Well, well, well – Labour’s free speech fiasco explodes and does exactly what TDB warned it would do, empower ACT…
For the first time since her historic election result, the glow from Prime Minister Jacinda Ardern’s gold medal win has tarnished.
Labour has hit hurdle after political hurdle and it’s hurt badly, in the latest Newshub-Reid Research Poll. But National and Judith Collins won’t be cracking the champagne – they don’t even make the podium, because an old ally has become her greatest threat.
…TDB has been predicting for sometime that ACTs rise is no fluke or protest vote, but instead a seismic shift on the Right which seals National into a political death spiral.
Part of National’s historic loss was the changing demographics, Nationals zeal for self-mutilation and a large chunk of unprecedented solidarity that brought vast female 45+ Vote home to Labour, but a chunk of it was ACT becoming a right wing values party.
Freedom of speech, gun rights, cancel culture – these became rallying calls for disaffected right wing vote who were sick of National’s social conservatism and yearned for a modern values based right wing politics.
ACT have stepped into that culture war gap and as debate polarizes, they will cannibalize Nationals vote.
ACT are better at culture war value positions than National whose openly racist dog whistles are ham fisted and banjo twanging.
Don Brash unified the Right as National Leader but ACT intends to hollow National support out and become the de facto Opposition.
While Seymour is Leader, this reactionary right will stay within the spectrum of decency however if one of those vile social climbers beneath him took over as ACT eclipsed National, we are in for trouble.
The magnitude of how far right ACT are isn’t acknowledged while they’ve been fringe but this will come to a head in 2023 when ACT vs Labour-Green are the parameters for a vastly more polarized political debate.
Much to the shock of the woke, the Hate Speech legislation is going down as well as a cold cup of sick and thanks to proxification via social media, all those Woke screaming for the desire to start narking on fellow citizens social media is making those fellow citizens recoil in horror.
Drop a drip of power onto your average Middle Class Identity Politics Spinoff/Stuff subscriber and they mutate into a thousand Tiny Hitler’s, a phalanx of little sisters whose eyes gleam with the same Dogma Cult of Mao’s Cultural Revolution.
What we are seeing is a reaction to woke fascism.
People want solutions to housing, inequality, climate change & covid recovery, what they are getting are blasphemy laws, criminalising the misuse of pronouns and an $800million bike bridge.
Shitting on Mike King also isn’t helping.
Under the Hate Speech powers being proposed, the first you will know there is a problem is a knock at the door by Police asking to interview you about what was in your heart when you wrote something on your Facebook page 2 years ago.
In a cultural landscape of woke micro aggression policing, people will stop fearing minorities facing hate speech and they will start fearing being accused of hate speech.
I’ve told you a thousand fucking times that we on the Left will be damaged by eroding free speech and pursuing petty woke issues over economic justice.
That damage starts now.
Could the Woke please stop handing ACT ammunition?
5 years in prison for stopping your teen using puberty blockers isn’t helping.
The interesting breakdown on gender by Roy Morgan gives some insight into how the 2023 election strategies might play out.
I’ve argued for some time that Key’s successes at winning 3 terms was driven by his appeal to 30year old Labour voting women, they stuck with National in 2017 but moved by Jacinda’s Covid leadership caused a seismic shift towards Labour.
So Labour plus the Greens dominate in the female vote where as ACT and National dominate in the male vote.
There is no way for National or ACT to win that female vote back, indeed the hard right element of both parties means they are likely to scare more away, but what it does allow for is National and ACT to raid the left for their male voters, especially those alienated by the woke culture war stuff.
It’s no surprise that Simon Bridges is releasing a book on masculinity next month.
The Left aren’t politically delivering beyond keeping Covid out while their activist base alienate with a militant cancel culture shrillness.
0n this poll, Winston is back.
I’ve been warning that woke backlash from the identity politics left will trigger the dormant political fault line of ACT and ACT are growing to the point where they will eclipse National- and it’s happening.
National already have those Ute protest votes, Nurses don’t vote ACT and Landlords already vote ACT – a 9% drop is Labour losing the suburbs and that’s culture war issues not economics.
That shock 9 point drop by Labour will be hard for the woke today because voters are responding to them not Labour and Jacinda – this is what a culture war actually looks like. Voters are frightened by the idea of the woke gaining Hate Speech powers to come after them like they did with Rachel Stewart.
Increasingly having independent opinion in a mainstream media environment which mostly echo one another has become more important than ever, so if you value having an independent voice – please donate here.
If you can’t contribute but want to help, please always feel free to share our blogs on social media