This from the ACT Party…
TIME FOR 2 PER CENT
Free Press frets about the state of freedom and democracy around the world, we hate to go on about it, but the problem is getting worse. Horrible as the Ukraine situation is, it’s the Pacific we should be worried about.
So far the Pacific Reset, turning our foreign policy towards our own backyard, has resulted in a Chinese naval base 2,000 kilometres off the coast of Australia. We are going to need to do more and at this point the Australians are leading the way.
The speed of response to the Ukraine situation shows how loose the ANZAC alliance has become. It’s one thing to have independent foreign policy, but did we lag the Aussies in responding to Ukraine because we have a different view, or because we weren’t ready?
Here’s a clue. In the lead up to ANZAC day, Free Press sold poppies with a veteran who flew the Hercules aircraft that went to Europe two months after the invasion. He collected it from the Manufacturer in the U.S. and flew it back to New Zealand, in 1965. He is in great shape, current Air Force personnel tell us the planes need more maintenance than he does.
Fonterra, a cooperative that processes and markets dairy products, showed greater moral clarity and took faster action than the Government of New Zealand. We can’t afford to be asleep behind the Aussies in the Pacific, but we are.
Australia has got its defence spending up to 2 per cent of its (substantially larger) GDP, while New Zealand lags at 1.5. In practical terms, that means Australia is upgrading its 20 year old ANZAC frigates. They won’t be ANZAC frigates this time, but an Australian class.
New Zealand has had no air combat wing since 2001, despite claiming an Exclusive Economic Zone of over 4 million kilometres by drawing a circle around every outlying island we could find. Australia, meanwhile, is buying dozens of the latest fifth generation F-35 stealth fighters.
That is not to mention Australia’s AUKUS pact with Britain and America to build nuclear submarines or the Quad arrangement that aligns Australia with India, Japan and America in an Indo-Pacific alliance.
Altogether the concept of an ANZAC force in the South Pacific is becoming impractical but it would be the best deal for New Zealand. Australia’s GDP is exactly six times New Zealand’s. The best hope for dealing with common threats is an interoperable ANZAC force that is funded six parts by Australia and one part New Zealand.
That would mean, if Australia is buying a dozen frigates, New Zealand should put in for another two. If they have six squadrons of F-35s, New Zealand should be putting in for one. That would be a proportional response to defending the region. There may be some capabilities, such as nuclear submarines, that are always beyond New Zealand’s reach, but that is all the more reason to do the things that we can do.
There are two alternatives. The hope is that Australia judges it has to defend New Zealand regardless of our own efforts, and we are able to successfully free ride. The alternative is that they note there’s already now a Chinese naval base 2000 km off their coast, that the priority is to defend Australia.
The right thing to do is to avoid forcing that choice on them. We should recognise that Helen Clark’s ‘benign strategic environment’ has gone, and the dark side of human nature never left us. The Aussies are at least five years ahead of us in realising this sad reality. A good start would be telling them we want in for an interoperable ANZAC defence force, then putting our money where our mouth is.
…Cowards!
If we are serious about an Independent Foreign Policy, we have to accept it is going to cost us a lot more.
I believe that the climate crisis means we need a vastly larger military to cope with civil disasters and if we are attempting to distance ourselves from China and America, we need to make a decision to dramatically lift what we spend on the military for purely defensive capacity.
How would we go about defending the realm of NZ and all our economic exclusive zone?
Currently we spend 1.5% of GDP on our entire military, to defend the full realm of NZ and pursue an independent foreign policy, I argue we need to push that up to 3%.
Note – NZ should only build up its military to defend our full territory (NZ islands, EEZ, Ross Dependency, Tokelau, Cook Islands and Niue). Any upgrade of our military is for purely defensive purposes, not for military adventure or invasions.
We can’t pull away from America and China and pretend there is no cost to being Independent.
With the climate crisis looming, we need that debate now.
We also have the geopolitics of it.
With China building a forward military base that could cut America off…
A Chinese politics specialist has called the deal between the Solomon Islands and China a “game-changer” saying New Zealand could be cut-off US military support.Â
…the real danger here is the Chinese Fishing Militia that will use it as a base to raid deep into fisheries.
We need to protect our fisheries.
