master of decent opposition. My dog barks with more clarity than they do and Luxon is just a textbook that can’t even remember which page he is on.
Even feels he needs to defend his tax cuts because of the reaction to UK.
At least Seymour sometimes knows when to keep quiet.
I told my National MP I could not vote for Judith Collins not because of her but the style and way she was leading the party. My feeling is if Labour had a leader without the personnal charisma of Jacinda like say Little then the poor performers would not get away with their efforts such as Sepuloni and Poto and Davies . Helen Clarke was a strong leader who I admire for the first 6 years and the country did well under Key though I can agree not all people did well. I think Keys handling of the Chch earthquake was in the main well done .Any leader should know when it time to quit and to do so while ahead is better then being kicked out .
Personally I like Luxon and think he will grow into the role but he will never be another John key and I do not think he is trying to be.
Have you checked with Christchurch people about “Keys handling of the Chch earthquake?” (Gerry Brownlee drove off the road while reading your comment!)
National Party Debacle.
Priority handling of the rich suburbs, while the East are still fighting for basic roading and infrastructure 1012 years after the quakes.
Right-wing land-grab of central city land
Celebrities jumping the EQC queue
10 years to settle some claims
EQC catalogue of shon-Key repairs.
I live in Chch .EQC was poorly run but they only had a staff of 3 when the quake hit .It was like many government dept out of touch a lot of times but while some had terrible hassles the bulk were able to move on quickly . It is worth noting the Kiakoura quake was handled much better.
The problem in the East was as much the responsibility of council as the National government and the situation is still poor after 5 years of Labour .
Would people vote for a party led by someone with the personality of a smiling gumboot?
Of course they would. Enough to make the gumboot PM? Of course.
Has Luxon got a hobby farm where he would wear that blue gumboot? Does he do gardening, leaf blowing, mowing, manually ie once a year (silly Brit joke, no meaning).
This vid shows all New Zealand Prime Ministers in a short slide show.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Fkk3qxkrLLY
Interesting that there are virtually no total bal’heads let alone shaved bonces in there, most have a reasonable head of hair, though some like Muldoon & Moore come close to baldness, and others are rescued by “comb overs” and or huge sideburns.
For Baldrick “7 pads” Luxon, it will be like pushing a truck with the parking brake on and filled with manure uphill to beat the current PM.
“Remember, Luxon was elected not because he was the best candidate, but because Judith Collins hate club pack voted against Simon Bridges”
Totally and Simon Bridges had more to offer, even Collins who is the epitomy of a right wing thug may be preferable to Luxon. No matter how wrong footed Collins is, she always stood behind the few things she believed in. Luxon is a weather vane spinning in the wind.
It’s crazy to me that political party’s aren’t attacking acts biggest weakness:
Act supports hyper immigration, total privatization, foreign ownership, deregulation, austerity and is mostly socially liberal.
But Acts voters are mostly anti immigration, anti privatization, pro nationalization, anti foreign ownership, anti austerity and are socially conservative.
Acts just stolen a bunch of NZ first voters because Act is cosplaying as a right wing populist party.
If the left had any brains they’d be yelling from the rooftops that act is a mass immigration, pro foreign ownership party but the left are too scared of the woke to do this.
One things for sure, once in government these voters will abandon act in droves for supporting mass immigration and privatization.
I have just witnessed Seymour use his whole debating time attacking Te Maori party for a post the party had on its party site. Seymour has fallen in the same trap English did with Peter’s. Seymour recognises the Maori Party will be king and queen makers, so is using racial division as his attack mode, thinking by using racial propaganda it will destroy the Maori party and clear the pathway for a Nact government. Won’t happen, the counrty is so much smarter than Seymour thinks he is . With business and media attacking the government Nact should be in the 60s, 70s the fact they’re not means that when the left bloc are able to get their successes into the media, Nact have no chance. Seymour playing the race card is doomed, that is why National go no where near it, they learnt their lesson the hard way.
…”I think David Seymour will be dazzling on the campaign trail despite his race war inducing conflict politics.”
Just remember who started it.
Yes I am not sure why Seymour is blamed for the race war. He Pia Pia, three waters and the Rotorua bill, generated a lot of unease. Labour have been really sneaky with this.
All Seymour is saying is have the referendum and debate. Geoffrey Palmer was saying something pretty similar about our constitution
See the replay of Seymours appalling racial attack. This adds to his attack on the Maori party’s right to reply to the prime minister’s budget address of three years ago, well before He Puapua, three waters and the Rotorua bill was even an embryo.
You lack credibility with your ignorance of the Maori language( He Pia Pia?)
As RobbieWgtn “just remembered who started it”
the 3 pees
persona propaganda and persuasion
Luxon hasn’t got any of them, Ardern at least has a cpl. going for her
policy priorities and public come way down the list
You keep talking Ardern up, but look how far her own polling has fallen.
Many here like telling us how popular she is, but she isn’t. Her preferred PM numbers is now at 30%. Over his entire time John Key never personally polled lower than 37%.
Ardern will go down as one of the most divisive and incompetent leaders in our history, as will this government.
Own it.
Still harping on about Key, what a moron and hypocrite.
I feel that Jacinda Ardern deserves a third term and, to be honest, I really don’t feel that the two Prime Ministers this country elected before her deserved three terms.
What state assets has Jacinda sold? What artworks has she signed her name to? I mean, seriously, we’re looking at a political saint here. The woman is a glowing example of the ideal female politician in this day and age.
Exactly, Daniel. So much anti-Jacinda polemic is misogyny. NZers prefer a man in charge. Somone with the political chutzpah of Jacinda Ardern has to deal with that piffle every day.
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