The Horizon Poll is interesting in that it only asks people who intending to vote.
It’s a measurement of the decided and as TDB has been pointing out for some time, the economic stresses of post Covid is splintering the political spectrum and causing intense polarisation.
The latest Horizon Poll is putting evidence to this argument.
Labour – 34%
National – 31%
ACT – 11%
Greens – 10%
NZF – 4%
Conservative party – 3%
MP – 2.2%
Other – 3.4%
Labour and National are in the mid 30s while ACT, Greens, Māori Party and NZFirst are all swelling in Party vote.
TDB has argued the possibility of a ‘full Parliament’ where NZFirst and a feral fringe Qanon party both make it over 5% because of the polarisation.
If the polarisation is that intense, ACT will cannibalise the National vote and the Māori Party vote share will increase.
2023 will be a fought by who NZers fear most, a National/ACT Government or a Labour/Green/Māori Party Government.
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We are simply falling in line with many other western countries divided by who has a lot and who has not much or nothing.
Who is the feral fringe party? Can’t be New Conservative, we are a good centre right party. No conspiracy theory, no bigotry, no racism. Read our policies sometime. We are the new ‘New Conservative’ The best new party to work to help all seek a good life, and we will grow to be the third big party in NZ. Do you also boot people (as I would expect) from anti-religious bigoted statements about other religions aside from Islam? Like Christianity?
My 5 cents worth should a Nact government get in we will go backwards like all National governments have done before. Wages won’t match inflation, people will be put back out on the streets and in cars and infrastructure will not be built and existing infrastructure will crumble.
National haven’t got the cattle nor skills to run a creche let alone an economy.
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