ACT’s 2% does nothing.
If you are going to recognise the problem, the solution has to be legitimate.
I maintain we must have an independent foreign policy and that our stance must be friend to all, enemy to none, but we will urgently need to protect what is ours and acknowledge how the climate crisis will demand more civil emergency infrastructure and assets.
We need a complete review of our defence force and massive increase in spending.
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hear hear . Rock on fortress Aotearoa . Maybe we should go shopping for Russian military equipment , those Kalibre seem effective , or , maybe discounted NATO equipment captured in Ukraine , seems to be a lot of it .
Well done Martyn. How else do we stop exploitation of the environment (fisheries, undersea minerals etc)? How else do we help those suffering the disasters that result from what ‘Peace movement Aotearoa’ calls a rapidly worsening climate catastrophe?
You are surrounded by those that believe slogans and kindness will turn around the ‘Chinese Fishing Militia’ or tanks. Those that believe only the political ‘right’ care about stopping bullies or resource exploitation – even though National ran the NZDF into the ground with ‘the civilianisation project’ and budget cuts. Those that will call you racist for mentioning the actions of China – regardless of your position on other East Asian countries such as Japan, Taiwan, S.Korea etc. Those that cannot even cope with talk about how to improve personal safety on the streets – that will trigger ‘victim-blaming’ accusations. The “Passivist” movement, modern ‘bulletproof’ Hauhau (Pai Marire). Slogans didn’t stop bullets for them either.
Good luck.
The world needs to allow Japan (and Germany) to build up their defensive military forces to counteract the Chinese, Russian and North Korean threats in Asia/Pacific. Similarly Singapore, Sth Korea, Philippines and other western countries (yes Aotearoa) need to up their game.
So if the Chinese plonk their fishing vessels at the Ross Dependency. What are we really going to do. Do you think they will listen to the captain of a frigate for a piss pot nation the size of a small city on the mainland.
Why do you think the Aussies are getting Nuclear Subs. Can’t defend against them. The best we can hope is they still think we are mates in the next decade….
Britain had to re: Iceland in the 1970’s. So why not?
I’d like to see some evidence that China is going to invade Aotearoa.
If that evidence is from the the USA, then no thanks. It will be bullshit, as usual from them.
OK make it 3%!
Regardless we certainly need to defend our territorial waters and support friends who cannot fully defend theirs (eg the Cooks).
What would that look like?
> A squadron of long range marine patrol aircraft that can launch long range anti shipping missiles.
>A squadron of medium range fisheries patrol/light attack aircraft. These could twin props rather like the ov-10 Bronco. These could also provide close air support for our troops if we were drawn into an overseas conflict.
> A naval taskforce capable supporting an invasion of a Pacific island for peace making purposes (i.e. stop a political/tribal genocide) or supporting a relief operation in the event of a natural disaster. This would need to include our 2 frigates with their ASW choppers, our nice new logistics ship, a helicopter assault ship with capacity for 500 troops and a squadron of armed helicopters for troop transport and close air support.
All this would integrate nicely with our Aussie partners and would be adaptable for both peace making/peace keeping operations as well are normal peacetime business.
Couldn’t agree more Martyn . . re the comments on here though you are preaching to (mostly) the wrong crowd.
Come on Martin a large military will want one thing – to go to war. The military is not the answer to the climate crisis, if anything, it’s making it worse. The US military is the worlds number one polluter.
Time for a rethink.
Time to look towards peon based solutions because our leaders have failed, our economy is screwed, and were all dead if we run with a top down approach to this mess.
Time for a change.
You’re like the umpteenth military expert to say the magic words “America” as if it’s supposed to shield New Zealand from Chinese gunboat deplomacy. You’re just not worth listening to.
Even we spend 10% of our GDP on military, we cannot defend NZ for even half a day if China really attacked us. I stand by Helen Clark’s decision. Instead of wasting money on military equipment we should spend the money on our teachers, nurses and police.
I’m still trying to work out how DS is going to propose paying for this after he cuts the budget by seven billion dollars…
I have to agree. A squadron of F-35s is a good idea. Then Australia could see that we were pulling our weight. After all we have been exporting our best pilots to the RAF and RAAF since the Skyhawks went.
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